Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Colorado AvalancheMar 4, 2025

FinalTuesday, Mar 4, 2025· Ball Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
PIT	0	1	0	1		PIT	12	12	9	33
COL	0	1	3	4		COL	8	7	10	25

: PIT 60COL 54
: PIT 2.92COL 4.10
PP goals: PIT 0COL 1
Hits: PIT 8COL 12
Blocks: PIT 10COL 15
PIM: PIT 2COL 4
: PIT 57%COL 43%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Pittsburgh Penguins 4–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Pittsburgh Penguins 4–1 at home. Artturi Lehkonen (COL) led the scoring with 2G 0A. PIT scored 1 goal on 2.92 expected goals (60 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Artturi Lehkonen had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 20:22.Lehkonen
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:00.MacKinnon
Luck
PIT scored 1 goal on 2.92 expected goals (60 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Scott Wedgewood (COL) faced 33 shots and stopped 32 (.970), +9 against a season average of 24.1; the win.Wedgewood
Usage
Casey Mittelstadt (COL) played 13:46, −3:20 down on his 17:06 season average over 80 games.Mittelstadt
Usage
Ryan Shea (PIT) played 21:57, +5:22 up on his 16:35 season average over 38 games.Shea
Usage
Jonathan Drouin (COL) played 14:47, −3:29 down on his 18:16 season average over 42 games.Drouin
Usage
Martin Necas (COL) played 15:23, −3:40 down on his 19:03 season average over 78 games.Necas

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← PIT attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
PIT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · COL 54 · PIT 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
PIT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
PIT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: PIT 33% of the game, COL 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

PIT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	PIT	COL
	62	59
	2.83	2.80
	2.61	2.71
	14	11
	4	4
	25	23
	+0.036	−0.036
	33%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Rust – Rakell
13:0255% CF
L2Malkin – Beauvillier – Tomasino
11:0260% CF
L3Acciari – Glass – Lizotte
10:3132% CF
L4Hayes – Heinen – Bemstrom
7:2775% CF
D1Letang – Shea
18:4047% CF
D2Karlsson – Grzelcyk
18:1641% CF
D3Desharnais – Kolyachonok
10:2468% CF

PP1Malkin – Letang – Grzelcyk – Beauvillier – Tomasino
1:46100% CF
PP2Crosby – Karlsson – Hayes – Rust – Rakell
1:42100% CF
PK1FRust – Acciari
0:55
PK2FGlass – Lizotte
0:27
PK1DLetang – Shea
0:55
PK2DKarlsson – Desharnais
0:27

Current PIT line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Wood – Kelly – O'Connor
9:1331% CF
L2Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Necas
9:0471% CF
L3Colton – Drury – Kiviranta
6:0346% CF
L4Drouin – Nichushkin – Mittelstadt
6:0264% CF
D1Toews – Makar
15:2676% CF
D2Kylington – Girard
10:2637% CF
D3Lindgren – Malinski
8:1436% CF

PP1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Drouin – Necas – Makar
1:03100% CF
PP2MacKinnon – Nichushkin – Toews – Colton – Mittelstadt
0:13100% CF
PK1FLehkonen – Nichushkin
1:23
PK2FDrury – Kiviranta
1:22
PK1DLindgren – Makar
1:36
PK2DGirard – Malinski
0:51

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

6:36
COLArtturi Lehkonen (Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar)snap0.20 xG
PIT: Crosby, Karlsson, Grzelcyk, Acciari, LizotteCOL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar
PIT 0 – 1 COL
18:04
PITRickard Rakell (Bryan Rust, Sidney Crosby)tip-in0.08 xG
PIT: Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, GrzelcykCOL: MacKinnon, Drouin, Kylington, Necas, Makar
PIT 1 – 1 COL

