Nashville Predators vs. Ottawa SenatorsDec 7, 2024

FinalSaturday, Dec 7, 2024· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	0	1	1		NSH	8	12	17	37
OTT	0	2	1	3		OTT	11	11	8	30

: NSH 77OTT 59
: NSH 2.54OTT 3.10
PP goals: NSH 0OTT 0
Hits: NSH 25OTT 24
Blocks: NSH 17OTT 16
PIM: NSH 11OTT 7
: NSH 44%OTT 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators beat Nashville Predators 3–1

Ottawa Senators beat Nashville Predators 3–1 at home. Tim Stützle (OTT) led the scoring with 0G 2A. New look for NSH: Jankowski–Novak–Evangelista skated 8:41 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (73.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Tim Stützle had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:33.Stützle
New line
New look for NSH: Jankowski–Novak–Evangelista skated 8:41 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (73.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jankowski Novak Evangelista
Usage
Claude Giroux (OTT) played 12:08, −6:09 down on his 18:17 season average over 80 games.Giroux
Goalie
Linus Ullmark (OTT) faced 37 shots and stopped 36 (.973), +9 against a season average of 27.9; the win.Ullmark
Usage
Nick Cousins (OTT) played 17:21, +5:33 up on his 11:48 season average over 49 games.Cousins
New line
New look for NSH: Marchessault–L'Heureux–Svechkov skated 7:02 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (41.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Marchessault L'Heureux Svechkov
Luck
NSH scored 1 goal on 2.54 expected goals (77 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Tim Stützle (OTT) played 16:33, −3:18 down on his 19:51 season average over 81 games.Stützle

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 136 of 136 attempts · OTT 59 · NSH 77

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 19% of the game, OTT 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	OTT
	82	65
	2.51	3.11
	2.41	2.95
	17	19
	5	10
	11	18
	−0.057	+0.057
	19%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Stamkos – Nyquist – Forsberg
9:5759% CF
L2Jankowski – Novak – Evangelista
8:4174% CF
L3Sissons – McCarron – Smith
7:2139% CF
L4Marchessault – L'Heureux – Svechkov
7:0241% CF
D1Josi – Carrier
12:3753% CF
D2Schenn – Wilsby
11:2567% CF
D3Skjei – Blankenburg
10:0144% CF

PP1Stamkos – Josi – Nyquist – Marchessault – Forsberg
0:50
PP2Skjei – Novak – Evangelista – L'Heureux – Svechkov
0:48100% CF
PK1FMcCarron – Smith
1:14
PK2FSissons – L'Heureux
1:05
PK1DSkjei – Blankenburg
2:23
PK2DJosi – Carrier
2:19

Current NSH line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Cousins – Amadio – Pinto
14:0944% CF
L2Norris – Batherson – Tkachuk
10:4148% CF
L3Gregor – Greig – Ostapchuk
9:0040% CF
L4Giroux – Gaudette – Stützle
7:2744% CF
D1Jensen – Chabot
18:3039% CF
D2Bernard-Docker – Kleven
12:0241% CF
D3Hamonic – Sanderson
11:3553% CF

PP1Norris – Batherson – Tkachuk – Sanderson – Stützle
4:24100% CF
PP2Giroux – Jensen – Chabot – Gaudette – Greig
0:56
PK1FGiroux – Norris
1:08
PK2FAmadio – Pinto
0:35
PK1DHamonic – Sanderson
1:07
PK2DJensen – Chabot
0:36

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

5:07
OTTJacob Bernard-Docker (Tim Stützle, Adam Gaudette)wrist0.05 xG
NSH: Marchessault, Skjei, L'Heureux, Svechkov, BlankenburgOTT: Giroux, Gaudette, Bernard-Docker, Kleven, Stützle
NSH 0 – 1 OTT
16:52
OTTClaude Giroux (Tim Stützle)wrist0.10 xG
NSH: Stamkos, Josi, Forsberg, Carrier, EvangelistaOTT: Giroux, Hamonic, Gaudette, Sanderson, Stützle
NSH 0 – 2 OTT

