Nashville Predators vs. Ottawa SenatorsOct 13, 2025

FinalMonday, Oct 13, 2025· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NSH	0	1	3	4		NSH	6	6	14	26
OTT	0	0	1	1		OTT	7	12	13	32

: NSH 56OTT 66
: NSH 4.45OTT 2.93
PP goals: NSH 0OTT 0
Hits: NSH 20OTT 29
Blocks: NSH 14OTT 15
PIM: NSH 10OTT 10
: NSH 29%OTT 71%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Ottawa Senators 4–1

Nashville Predators beat Ottawa Senators 4–1 at OTT. Jonathan Marchessault (NSH) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for OTT: Eller–Cousins–Lycksell skated 5:10 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (46.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Jonathan Marchessault had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:46.Marchessault
New line
New look for OTT: Eller–Cousins–Lycksell skated 5:10 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (46.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Eller Cousins Lycksell
Usage
Luke Evangelista (NSH) played 11:33, −5:08 down on his 16:41 season average over 80 games.Evangelista
New line
New look for NSH: O'Reilly–Forsberg–Kemell skated 5:43 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (70% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.O'Reilly Forsberg Kemell
Luck
OTT scored 1 goal on 2.93 expected goals (66 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Tyler Kleven (OTT) played 13:53, −3:31 down on his 17:24 season average over 69 games.Kleven
Usage
Artem Zub (OTT) played 17:42, −3:08 down on his 20:50 season average over 80 games.Zub
Usage
Brady Tkachuk (OTT) played 13:53, −3:08 down on his 17:01 season average over 59 games.Tkachuk

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NSH attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
NSH
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · OTT 66 · NSH 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
NSH
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
NSH pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NSH 29% of the game, OTT 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

NSH

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

OTT skaters (rows) against NSH skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the OTT side.

Matchup matrix

OTT xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NSH	OTT
	47	56
	1.63	2.27
	1.58	2.14
	6	8
	4	7
	20	13
	−0.225	+0.225
	29%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

L1Haula – Marchessault – Bunting
8:3643% CF
L2McCarron – Jost – Smith
8:3229% CF
L3O'Reilly – Forsberg – Kemell
5:4370% CF
L4Stamkos – Evangelista – Svechkov
5:0163% CF
D1Josi – Wilsby
12:1836% CF
D2Skjei – Perbix
12:0941% CF
D3Stastney – Barron
11:3956% CF

PP1Stamkos – Josi – O'Reilly – Marchessault – Forsberg
5:51100% CF
PP2Skjei – Bunting – Evangelista – Svechkov – Kemell
3:19100% CF
PK1FMcCarron – Smith
3:12
PK2FHaula – Svechkov
0:34
PK1DJosi – Wilsby
1:51
PK2DSkjei – Perbix
1:08

Current NSH line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Eller – Cousins – Lycksell
5:1046% CF
L2Giroux – Pinto – Greig
5:0640% CF
L3Zetterlund – Tkachuk – Stützle
4:3260% CF
L4Perron – Amadio – Cozens
4:18100% CF
D1Spence – Kleven
11:1845% CF
D2Sanderson – Zub
10:2858% CF
D3Jensen – Chabot
9:4355% CF

PP1Tkachuk – Cozens – Pinto – Sanderson – Stützle
3:19100% CF
PP2Giroux – Perron – Chabot – Zetterlund – Greig
1:480% CF
PK1FEller – Amadio
2:44
PK2FPinto – Greig
2:24
PK1DSanderson – Zub
5:26
PK2DJensen – Chabot
3:03

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

12:11
NSHJonathan Marchessault (Michael Bunting, Erik Haula)wrist0.18 xG
NSH: Haula, Marchessault, Bunting, Stastney, BarronOTT: Perron, Lycksell, Cozens, Spence, Kleven
NSH 1 – 0 OTT

