Nashville Predators vs. Ottawa SenatorsJan 9, 2023

FinalMonday, Jan 9, 2023· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	2	0	1	3		NSH	10	12	14	36
OTT	0	0	0	0		OTT	14	8	16	38

: NSH 55OTT 73
: NSH 3.84OTT 3.82
PP goals: NSH 0OTT 0
Hits: NSH 23OTT 21
Blocks: NSH 22OTT 7
PIM: NSH 17OTT 17
: NSH 43%OTT 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Ottawa Senators 3–0

Nashville Predators beat Ottawa Senators 3–0 at OTT. Filip Forsberg (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. OTT scored 0 goals on 3.82 expected goals (73 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Filip Forsberg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:31.Forsberg
Luck
OTT scored 0 goals on 3.82 expected goals (73 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 38 shots and stopped 38 (.1000), +5 against a season average of 32.8; the win.Saros
Goalie
Cam Talbot (OTT) faced 36 shots and stopped 33 (.917), +10 against a season average of 26.0; the loss.Talbot
Usage
Tommy Novak (NSH) played 10:38, −4:06 down on his 14:44 season average over 50 games.Novak
Usage
Roman Josi (NSH) played 21:45, −3:28 down on his 25:13 season average over 66 games.Josi
Usage
Erik Brannstrom (OTT) played 12:13, −3:57 down on his 16:10 season average over 73 games.Brannstrom
Usage
Cody Glass (NSH) played 11:23, −3:26 down on his 14:49 season average over 71 games.Glass

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 128 of 128 attempts · OTT 73 · NSH 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 29% of the game, OTT 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	OTT
	36	56
	2.39	2.40
	2.26	2.34
	8	11
	4	6
	11	12
	−0.069	+0.069
	29%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Forsberg – Sissons – Parssinen
6:0050% CF
L2Granlund – Niederreiter – Glass
5:5433% CF
L3Novak – Trenin – Jeannot
5:1558% CF
L4Duchene – Johansen – Jankowski
3:4723% CF
D1Lauzon – Fabbro
11:1648% CF
D2McDonagh – Josi
10:2526% CF
D3Ekholm – Carrier
9:3333% CF

PP1Josi – Johansen – Forsberg – Novak – Parssinen
3:2186% CF
PP2Duchene – Ekholm – Granlund – Niederreiter – Glass
2:26100% CF
PK1FJankowski – Trenin
3:13
PK2FSissons – Jeannot
2:53
PK1DEkholm – Carrier
4:13
PK2DMcDonagh – Josi
3:06

Current NSH line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Giroux – Tkachuk – Stützle
6:5768% CF
L2DeBrincat – Batherson – Pinto
6:0643% CF
L3Gambrell – Kelly – Lucchini
5:1556% CF
L4Brassard – Watson – Kastelic
4:1073% CF
D1Chabot – Zub
10:0764% CF
D2Hamonic – Sanderson
8:3340% CF
D3Holden – Brannstrom
5:2664% CF

PP1Chabot – DeBrincat – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
5:2093% CF
PP2Giroux – Brassard – Lucchini – Pinto – Sanderson
3:19100% CF
PK1FWatson – Stützle
1:32
PK2FGambrell – Kelly
1:15
PK1DHamonic – Sanderson
5:27
PK2DHolden – Brannstrom
2:14

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

14:29
NSHRoman Josi (Nino Niederreiter, Filip Forsberg)wrist0.18 xG
NSH: McDonagh, Josi, Niederreiter, Forsberg, ParssinenOTT: Holden, DeBrincat, Brannstrom, Batherson, Pinto
NSH 1 – 0 OTT
15:01
NSHJeremy Lauzon (Tanner Jeannot, Tommy Novak)wrap-around0.19 xG
NSH: Novak, Lauzon, Trenin, Fabbro, JeannotOTT: Giroux, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub
NSH 2 – 0 OTT

3rd period

7:30
NSHFilip Forsberg (Juuso Parssinen, Ryan McDonagh)wrist0.06 xG
NSH: McDonagh, Josi, Forsberg, Sissons, ParssinenOTT: Chabot, DeBrincat, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub
NSH 3 – 0 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.92	2	1	0	18:31	—	—	56	84
Colton Sissons C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.27	2	1	0	15:45	—	—	39	46
Juuso Parssinen C	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.03	1	0	2	14:24	—	—	48	60
Mikael Granlund C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	2	2	0	19:40	—	—	23	20
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.33	0	1	0	14:11	—	—	42	56
Cody Glass C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.25	2	2	0	11:23	—	—	47	62
Yakov Trenin C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	2	14:15	—	—	53	59
Tanner Jeannot L	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.02	1	1	5	11:42	—	—	53	52
Tommy Novak C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	0	0	0	10:38	—	—	47	55
Matt Duchene C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	0	0	0	16:48	—	—	35	49
Ryan Johansen C	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.25	1	0	0	15:55	—	—	21	36
Mark Jankowski L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	12:31	—	—	29	48
Dante Fabbro D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	2	3	0	15:28	—	—	39	66
Jeremy Lauzon D	D1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.53	5	0	8	14:25	—	—	44	62
Roman Josi D	D2	1	0	1	+2	7	0.52	0	3	0	21:45	—	—	35	41
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	2	0	19:55	—	—	30	31
Mattias Ekholm D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	2	0	21:53	—	—	29	20
Alexandre Carrier D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	4	0	18:51	—	—	47	59

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	38	38	0	.1000	3.82	60:00

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tim Stützle C	L1	-2	4	0.51	2	0	0	24:25	—	—	66	41
Claude Giroux R	L1	-1	0	0.19	1	0	2	20:43	—	—	72	52
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	-2	5	0.43	3	0	2	19:43	—	—	67	47
Alex DeBrincat R	L2	-2	4	0.60	3	0	0	18:52	—	—	50	47
Drake Batherson R	L2	-1	5	0.56	0	0	2	16:53	—	—	53	50
Shane Pinto C	L2	-1	2	0.19	0	0	0	15:45	—	—	60	46
Parker Kelly C	L3	0	1	0.18	3	1	0	12:04	—	—	47	45
Jake Lucchini C	L3	0	1	0.08	1	1	0	11:38	—	—	58	58
Dylan Gambrell C	L3	0	1	0.27	1	0	0	11:06	—	—	60	73
Austin Watson L	L4	0	1	0.01	3	2	0	11:30	—	—	63	50
Derick Brassard C	L4	0	2	0.33	0	0	2	11:07	—	—	63	66
Mark Kastelic C	L4	0	2	0.07	1	1	5	7:24	—	—	62	43
Thomas Chabot D	D1	-2	2	0.17	0	0	4	24:31	—	—	66	59
Artem Zub D	D1	-2	1	0.10	1	0	0	17:26	—	—	64	57
Jake Sanderson D	D2	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	23:28	—	—	55	46
Travis Hamonic D	D2	0	3	0.02	2	0	0	17:34	—	—	50	39
Nick Holden D	D3	-1	1	0.06	0	1	0	14:54	—	—	61	51
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	12:13	—	—	60	30

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Talbot(start)	L	36	33	3	.917	3.84	58:12

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.