Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay LightningNov 3, 2026

Time TBDTuesday, Nov 3, 2026

away

Detroit Red WingsDET

at

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

Preview

Probable goalies, start odds, schedule edge and each team's lines from its last game.

Schedule Edge

Edge: TBL +11.5 pts

DETaway−11.5 pts

Back-to-back · 289 km travel

B2B vs rested TBL −9.3 pts
Backup likely (53%) −2.2 pts

TBLhome+11.5 pts

2 days rest · 1,000 km travel

DET on a B2B +9.3 pts
DET backup likely (53%) +2.2 pts

TBL has the schedule edge (+11.5 pts net win probability): det on a b2b, det backup likely (53%), b2b vs rested tbl, backup likely (53%).

· Every game this week →

Detroit Red Wings

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Daniil Tarasov53%
John Gibson47%
Schedule: Second of a back-to-back
Last game: L 0–2 vs NYR · Oct 2

L1Copp – DeBrincat – Raymond
14:09
L2Compher – Arvidsson – Finnie
9:42
L3Kolesar – Rasmussen – Kasper
7:12
L4Appleton – Danielson – Brandsegg-Nygård
5:03
D1Faulk – Johansson
15:03
D2Seider – Johansson
12:37
D3Chiarot – Sandin-Pellikka
10:20
PP1Copp – Arvidsson – DeBrincat – Seider – Raymond
2:03

Projected DET lines →·DET goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Tampa Bay Lightning

Goalie: Starter not announced
Start probability: Andrei Vasilevskiy96%
Dennis Hildeby4%
Schedule: Rested
Last game: L 1–5 at NYR · Oct 1

L1Guentzel – Cirelli – Hagel
8:05
L2Kucherov – Point – Mikheyev
6:58
L3Harkins – Goncalves – Geekie
5:04
L4Girgensons – Viel – Holmberg
4:59
D1McDonagh – Cernak
11:26
D2Hedman – D'Astous
11:01
D3Carlson – Moser
9:29
PP1Carlson – Kucherov – Guentzel – Point – Hagel
7:18

Projected TBL lines →·TBL goalies →·Goalie start planner →

Game day: all games on Nov 3.

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.