Nashville Predators vs. Detroit Red WingsFeb 23, 2021

FinalTuesday, Feb 23, 2021· Little Caesars Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	0	2	2		NSH	9	10	14	33
DET	0	0	0	0		DET	8	5	11	24

: NSH 58DET 48
: NSH 2.93DET 1.61
PP goals: NSH 2DET 0
Hits: NSH 33DET 16
Blocks: NSH 15DET 15
PIM: NSH 2DET 8
: NSH 54%DET 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Detroit Red Wings 2–0

Nashville Predators beat Detroit Red Wings 2–0 at DET. Filip Forsberg (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg and Tolvanen) scored 2 power-play goals on 8 attempts in 3:42 together.

Points
Filip Forsberg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 17:35.Forsberg
Points
Roman Josi had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 26:15.Josi
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg and Tolvanen) scored 2 power-play goals on 8 attempts in 3:42 together.Josi Johansen Granlund Forsberg Tolvanen
New line
New look for DET: Filppula–Nielsen–Namestnikov skated 6:22 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (55.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Filppula Nielsen Namestnikov
New line
New look for NSH: Haula–Sissons–Kunin skated 10:12 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (61.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Haula Sissons Kunin
New line
New look for NSH: Johansen–Cousins–Tolvanen skated 9:14 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Johansen Cousins Tolvanen
Luck
DET scored 0 goals on 1.61 expected goals (48 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Darren Helm (DET) played 20:10, +5:37 up on his 14:34 season average over 46 games.Helm

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · DET 48 · NSH 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 45% of the game, DET 17%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	DET
	58	48
	2.86	1.29
	2.75	1.28
	14	5
	5	5
	16	5
	−0.023	+0.023
	45%	17%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Jarnkrok – Grimaldi
12:4760% CF
L2Granlund – Forsberg – Arvidsson
11:1650% CF
L3Haula – Sissons – Kunin
10:1262% CF
L4Johansen – Cousins – Tolvanen
9:1450% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
19:2552% CF
D2Harpur – Fabbro
15:5554% CF
D3Borowiecki – Benning
13:0652% CF

PP1Josi – Johansen – Granlund – Forsberg – Tolvanen
3:42100% CF
PP2Duchene – Ellis – Jarnkrok – Cousins – Arvidsson
1:01100% CF
PK1FHaula – Jarnkrok
0:50
PK2FSissons – Kunin
0:31
PK1DBorowiecki – Benning
0:50
PK2DEllis – Harpur
0:31

Current NSH line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Helm – Mantha – Larkin
12:5859% CF
L2Ryan – Fabbri – Zadina
7:3367% CF
L3Glendening – Erne – Brome
7:2147% CF
L4Filppula – Nielsen – Namestnikov
6:2256% CF
D1DeKeyser – Hronek
14:4058% CF
D2Staal – Merrill
13:1141% CF
D3Nemeth – Djoos
10:2642% CF

PP1Ryan – Djoos – Mantha – Larkin – Brome
0:48100% CF
PP2Merrill – Erne – Fabbri – Hronek – Zadina
0:22
PK1FHelm – Glendening
3:00
PK2FNielsen – Namestnikov
1:39
PK1DStaal – Nemeth
1:35
PK2DDeKeyser – Hronek
1:02

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

3rd period

4:36
NSHFilip ForsbergPP (Roman Josi, Mikael Granlund)wrist0.02 xG
NSH: Josi, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg, TolvanenDET: Helm, Nemeth, Glendening
NSH 1 – 0 DET
9:57
NSHEeli TolvanenPP (Filip Forsberg, Roman Josi)snap0.11 xG
NSH: Josi, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg, TolvanenDET: Staal, Helm, Glendening, Hronek
NSH 2 – 0 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	1	0	17:15	—	—	61	78
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	3	0.44	1	0	0	16:12	—	—	59	72
Rocco Grimaldi R	L1	0	0	0	1	0.30	0	0	0	14:50	—	—	56	63
Mikael Granlund C	L2	0	1	1	0	0.00	0	0	0	18:17	—	—	48	81
Filip Forsberg L	L2	1	1	2	5	0.47	3	1	0	17:35	—	—	41	58
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	0	0	0	4	0.33	0	1	0	13:58	—	—	48	85
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	0	0	0	0.02	3	0	0	15:16	—	—	63	79
Luke Kunin C	L3	0	0	0	3	0.31	4	0	0	13:47	—	—	64	82
Erik Haula L	L3	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:28	—	—	64	82
Ryan Johansen C	L4	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	0	15:48	—	—	53	53
Eeli Tolvanen R	L4	1	0	1	3	0.29	3	1	0	13:52	—	—	56	67
Nick Cousins C	L4	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:05	—	—	56	54
Roman Josi D	D1	0	2	2	5	0.39	1	1	2	26:15	—	—	54	66
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	0	0	3	0.15	1	1	0	23:10	—	—	54	70
Ben Harpur D	D2	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	0	0	18:53	—	—	54	61
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	0	17:52	—	—	54	61
Matt Benning D	D3	0	0	0	1	0.01	4	1	0	14:54	—	—	52	75
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	3	0	14:33	—	—	57	75

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	24	24	0	.1000	1.61	60:00

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	3	0.07	0	0	0	21:17	—	—	51	37
Anthony Mantha R	L1	0	0.21	1	1	0	20:19	—	—	51	36
Darren Helm C	L1	3	0.15	2	0	0	20:10	—	—	45	45
Robby Fabbri C	L2	0	0.00	2	0	0	15:33	—	—	57	29
Bobby Ryan R	L2	4	0.15	3	1	0	15:23	—	—	41	10
Filip Zadina R	L2	1	0.05	0	1	0	15:12	—	—	53	33
Luke Glendening C	L3	2	0.02	0	0	0	12:11	—	—	45	11
Mathias Brome L	L3	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:52	—	—	47	13
Adam Erne L	L3	1	0.01	2	0	2	9:52	—	—	43	13
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L4	3	0.24	1	1	2	15:26	—	—	42	60
Valtteri Filppula C	L4	0	0.25	0	0	0	12:20	—	—	25	32
Frans Nielsen C	L4	0	0.14	1	0	0	11:44	—	—	40	40
Filip Hronek D	D1	1	0.08	2	1	0	24:54	—	—	53	41
Danny DeKeyser D	D1	2	0.06	1	3	0	18:21	—	—	56	55
Jon Merrill D	D2	2	0.07	0	2	2	20:28	—	—	40	29
Marc Staal D	D2	0	0.00	0	1	0	19:03	—	—	38	28
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	1	0.03	1	1	2	17:43	—	—	39	19
Christian Djoos D	D3	1	0.07	0	2	0	16:46	—	—	45	24

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jonathan Bernier(start)	L	33	31	2	.939	2.93	57:26

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.