Nashville Predators vs. Buffalo SabresDec 3, 2023

FinalSunday, Dec 3, 2023· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	2	0	0	2		NSH	14	8	7	29
BUF	0	1	0	1		BUF	11	12	12	35

: NSH 61BUF 68
: NSH 3.12BUF 3.22
PP goals: NSH 0BUF 0
Hits: NSH 25BUF 19
Blocks: NSH 12BUF 14
PIM: NSH 2BUF 4
: NSH 59%BUF 41%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1

Nashville Predators beat Buffalo Sabres 2–1 at BUF. Filip Forsberg (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 0A. BUF scored 1 goal on 3.22 expected goals (68 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 3.22 expected goals (68 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 35 shots and stopped 34 (.971), +6 against a season average of 28.8; the win.Saros
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Krebs–Rosen skated 5:38 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (36.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Krebs Rosen
New line
New look for BUF: Olofsson–Jost–Biro skated 5:17 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Olofsson Jost Biro
New line
New look for NSH: Jankowski–McCarron–Tomasino skated 8:31 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (43.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jankowski McCarron Tomasino
Usage
Jeff Skinner (BUF) played 21:17, +5:22 up on his 15:55 season average over 73 games.Skinner
Usage
Casey Mittelstadt (BUF) played 22:29, +4:49 up on his 17:40 season average over 79 games.Mittelstadt
Usage
Henri Jokiharju (BUF) played 22:51, +3:55 up on his 18:56 season average over 73 games.Jokiharju

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 129 of 129 attempts · BUF 68 · NSH 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 37% of the game, BUF 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	BUF
	65	77
	2.91	3.21
	2.79	3.08
	18	12
	5	7
	7	8
	+0.057	−0.057
	37%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Nyquist – O'Reilly – Forsberg
13:0046% CF
L2Sissons – Trenin – Smith
11:1935% CF
L3Sherwood – Parssinen – Evangelista
9:2467% CF
L4Jankowski – McCarron – Tomasino
8:3144% CF
D1McDonagh – Josi
17:5744% CF
D2Lauzon – Fabbro
16:0744% CF
D3Schenn – Stastney
14:3545% CF

PP1Josi – Nyquist – O'Reilly – Forsberg – Sissons
1:28100% CF
PP2McDonagh – Josi – Tomasino – Parssinen – Evangelista
0:32

Current NSH line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Mittelstadt
11:5654% CF
L2Cozens – Peterka – Benson
10:5876% CF
L3Okposo – Krebs – Rosen
5:3836% CF
L4Olofsson – Jost – Biro
5:1740% CF
D1Jokiharju – Power
8:4044% CF
D2Samuelsson – Dahlin
8:2960% CF
D3Clifton – Johnson
7:5324% CF

PK1FMittelstadt – Benson
0:55
PK2FOkposo – Biro
0:15
PK1DClifton – Samuelsson
1:12
PK2DJokiharju – Power
0:00

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:40
NSHFilip Forsbergwrist0.01 xG
NSH: McDonagh, Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, ForsbergBUF: Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin
NSH 1 – 0 BUF
10:54
NSHYakov Trenin (Colton Sissons, Cole Smith)slap0.02 xG
NSH: Schenn, Sissons, Trenin, Stastney, SmithBUF: Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens, Peterka, Benson
NSH 2 – 0 BUF

2nd period

10:02
BUFVictor OlofssonPSwrist0.30 xG
NSH: Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Fabbro, SmithBUF: Olofsson, Jost, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Biro
NSH 2 – 1 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.63	0	1	0	18:45	—	—	47	54
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.48	0	0	0	18:01	—	—	55	60
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.30	4	0	0	16:45	—	—	53	58
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.15	1	0	2	16:23	—	—	46	29
Yakov Trenin C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.02	3	2	0	15:15	—	—	29	10
Cole Smith R	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	7	0	0	15:10	—	—	29	8
Juuso Parssinen C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	0	0	0	15:14	—	—	52	43
Kiefer Sherwood L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	4	0	0	13:43	—	—	68	43
Luke Evangelista R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:59	—	—	65	41
Michael McCarron C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.21	0	1	0	14:11	—	—	30	65
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.46	0	1	0	12:35	—	—	40	77
Philip Tomasino R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	0	1	0	11:33	—	—	39	69
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.22	1	1	0	24:04	—	—	46	38
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	22:20	—	—	46	37
Jeremy Lauzon D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	2	1	0	19:57	—	—	47	52
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	1	0	18:44	—	—	43	50
Spencer Stastney D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	0	0	0	17:29	—	—	45	54
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	2	3	0	15:52	—	—	49	58

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	35	34	1	.971	3.22	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	3	0	22:29	—	—	51	49
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	-1	7	0.40	1	0	0	21:17	—	—	47	46
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	-1	4	0.59	2	0	0	16:19	—	—	57	54
JJ Peterka R	L2	0	0	-1	3	0.10	1	1	0	17:24	—	—	74	81
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	0	-1	7	1.07	3	0	0	16:23	—	—	76	82
Zach Benson L	L2	0	0	-1	2	0.21	0	0	0	15:17	—	—	77	79
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	3	0.16	2	1	0	14:18	—	—	44	19
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	2	11:29	—	—	50	26
Isak Rosen R	L3	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	10:19	—	—	20	12
Victor Olofsson L	L4	1	1	+1	1	0.37	0	0	0	11:36	—	—	32	26
Brandon Biro L	L4	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:56	—	—	33	33
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	0	0	10:03	—	—	55	24
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	22:51	—	—	62	55
Owen Power D	D1	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	21:06	—	—	61	46
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	-2	3	0.18	1	2	2	27:45	—	—	57	62
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	-1	1	0.04	3	1	0	20:24	—	—	67	77
Ryan Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:23	—	—	42	25
Connor Clifton D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	1	0	12:59	—	—	21	5

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	29	27	2	.931	3.12	57:42

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Filip Forsberg (NSH) 1st 9:40 · unassisted · Off the faceoff · 41.0 mph shot.

Filip Forsberg · 1st 9:40 · NSH

Play: faceoff
Passes: 0
Shot: 41.0 mph
Distance: 23 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Yakov Trenin · 1st 10:54 · NSH

Play: deflection
Passes: 2
Shot: 43.9 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Victor Olofsson · 2nd 10:02 · BUF PS

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 18.6 mph
Distance: 64 ft
Entry to goal: 2.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.