Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Buffalo SabresApr 18, 2021

FinalSunday, Apr 18, 2021· KeyBank Center

away

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

2

@

home

Buffalo SabresBUF

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
PIT	0	0	2	2		PIT	12	13	11	36
BUF	1	1	2	4		BUF	9	9	11	29

: PIT 61BUF 49
: PIT 2.56BUF 3.17
PP goals: PIT 0BUF 1
Hits: PIT 13BUF 22
Blocks: PIT 13BUF 11
PIM: PIT 8BUF 4
: PIT 46%BUF 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Pittsburgh Penguins 4–2

Buffalo Sabres beat Pittsburgh Penguins 4–2 at home. Sam Reinhart (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. BUF's first power-play unit (Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Mittelstadt and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 4:24 together.

Points
Sam Reinhart had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:44.Reinhart
Points
Rasmus Dahlin had 2 assists (2 points) on 8 shots in 23:12.Dahlin
Points
Victor Olofsson had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:03.Olofsson
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Mittelstadt and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 4:24 together.Ristolainen Reinhart Olofsson Mittelstadt Dahlin
Goalie
Dustin Tokarski (BUF) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +2 against a season average of 34.4; the win.Tokarski
Usage
Cody Eakin (BUF) played 5:55, −7:10 down on his 13:05 season average over 45 games.Eakin
Usage
Mattias Samuelsson (BUF) played 14:12, −4:11 down on his 18:23 season average over 11 games.Samuelsson
Usage
Marcus Pettersson (PIT) played 12:56, −3:38 down on his 16:34 season average over 46 games.Pettersson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← PIT attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
PIT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 110 of 110 attempts · BUF 49 · PIT 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
PIT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
PIT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: PIT 39% of the game, BUF 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

PIT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	PIT	BUF
	66	47
	2.76	2.30
	2.64	2.19
	10	11
	8	2
	14	12
	−0.030	+0.030
	39%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Rust – Guentzel
16:2860% CF
L2Carter – Zucker – McCann
10:2789% CF
L3Blueger – Rodrigues – Aston-Reese
9:2044% CF
L4Sceviour – Jankowski – Zohorna
5:2350% CF
D1Letang – Dumoulin
14:1347% CF
D2Matheson – Ceci
11:5258% CF
D3Pettersson – Marino
10:0176% CF

PP1Crosby – Letang – Rust – Guentzel – McCann
2:17100% CF
PP2Carter – Zucker – Matheson – Marino – Rodrigues
1:03100% CF
PK1FBlueger – Aston-Reese
3:01
PK2FJankowski – Rodrigues
1:14
PK1DDumoulin – Ceci
4:20
PK2DLetang – Marino
1:55

Current PIT line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Bjork – Cozens – Ruotsalainen
10:2820% CF
L2Asplund – Thompson – Mittelstadt
9:3550% CF
L3Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson
8:4444% CF
L4Eakin – Sheahan – Rieder
4:590% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
16:4541% CF
D2Miller – Bryson
13:5047% CF
D3Ristolainen – Samuelsson
13:0834% CF

PP1Ristolainen – Reinhart – Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
4:24100% CF
PP2Skinner – Miller – Thompson – Cozens – Ruotsalainen
2:15100% CF
PK1FSheahan – Rieder
1:22
PK2FBjork – Asplund
0:29
PK1DRistolainen – Bryson
1:59
PK2DMiller – Jokiharju
1:02

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:26
BUFArttu Ruotsalainen (Dylan Cozens, Rasmus Dahlin)slap0.11 xG
PIT: Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, GuentzelBUF: Bjork, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens, Ruotsalainen
PIT 0 – 1 BUF

2nd period

2:18
BUFSam Reinhart (Victor Olofsson, Jeff Skinner)wrist0.12 xG
PIT: Blueger, Pettersson, Marino, Rodrigues, Aston-ReeseBUF: Skinner, Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Bryson
PIT 0 – 2 BUF

3rd period

8:02
BUFSam ReinhartPP (Victor Olofsson, Rasmus Dahlin)wrist0.06 xG
PIT: Letang, Sceviour, Jankowski, MarinoBUF: Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin
PIT 0 – 3 BUF
10:18
PITJason Zucker (Jeff Carter, Jared McCann)snap0.13 xG
PIT: Carter, Zucker, McCann, Pettersson, MarinoBUF: Ristolainen, Asplund, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson
PIT 1 – 3 BUF
18:12
BUFRasmus AsplundEN (Casey Mittelstadt)wrist0.83 xG
PIT: Carter, Crosby, Letang, Zucker, Guentzel, McCannBUF: Sheahan, Ristolainen, Asplund, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson
PIT 1 – 4 BUF
19:36
PITTeddy Blueger (Evan Rodrigues, Cody Ceci)snap0.04 xG
PIT: Matheson, Blueger, Marino, Rodrigues, Aston-ReeseBUF: Rieder, Reinhart, Olofsson, Jokiharju, Dahlin
PIT 2 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.59	0	1	2	21:13	—	—	60	58
Sidney Crosby C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.43	1	0	0	21:00	—	—	58	58
Bryan Rust R	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.31	0	1	0	20:58	—	—	58	58
Jeff Carter C	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.27	0	2	0	16:02	—	—	81	95
Jared McCann L	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	15:22	—	—	84	95
Jason Zucker L	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.35	0	0	2	14:48	—	—	77	91
Teddy Blueger C	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.17	2	1	0	15:34	—	—	41	33
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	14:39	—	—	39	33
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.12	0	1	0	13:44	—	—	41	34
Colton Sceviour C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	3	1	0	9:10	—	—	57	11
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	8:06	—	—	50	32
Radim Zohorna L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:15	—	—	50	31
Kris Letang D	D1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.11	1	0	2	23:35	—	—	56	51
Brian Dumoulin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	21:38	—	—	48	54
Mike Matheson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	1	1	0	20:40	—	—	63	48
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	1	1	0	3	0.05	2	1	0	19:16	—	—	48	41
John Marino D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	0	0	18:28	—	—	83	82
Marcus Pettersson D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	1	1	2	12:56	—	—	65	62

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Casey DeSmith(start)	L	28	25	3	.893	2.34	58:46

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Anders Bjork L	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:20	—	—	26	21
Dylan Cozens C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	1	0	16:11	—	—	28	22
Arttu Ruotsalainen C	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.11	1	1	0	16:05	—	—	26	13
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.14	0	0	0	16:46	—	—	42	34
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.15	0	0	0	14:47	—	—	42	32
Rasmus Asplund C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	1.04	2	0	0	12:14	—	—	47	41
Sam Reinhart C	L3	2	0	2	0	2	0.28	0	2	0	19:44	—	—	58	80
Victor Olofsson L	L3	0	2	2	0	2	0.03	0	0	0	17:03	—	—	40	49
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.31	1	0	0	15:46	—	—	54	73
Riley Sheahan C	L4	0	0	0	+1	3	0.09	0	1	0	16:36	—	—	57	89
Tobias Rieder L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	1	0	0	10:34	—	—	58	75
Cody Eakin C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	5:55	—	—	25	20
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	2	2	0	8	0.72	1	0	2	23:12	—	—	44	50
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	20:09	—	—	42	45
Colin Miller D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	0	0	0	19:08	—	—	45	47
Jacob Bryson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	2	0	18:39	—	—	45	56
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	8	2	0	22:39	—	—	39	43
Mattias Samuelsson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	14:12	—	—	36	36

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dustin Tokarski(start)	W	36	34	2	.944	2.56	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.