3rd period

14:38
NSHRyan O'Reilly (Steven Stamkos, Filip Forsberg)snap0.28 xG
NSH: Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Forsberg, WilsbyOTT: Eller, Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Cozens
NSH 2 – 0 OTT
17:57
OTTRidly Greig (Dylan Cozens, Jake Sanderson)deflected0.13 xG
NSH: Skjei, McCarron, Perbix, SmithOTT: Giroux, Cozens, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Stützle
NSH 2 – 1 OTT
19:06
NSHJonathan MarchessaultEN (Roman Josi)wrist0.76 xG
NSH: Josi, Marchessault, Forsberg, McCarron, BarronOTT: Giroux, Cozens, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Stützle
NSH 3 – 1 OTT
19:48
NSHCole SmithEN (Luke Evangelista)wrist0.81 xG
NSH: Josi, Haula, Smith, Evangelista, WilsbyOTT: Perron, Eller, Amadio, Chabot, Zetterlund, Spence
NSH 4 – 1 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jonathan Marchessault R	L1	2	0	2	+2	3	0.96	3	1	0	18:46	—	—	40	23
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:42	—	—	43	34
Erik Haula L	L1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	2	1	4	14:01	—	—	39	24
Michael McCarron C	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	4	1	0	16:23	—	—	38	32
Cole Smith R	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.99	1	2	0	15:49	—	—	35	21
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	2	0	0	11:11	—	—	39	33
Ryan O'Reilly C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.44	1	0	0	20:06	—	—	48	53
Filip Forsberg L	L3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.15	2	0	0	19:42	—	—	52	55
Joakim Kemell R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	9:46	—	—	64	57
Steven Stamkos C	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.82	0	1	0	17:22	—	—	47	60
Luke Evangelista R	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	0	0	0	11:33	—	—	70	69
Fedor Svechkov C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	0	2	10:06	—	—	73	69
Roman Josi D	D1	0	1	1	+3	4	0.18	1	1	2	24:54	—	—	39	58
Adam Wilsby D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	0	0	0	17:02	—	—	35	54
Brady Skjei D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	22:56	—	—	45	22
Nick Perbix D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.36	0	2	2	17:15	—	—	44	26
Justin Barron D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	2	1	0	15:35	—	—	58	41
Spencer Stastney D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	1	0	13:43	—	—	60	41

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	32	31	1	.969	2.93	60:00

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Lars Eller C	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:41	—	—	47	33
Olle Lycksell R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	0	8:18	—	—	45	68
Nick Cousins C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	0	0	8:14	—	—	50	61
Shane Pinto C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	2	1	4	19:20	—	—	43	55
Ridly Greig C	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.26	0	0	0	18:26	—	—	42	51
Claude Giroux R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.28	0	0	0	16:34	—	—	53	55
Tim Stützle C	L3	0	0	0	-1	6	0.69	3	2	0	22:31	—	—	61	77
Fabian Zetterlund L	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.46	2	0	0	14:50	—	—	56	36
Brady Tkachuk L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	6	0	0	13:53	—	—	59	56
Dylan Cozens C	L4	0	1	1	-3	3	0.19	7	0	0	16:43	—	—	63	37
Michael Amadio R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.24	2	0	0	13:29	—	—	77	100
David Perron L	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.09	0	0	2	12:24	—	—	63	61
Jordan Spence D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.26	0	2	0	17:44	—	—	51	60
Tyler Kleven D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	3	2	13:53	—	—	46	52
Jake Sanderson D	D2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.09	0	2	0	25:58	—	—	64	78
Artem Zub D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	1	0	17:42	—	—	55	58
Thomas Chabot D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	0	1	0	22:22	—	—	57	44
Nick Jensen D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	2	2	15:51	—	—	58	55

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	L	24	22	2	.917	2.06	57:07

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Jonathan Marchessault (NSH) 2nd 12:11 · assists Michael Bunting, Erik Haula · Forecheck turnover · 25.4 mph shot.

Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 12:11 · NSH

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 2
Shot: 25.4 mph
Distance: 9 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 14:38 · NSH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 1
Shot: 20.3 mph
Distance: 19 ft
Entry to goal: 3.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ridly Greig · 3rd 17:57 · OTT

Play: deflection
Passes: 0
Shot: 22.0 mph
Distance: 4 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 19:06 · NSH EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 51.0 mph
Distance: 36 ft
Entry to goal: 1.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Cole Smith · 3rd 19:48 · NSH EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 73.3 mph
Distance: 31 ft
Entry to goal: 1.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.