3rd period

15:51
COLCasey MittelstadtPP (Valeri Nichushkin, Nathan MacKinnon)snap0.18 xG
PIT: Karlsson, Desharnais, Glass, LizotteCOL: MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Colton, Mittelstadt
PIT 1 – 2 COL
18:52
COLArtturi LehkonenENsnap0.64 xG
PIT: Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Hayes, Rust, RakellCOL: Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar
PIT 1 – 3 COL
19:52
COLJack DruryEN (Parker Kelly)snap0.78 xG
PIT: Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Hayes, Rust, RakellCOL: Toews, Girard, Kelly, Drury, O'Connor
PIT 1 – 4 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Bryan Rust R	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.28	1	0	0	20:02	—	—	52	48
Rickard Rakell R	L1	1	0	1	-1	2	0.10	1	0	0	19:40	—	—	50	38
Sidney Crosby C	L1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.26	0	0	0	19:11	—	—	48	38
Evgeni Malkin C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.15	0	0	0	18:55	—	—	64	55
Philip Tomasino R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	1	0	16:31	—	—	58	51
Anthony Beauvillier R	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.66	0	0	2	14:56	—	—	52	46
Noel Acciari C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	1	3	0	14:21	—	—	28	43
Blake Lizotte C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.36	1	1	0	13:28	—	—	30	43
Cody Glass C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	1	1	0	12:46	—	—	31	51
Kevin Hayes R	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.27	0	0	0	13:39	—	—	65	60
Danton Heinen L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	0	0	0	10:18	—	—	74	74
Emil Bemstrom C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	9:24	—	—	76	67
Kris Letang D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	0	0	24:18	—	—	53	60
Ryan Shea D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	21:57	—	—	47	44
Erik Karlsson D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.12	0	1	0	24:05	—	—	40	33
Matt Grzelcyk D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	21:08	—	—	44	35
Vincent Desharnais D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	0	0	13:45	—	—	64	73
Vladislav Kolyachonok D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	1	0	11:34	—	—	73	81

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Nedeljkovic(start)	L	23	21	2	.913	2.67	58:34

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Logan O'Connor R	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	13:14	—	—	33	31
Parker Kelly C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.30	0	2	0	12:56	—	—	31	29
Miles Wood L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	10:50	—	—	33	27
Nathan MacKinnon C	L2	0	2	2	+1	2	0.21	0	1	0	21:00	—	—	60	65
Artturi Lehkonen L	L2	2	0	2	+2	5	1.10	0	0	0	20:22	—	—	57	66
Martin Necas C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	0	0	0	15:23	—	—	58	67
Ross Colton C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:33	—	—	39	15
Jack Drury C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.85	1	1	0	12:26	—	—	45	36
Joel Kiviranta L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.18	2	0	0	12:15	—	—	40	35
Valeri Nichushkin R	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.45	2	1	0	17:34	—	—	53	68
Jonathan Drouin L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.29	0	0	0	14:47	—	—	56	61
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.20	0	1	0	13:46	—	—	44	54
Devon Toews D	D1	0	0	0	+3	2	0.10	0	0	2	24:23	—	—	75	85
Cale Makar D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.08	0	1	0	23:22	—	—	64	67
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	2	0	0	22:32	—	—	36	38
Oliver Kylington D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	0	2	0	15:05	—	—	42	41
Ryan Lindgren D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	1	0	20:33	—	—	34	37
Sam Malinski D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	2	12:59	—	—	44	42

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Scott Wedgewood(start)	W	33	32	1	.970	2.92	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Artturi Lehkonen (COL) 2nd 6:36 · assists Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar · Rebound · 50.0 mph shot.

Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 6:36 · COL

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 50.0 mph
Distance: 12 ft
Type: one-timer, rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Rickard Rakell · 2nd 18:04 · PIT

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 25.4 mph
Distance: 2 ft
Entry to goal: 3.2 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 15:51 · COL PP

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 27.5 mph
Distance: 14 ft
Entry to goal: 7.9 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 18:52 · COL EN

Play: point-shot
Passes: 0
Shot: 59.5 mph
Distance: 77 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jack Drury · 3rd 19:52 · COL EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 43.2 mph
Distance: 36 ft
Entry to goal: 2.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.