Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Buffalo SabresApr 17, 2021

FinalSaturday, Apr 17, 2021· KeyBank Center

away

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

3

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
PIT	1	2	0	3		PIT	12	13	16	41
BUF	0	1	1	2		BUF	6	13	11	30

: PIT 66BUF 54
: PIT 2.38BUF 2.22
PP goals: PIT 1BUF 1
Hits: PIT 13BUF 12
Blocks: PIT 14BUF 12
PIM: PIT 2BUF 4
: PIT 47%BUF 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Pittsburgh Penguins edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Buffalo Sabres 3–2 at BUF. Tage Thompson (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. PIT's first power-play unit (Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel and McCann) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 2:38 together.

PP1
PIT's first power-play unit (Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel and McCann) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 2:38 together.Crosby Letang Rust Guentzel McCann
Goalie
Dustin Tokarski (BUF) faced 41 shots and stopped 38 (.927), +7 against a season average of 34.4; the loss.Tokarski
Usage
Anders Bjork (BUF) played 17:10, +3:22 up on his 13:48 season average over 44 games.Bjork
Usage
John Marino (PIT) played 17:28, −3:20 down on his 20:48 season average over 51 games.Marino
Shots
Mike Matheson (PIT) led everyone with 7 shot on goals without scoring.Matheson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← PIT attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
PIT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · BUF 54 · PIT 66

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
PIT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
PIT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: PIT 37% of the game, BUF 22%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

PIT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	PIT	BUF
	65	58
	2.08	2.15
	1.91	2.08
	6	11
	6	4
	10	13
	−0.048	+0.048
	37%	22%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Rust – Guentzel
14:3360% CF
L2Blueger – Rodrigues – Aston-Reese
11:0848% CF
L3Carter – Zucker – McCann
10:2776% CF
L4Sceviour – Jankowski – Zohorna
6:1133% CF
D1Matheson – Ceci
16:2059% CF
D2Letang – Dumoulin
15:5455% CF
D3Pettersson – Marino
13:4748% CF

PP1Crosby – Letang – Rust – Guentzel – McCann
2:38100% CF
PP2Carter – Crosby – Letang – McCann – Rodrigues
0:51100% CF
PK1FCarter – Sceviour
0:50
PK1DDumoulin – Ceci
0:50

Current PIT line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson
13:1259% CF
L2Bjork – Cozens – Ruotsalainen
11:4555% CF
L3Asplund – Thompson – Mittelstadt
10:4450% CF
L4Eakin – Rieder – Fogarty
7:0327% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
17:5965% CF
D2Ristolainen – Bryson
12:3136% CF
D3Irwin – Miller
11:4346% CF

PP1Ristolainen – Reinhart – Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
0:50100% CF
PK1FEakin – Rieder
1:55
PK2FBjork – Mittelstadt
0:58
PK1DRistolainen – Bryson
1:53
PK2DIrwin – Miller
1:35

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:30
PITJared McCann (Mike Matheson, Cody Ceci)wrist0.01 xG
PIT: Carter, Zucker, Matheson, Ceci, McCannBUF: Irwin, Miller, Reinhart, Bjork, Olofsson
PIT 1 – 0 BUF

2nd period

5:57
PITEvan Rodrigues (Teddy Blueger)wrist0.15 xG
PIT: Blueger, Pettersson, Marino, Rodrigues, Aston-ReeseBUF: Irwin, Ristolainen, Bjork, Cozens, Ruotsalainen
PIT 2 – 0 BUF
6:41
BUFTage Thompsonwrist0.05 xG
PIT: Carter, Zucker, Matheson, Ceci, McCannBUF: Miller, Asplund, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Bryson
PIT 2 – 1 BUF
12:15
PITBryan RustPP (Sidney Crosby, Jake Guentzel)tip-in0.12 xG
PIT: Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, McCannBUF: Irwin, Fogarty, Miller, Asplund
PIT 3 – 1 BUF

3rd period

11:44
BUFCasey MittelstadtPP (Rasmus Ristolainen, Sam Reinhart)snap0.13 xG
PIT: Carter, Sceviour, Dumoulin, CeciBUF: Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin
PIT 3 – 2 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.16	0	0	0	21:24	—	—	57	35
Sidney Crosby C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	21:03	—	—	61	43
Bryan Rust R	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.35	4	1	0	20:50	—	—	54	32
Teddy Blueger C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.24	0	1	0	16:15	—	—	50	60
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.36	0	0	0	16:09	—	—	45	53
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	1	1	0	15:30	—	—	48	58
Jeff Carter C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	0	0	0	16:35	—	—	58	42
Jared McCann L	L3	1	0	1	0	5	0.20	2	1	0	15:22	—	—	74	84
Jason Zucker L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	0	0	13:59	—	—	63	82
Colton Sceviour C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	10:06	—	—	47	72
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	8:10	—	—	35	56
Radim Zohorna L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	0	0	7:23	—	—	31	55
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	0	2	0	19:34	—	—	60	83
Mike Matheson D	D1	0	1	1	0	7	0.14	0	3	0	19:03	—	—	57	68
Kris Letang D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	1	1	0	24:20	—	—	50	35
Brian Dumoulin D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	0	0	0	20:40	—	—	55	36
John Marino D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	17:28	—	—	47	48
Marcus Pettersson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	1	1	0	15:26	—	—	48	57

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tristan Jarry(start)	W	30	28	2	.933	2.22	59:53

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.18	0	2	0	17:35	—	—	49	54
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.22	0	0	0	17:01	—	—	53	57
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	1	0	0	16:40	—	—	55	58
Anders Bjork L	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.47	0	0	2	17:10	—	—	54	68
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.36	2	0	0	16:06	—	—	52	65
Arttu Ruotsalainen C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	0	2	15:21	—	—	50	59
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.44	0	0	0	17:26	—	—	52	52
Tage Thompson C	L3	1	0	1	+1	6	0.14	0	0	0	14:24	—	—	58	66
Rasmus Asplund C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	0	0	13:25	—	—	50	52
Tobias Rieder L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	11:55	—	—	24	7
Steven Fogarty C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	0	11:18	—	—	23	13
Cody Eakin C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:15	—	—	27	9
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	1	0	0	24:02	—	—	54	69
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	1	0	21:08	—	—	67	83
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.04	3	3	0	20:13	—	—	31	30
Jacob Bryson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	0	0	0	20:02	—	—	41	41
Colin Miller D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	3	0	17:54	—	—	46	50
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:41	—	—	43	42

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dustin Tokarski(start)	L	41	38	3	.927	2.38	57:39

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.