Nashville Predators vs. Tampa Bay LightningOct 28, 2024

Final / OTMonday, Oct 28, 2024· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
NSH	0	2	0	0	2		NSH	9	14	14	0	37
TBL	2	0	0	1	3		TBL	11	4	10	2	27

: NSH 59TBL 65
: NSH 2.87TBL 4.05
PP goals: NSH 1TBL 0
Hits: NSH 33TBL 13
Blocks: NSH 21TBL 13
PIM: NSH 6TBL 8
: NSH 50%TBL 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Nashville Predators 3–2 (OT)

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Nashville Predators 3–2 in overtime at home. Brayden Point (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 1A. NSH's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault and Forsberg) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 4:29 together.

Points
Brayden Point had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 22:30.Point
Points
Jake Guentzel had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:30.Guentzel
Points
Steven Stamkos had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 21:02.Stamkos
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault and Forsberg) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 4:29 together.Stamkos Josi O'Reilly Marchessault Forsberg
Usage
Dante Fabbro (NSH) played 11:32, −9:30 down on his 21:02 season average over 67 games.Fabbro
Goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +10 against a season average of 27.2; the win.Vasilevskiy
Usage
Brayden Point (TBL) played 22:30, +3:04 up on his 19:26 season average over 76 games.Point
Usage
Steven Stamkos (NSH) played 21:02, +3:04 up on his 17:58 season average over 81 games.Stamkos

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · TBL 65 · NSH 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 29% of the game, TBL 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	TBL
	44	61
	1.61	3.06
	1.56	2.83
	6	12
	6	1
	12	14
	+0.017	−0.017
	29%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1O'Reilly – Marchessault – Forsberg
10:0340% CF
L2McCarron – Smith – L'Heureux
7:0320% CF
L3Stamkos – Nyquist – Novak
5:0540% CF
L4Jankowski – Sissons – Evangelista
3:17100% CF
D1Lauzon – Carrier
15:2119% CF
D2Schenn – Josi
7:5458% CF
D3Skjei – Fabbro
3:4050% CF

PP1Stamkos – Josi – O'Reilly – Marchessault – Forsberg
4:2983% CF
PP2Stamkos – Nyquist – Skjei – Novak – Evangelista
1:50100% CF
PK1FMcCarron – Smith
2:48
PK2FO'Reilly – Jankowski
0:44
PK1DLauzon – Carrier
2:56
PK2DJosi – Skjei
1:46

Current NSH line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Kucherov – Guentzel – Point
12:0665% CF
L2Cirelli – Hagel – Geekie
10:5642% CF
L3Paul – Eyssimont – Chaffee
9:1136% CF
L4Atkinson – Glendening – Girgensons
6:4879% CF
D1Hedman – Moser
14:3865% CF
D2McDonagh – Cernak
14:0247% CF
D3Perbix – Lilleberg
12:3058% CF

PP1Hedman – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
4:13100% CF
PP2Kucherov – Paul – Point – Cirelli – Moser
0:350% CF
PK1FCirelli – Hagel
3:05
PK2FGlendening – Girgensons
2:43
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
4:36
PK2DMoser – Lilleberg
0:51

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.59	1	0	0	21:31	—	—	36	34
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.15	1	1	2	20:00	—	—	33	28
Jonathan Marchessault R	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.23	1	1	0	17:34	—	—	42	43
Cole Smith R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	3	2	0	14:53	—	—	16	11
Michael McCarron C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	12:32	—	—	25	18
Zachary L'Heureux L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	1	2	8:31	—	—	17	16
Steven Stamkos C	L3	0	2	2	0	6	0.54	0	0	0	21:02	—	—	62	46
Gustav Nyquist R	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.30	1	1	0	19:21	—	—	59	44
Tommy Novak C	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.17	0	1	0	14:08	—	—	35	12
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.17	2	0	2	15:17	—	—	68	51
Luke Evangelista R	L4	0	0	0	0	5	0.24	0	0	0	11:13	—	—	69	74
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	11:07	—	—	47	61
Alexandre Carrier D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	3	4	0	22:36	—	—	22	13
Jeremy Lauzon D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	8	4	0	20:59	—	—	21	11
Roman Josi D	D2	0	0	0	-2	6	0.21	1	1	0	28:22	—	—	58	60
Luke Schenn D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	4	4	0	14:06	—	—	52	44
Brady Skjei D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	19:22	—	—	56	21
Dante Fabbro D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	11:32	—	—	48	35

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	O	27	24	3	.889	4.05	63:22

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brayden Point C	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.43	0	0	0	22:30	—	—	67	79
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.47	0	0	0	21:44	—	—	62	67
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	2	2	+1	4	0.60	0	0	0	18:30	—	—	62	67
Brandon Hagel L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	0	1	0	22:58	—	—	50	72
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.59	0	1	0	18:23	—	—	45	51
Conor Geekie C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	3	3	0	12:44	—	—	42	58
Nick Paul L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.33	1	1	0	13:33	—	—	36	20
Mitchell Chaffee R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.36	0	0	0	11:44	—	—	56	60
Michael Eyssimont C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	2	11:00	—	—	56	55
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	0	0	11:21	—	—	75	82
Luke Glendening C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	11:14	—	—	82	94
Cam Atkinson R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	1	1	0	8:37	—	—	81	90
Victor Hedman D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.14	0	0	2	22:54	—	—	64	71
J.J. Moser D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	2	1	4	20:25	—	—	68	71
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.01	1	3	0	21:24	—	—	50	67
Erik Cernak D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	2	0	21:18	—	—	49	63
Nick Perbix D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	0	0	16:14	—	—	64	57
Emil Lilleberg D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.35	2	0	0	16:10	—	—	57	56

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	2.87	63:22

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Brayden Point (TBL) 1st 9:49 · assists Jake Guentzel · Rush · loose puck · 32.3 mph shot · 4.2 s from entry to goal.

Brayden Point · 1st 9:49 · TBL

Play: rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 32.3 mph
Distance: 12 ft
Entry to goal: 4.2 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mitchell Chaffee · 1st 19:24 · TBL

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 40.9 mph
Distance: 10 ft
Entry to goal: 2.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 10:19 · NSH PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 29.1 mph
Distance: 12 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 18:40 · NSH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: pass
Odd man: 3-on-0
Passes: 2
Shot: 41.7 mph
Distance: 15 ft
Entry to goal: 2.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nick Paul · OT 3:22 · TBL

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 30.7 mph
Distance: 8 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Nashville Predators vs. Tampa Bay LightningOct 28, 2024

Fantasy takeaways

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Nashville Predators 3–2 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Nashville Predators

Tampa Bay Lightning

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

OT period

Box score

Nashville Predators

Tampa Bay Lightning

Goal anatomy

Brayden Point · 1st 9:49 · TBL

Mitchell Chaffee · 1st 19:24 · TBL

Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 10:19 · NSH PP

Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 18:40 · NSH

Nick Paul · OT 3:22 · TBL