Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Buffalo SabresMar 14, 2019

FinalThursday, Mar 14, 2019· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
PIT	0	3	2	5		PIT	9	8	11	28
BUF	0	0	0	0		BUF	7	12	7	26

: PIT 54BUF 50
: PIT 2.76BUF 1.45
PP goals: PIT 3BUF 0
Hits: PIT 14BUF 22
Blocks: PIT 15BUF 18
PIM: PIT 6BUF 10
: PIT 60%BUF 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Pittsburgh Penguins rout Buffalo Sabres 5–0

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Buffalo Sabres 5–0 at BUF. Phil Kessel (PIT) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for BUF: Sheary–Reinhart–Rodrigues skated 11:36 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (60.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Jake Guentzel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:54.Guentzel
Points
Nick Bjugstad had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:22.Bjugstad
Points
Phil Kessel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:39.Kessel
Points
Sidney Crosby had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 22:21.Crosby
New line
New look for BUF: Sheary–Reinhart–Rodrigues skated 11:36 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (60.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sheary Reinhart Rodrigues
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Sobotka–Skinner skated 11:11 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Sobotka Skinner
Luck
PIT scored 5 goals on 2.76 expected goals (54 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Thompson–Nylander–Mittelstadt skated 10:22 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (46.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Thompson Nylander Mittelstadt

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← PIT attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
PIT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 104 of 104 attempts · BUF 50 · PIT 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
PIT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
PIT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: PIT 39% of the game, BUF 20%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

PIT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	PIT	BUF
	52	50
	2.62	1.10
	2.55	1.08
	8	7
	2	4
	17	16
	+0.048	−0.048
	39%	20%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Guentzel – McCann
13:2455% CF
L2Malkin – Kessel – Blueger
10:2260% CF
L3Hornqvist – Bjugstad – Simon
7:3360% CF
L4Cullen – Wilson – Blandisi
6:0950% CF
D1Gudbranson – Pettersson
16:4040% CF
D2Johnson – Schultz
13:1359% CF
D3Dumoulin – Trotman
10:3052% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Kessel – Schultz – Pettersson
3:14
PP2Hornqvist – Dumoulin – Bjugstad – Trotman – Guentzel
1:10100% CF
PK1FCullen – Wilson
2:07
PK2FBlueger – McCann
1:02
PK1DJohnson – Dumoulin
2:07
PK2DGudbranson – Trotman
0:58

Current PIT line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Sheary – Reinhart – Rodrigues
11:3661% CF
L2Pominville – Sobotka – Skinner
11:1150% CF
L3Thompson – Nylander – Mittelstadt
10:2247% CF
L4Okposo – Larsson – Wilson
7:1133% CF
D1Montour – Dahlin
17:1759% CF
D2Hunwick – Ristolainen
15:1550% CF
D3Scandella – Nelson
10:5938% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Montour – Rodrigues – Dahlin
2:2475% CF
PP2Okposo – Ristolainen – Sheary – Thompson – Mittelstadt
1:36100% CF
PK1FSobotka – Rodrigues
2:35
PK2FLarsson – Wilson
2:17
PK1DHunwick – Ristolainen
3:01
PK2DScandella – Montour
0:00

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

6:40
PITPhil KesselPP (Sidney Crosby, Jake Guentzel)snap0.14 xG
PIT: Crosby, Kessel, Guentzel, Pettersson, SimonBUF: Sobotka, Scandella, Ristolainen, Rodrigues
PIT 1 – 0 BUF
15:07
PITBrian Dumoulin (Evgeni Malkin, Teddy Blueger)wrist0.05 xG
PIT: Malkin, Kessel, Dumoulin, Trotman, BluegerBUF: Okposo, Larsson, Wilson, Montour, Dahlin
PIT 2 – 0 BUF
17:08
PITPatric HornqvistPP (Phil Kessel, Sidney Crosby)wrist0.15 xG
PIT: Malkin, Crosby, Hornqvist, Kessel, SchultzBUF: Hunwick, Sobotka, Ristolainen, Rodrigues
PIT 3 – 0 BUF

3rd period

10:07
PITNick Bjugstadwrist0.09 xG
PIT: Johnson, Hornqvist, Schultz, Bjugstad, SimonBUF: Pominville, Hunwick, Sobotka, Skinner, Ristolainen
PIT 4 – 0 BUF
18:02
PITJake GuentzelPP (Zach Trotman, Nick Bjugstad)tip-in0.11 xG
PIT: Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Bjugstad, Trotman, GuentzelBUF: Hunwick, Larsson, Wilson, Ristolainen
PIT 5 – 0 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sidney Crosby C	L1	0	2	2	0	1	0.14	0	0	0	22:21	—	—	52	71
Jake Guentzel C	L1	1	1	2	0	2	0.12	0	0	0	19:54	—	—	52	71
Jared McCann L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.34	0	2	0	17:20	—	—	50	71
Phil Kessel R	L2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.35	0	0	0	17:39	—	—	56	86
Evgeni Malkin C	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.14	1	1	2	16:43	—	—	54	89
Teddy Blueger C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	2	1	2	14:09	—	—	57	84
Nick Bjugstad C	L3	1	1	2	+1	2	0.28	1	1	0	14:22	—	—	45	83
Patric Hornqvist R	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.20	1	0	0	14:09	—	—	43	90
Dominik Simon C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.44	0	0	0	12:07	—	—	67	98
Matt Cullen C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	0	0	10:44	—	—	47	41
Garrett Wilson L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	1	0	0	9:41	—	—	39	36
Joseph Blandisi C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:31	—	—	39	36
Marcus Pettersson D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	1	2	2	23:35	—	—	42	43
Erik Gudbranson D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	0	21:07	—	—	47	51
Justin Schultz D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.20	0	0	0	20:23	—	—	62	80
Jack Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	1	1	0	19:35	—	—	57	81
Brian Dumoulin D	D3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.05	2	3	0	18:01	—	—	48	80
Zach Trotman D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	2	0	14:47	—	—	50	91

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Casey DeSmith(start)	W	26	26	0	.1000	1.45	59:52

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evan Rodrigues C	L1	0	2	0.15	1	0	0	18:45	—	—	61	70
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	0.10	0	2	0	17:49	—	—	61	52
Conor Sheary L	L1	0	6	0.49	2	0	0	15:29	—	—	65	70
Vladimir Sobotka C	L2	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	17:37	—	—	52	18
Jeff Skinner L	L2	-1	2	0.23	2	0	2	17:33	—	—	46	11
Jason Pominville R	L2	-1	2	0.00	0	1	0	13:07	—	—	50	29
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	1	0.13	1	0	0	15:04	—	—	35	11
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0.04	0	1	0	13:22	—	—	42	19
Alex Nylander L	L3	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:20	—	—	44	12
Johan Larsson L	L4	-1	0	0.00	1	1	2	11:58	—	—	47	8
Scott Wilson C	L4	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:13	—	—	36	5
Kyle Okposo R	L4	-1	2	0.07	0	2	0	9:38	—	—	31	6
Brandon Montour D	D1	-1	4	0.09	4	2	0	23:11	—	—	61	52
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	-1	3	0.10	2	0	2	21:45	—	—	57	50
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	-1	2	0.03	3	4	0	24:19	—	—	55	26
Matt Hunwick D	D2	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	21:11	—	—	44	22
Casey Nelson D	D3	0	0	0.00	1	2	2	14:29	—	—	32	7
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	1	0.02	0	1	2	13:17	—	—	35	8

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	28	23	5	.821	2.76	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.