3rd period

12:37
OTTNick Cousins (Michael Amadio)snap0.23 xG
NSH: Josi, Jankowski, Novak, Evangelista, BlankenburgOTT: Cousins, Amadio, Bernard-Docker, Kleven, Stützle
NSH 0 – 3 OTT
18:03
NSHFedor Svechkov (Mark Jankowski, Zachary L'Heureux)wrist0.07 xG
NSH: Schenn, Skjei, Jankowski, L'Heureux, SvechkovOTT: Jensen, Gregor, Greig, Kleven, Ostapchuk
NSH 1 – 3 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	1	0	0	19:00	—	—	63	50
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.14	2	0	0	17:48	—	—	50	26
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.34	2	0	0	15:47	—	—	51	30
Luke Evangelista R	L2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.16	2	1	0	16:21	—	—	74	53
Mark Jankowski L	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.26	0	0	0	14:45	—	—	78	70
Tommy Novak C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.15	0	0	0	13:54	—	—	77	68
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.28	1	2	0	13:22	—	—	39	53
Cole Smith R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.29	1	0	5	13:10	—	—	46	56
Michael McCarron C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	3	2	12:36	—	—	36	52
Jonathan Marchessault R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	15:53	—	—	41	23
Fedor Svechkov C	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.22	1	1	0	14:16	—	—	52	41
Zachary L'Heureux L	L4	0	1	1	0	3	0.14	2	1	2	12:38	—	—	50	45
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.10	1	3	2	26:04	—	—	57	39
Alexandre Carrier D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	4	0	15:39	—	—	56	32
Adam Wilsby D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	18:24	—	—	70	83
Luke Schenn D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	4	1	0	17:49	—	—	60	48
Brady Skjei D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	20:29	—	—	45	41
Nick Blankenburg D	D3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.17	0	1	0	18:12	—	—	51	51

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	30	27	3	.900	2.67	57:53

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Shane Pinto C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.53	1	0	0	17:56	—	—	43	52
Nick Cousins C	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.60	5	3	0	17:21	—	—	49	65
Michael Amadio R	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.17	3	0	0	17:14	—	—	49	65
Brady Tkachuk L	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.40	3	1	0	19:21	—	—	44	63
Drake Batherson R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	1	0	18:35	—	—	44	63
Josh Norris C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.52	2	2	0	18:20	—	—	51	80
Ridly Greig C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	4	0	0	13:40	—	—	42	28
Noah Gregor L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	0	0	11:46	—	—	44	26
Zack Ostapchuk C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	5	10:20	—	—	39	26
Tim Stützle C	L4	0	2	2	+3	1	0.15	1	1	2	16:33	—	—	41	45
Claude Giroux R	L4	1	0	1	+2	2	0.20	1	0	0	12:08	—	—	33	45
Adam Gaudette R	L4	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:31	—	—	40	44
Nick Jensen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	2	0	23:09	—	—	37	52
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	0	2	0	22:22	—	—	41	57
Tyler Kleven D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	0	2	0	17:41	—	—	41	54
Jacob Bernard-Docker D	D2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.08	0	0	0	14:08	—	—	40	56
Jake Sanderson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.16	0	1	0	22:40	—	—	54	58
Travis Hamonic D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	0	1	0	15:20	—	—	54	55

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	37	36	1	.973	2.54	59:55

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Jacob Bernard-Docker (OTT) 2nd 5:07 · assists Tim Stützle, Adam Gaudette · Odd-man rush · carried in · 2-on-1 at the blue line · 70.9 mph shot · 3.3 s from entry to goal.

Jacob Bernard-Docker · 2nd 5:07 · OTT

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 70.9 mph
Distance: 29 ft
Entry to goal: 3.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Claude Giroux · 2nd 16:52 · OTT

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 21.1 mph
Distance: 23 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nick Cousins · 3rd 12:37 · OTT

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 46.9 mph
Distance: 19 ft
Entry to goal: 2.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Fedor Svechkov · 3rd 18:03 · NSH

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 49.4 mph
Distance: 27 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.