Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 14, 2024

FinalSunday, Jan 14, 2024· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DET	0	1	3	4		DET	10	7	7	24
TOR	0	2	0	2		TOR	7	14	9	30

: DET 52TOR 67
: DET 3.21TOR 2.59
PP goals: DET 0TOR 0
Hits: DET 43TOR 28
Blocks: DET 20TOR 14
PIM: DET 6TOR 4
: DET 39%TOR 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–2

Detroit Red Wings beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–2 at TOR. Dylan Larkin (DET) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for TOR: Nylander–Matthews–Holmberg skated 12:09 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (72% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Dylan Larkin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 21:38.Larkin
New line
New look for TOR: Nylander–Matthews–Holmberg skated 12:09 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (72% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nylander Matthews Holmberg
Usage
Patrick Kane (DET) played 1:07, −17:37 down on his 18:44 season average over 49 games.Kane
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Jarnkrok–Robertson skated 10:10 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (56.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Jarnkrok Robertson
New line
New look for TOR: Bertuzzi–Domi–Marner skated 10:01 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (60.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bertuzzi Domi Marner
New line
New look for TOR: Gregor–Kampf–Knies skated 7:35 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (26.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Gregor Kampf Knies
Usage
Mitch Marner (TOR) played 17:42, −3:38 down on his 21:20 season average over 68 games.Marner
Usage
Matthew Knies (TOR) played 9:26, −4:18 down on his 13:44 season average over 79 games.Knies

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · TOR 67 · DET 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 20% of the game, TOR 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	TOR
	49	64
	1.88	2.16
	1.81	2.10
	5	11
	4	5
	25	28
	−0.077	+0.077
	20%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Perron – Larkin – Raymond
8:5553% CF
L2Copp – Fischer – Rasmussen
7:1825% CF
L3Fabbri – Sprong – Veleno
3:1175% CF
D1Petry – Chiarot
15:5534% CF
D2Gostisbehere – Seider
15:3042% CF
D3Holl – Maatta
10:4947% CF

PP1Perron – Gostisbehere – Compher – Larkin – Raymond
2:1567% CF
PP2Fabbri – Sprong – DeBrincat – Veleno – Seider
1:36100% CF
PK1FCopp – Compher
3:05
PK2FLarkin – Rasmussen
1:42
PK1DPetry – Chiarot
2:41
PK2DMaatta – Seider
1:09

Current DET line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Nylander – Matthews – Holmberg
12:0972% CF
L2Tavares – Jarnkrok – Robertson
10:1056% CF
L3Bertuzzi – Domi – Marner
10:0161% CF
L4Gregor – Kampf – Knies
7:3527% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
16:1747% CF
D2McCabe – Liljegren
13:3355% CF
D3Timmins – Benoit
9:3376% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
3:2756% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Bertuzzi – Domi – Timmins – Liljegren
1:5975% CF
PK1FMatthews – Gregor
1:07
PK2FMarner – Kampf
1:06
PK1DBrodie – McCabe
2:13
PK2DLiljegren – Benoit
1:18

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

0:32
TORPontus Holmberg (Morgan Rielly)tip-in0.09 xG
DET: Petry, Perron, Chiarot, Larkin, RaymondTOR: Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Holmberg
DET 0 – 1 TOR
15:39
DETDylan Larkin (David Perron)snap0.07 xG
DET: Perron, Holl, Maatta, Larkin, RaymondTOR: Tavares, Jarnkrok, McCabe, Liljegren, Robertson
DET 1 – 1 TOR
18:18
TORMitch Marner (Tyler Bertuzzi, Jake McCabe)tip-in0.08 xG
DET: Petry, Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, RaymondTOR: McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Marner, Timmins
DET 1 – 2 TOR

3rd period

2:46
DETDaniel Sprong (Alex DeBrincat)backhand0.13 xG
DET: Holl, Maatta, Compher, Sprong, DeBrincatTOR: Brodie, Rielly, Gregor, Kampf, Knies
DET 2 – 2 TOR
18:20
DETAndrew Copp (Michael Rasmussen)wrist0.16 xG
DET: Petry, Chiarot, Copp, Fischer, RasmussenTOR: McCabe, Gregor, Liljegren, Kampf, Knies
DET 3 – 2 TOR
19:41
DETLucas RaymondEN (Ben Chiarot, Dylan Larkin)wrist0.76 xG
DET: Chiarot, Compher, Larkin, Seider, RaymondTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
DET 4 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	1	1	2	0	5	0.23	0	0	0	21:38	—	—	46	34
Lucas Raymond L	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.76	3	2	2	17:54	—	—	39	26
David Perron L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	16:08	—	—	57	53
Andrew Copp C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.16	2	0	0	16:59	—	—	26	26
Michael Rasmussen C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.23	8	3	0	16:09	—	—	19	28
Christian Fischer R	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	10:35	—	—	18	39
Daniel Sprong R	L3	1	0	1	+1	4	0.38	1	1	2	14:20	—	—	50	46
Joseph Veleno C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.76	1	1	0	13:34	—	—	50	61
Robby Fabbri C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	2	0	0	12:19	—	—	62	89
Ben Chiarot D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	5	2	0	22:44	—	—	39	57
Jeff Petry D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	5	2	20:51	—	—	33	59
Moritz Seider D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	5	2	0	22:50	—	—	46	27
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	1	0	0	20:09	—	—	44	29
Olli Maatta D	D3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.03	2	0	0	15:26	—	—	55	52
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	2	1	0	13:50	—	—	56	72
J.T. Compher L	—	0	0	0	+2	3	0.14	3	1	0	20:39	—	—	51	36
Alex DeBrincat R	—	0	1	1	0	0	0.18	2	0	0	17:16	—	—	47	50
Patrick Kane R	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	1:07	—	—	50	100

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
James Reimer(start)	W	30	28	2	.933	2.59	59:32

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.33	0	0	0	21:02	—	—	67	39
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.44	0	0	0	20:29	—	—	73	45
Pontus Holmberg R	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.12	2	1	0	12:57	—	—	73	39
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	1	0	0	18:19	—	—	52	57
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.11	2	0	0	17:41	—	—	59	68
Nick Robertson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	1	1	0	12:14	—	—	60	78
Mitch Marner R	L3	1	0	1	0	4	0.28	1	0	0	17:42	—	—	60	69
Max Domi C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.23	0	1	0	14:45	—	—	63	74
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.27	0	1	2	14:40	—	—	54	62
David Kampf C	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.17	0	0	0	11:30	—	—	32	43
Noah Gregor L	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	4	1	0	10:52	—	—	28	41
Matthew Knies L	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	0	0	9:26	—	—	31	30
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.02	3	1	2	23:23	—	—	49	38
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	0	21:49	—	—	47	35
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	20:31	—	—	56	66
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	3	4	0	20:26	—	—	53	66
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	1	0	15:30	—	—	71	66
Conor Timmins D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.23	2	0	0	13:31	—	—	75	85

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	L	23	20	3	.870	2.45	59:13

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Pontus Holmberg (TOR) 2nd 0:32 · assists Morgan Rielly · Deflection · 42.9 mph shot.

Pontus Holmberg · 2nd 0:32 · TOR

Play: deflection
Passes: 1
Shot: 42.9 mph
Distance: 16 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dylan Larkin · 2nd 15:39 · DET

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 44.7 mph
Distance: 24 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mitch Marner · 2nd 18:18 · TOR

Play: deflection
Entry: dump
Odd man: 4-on-2
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 25.8 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Entry to goal: 4.7 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Daniel Sprong · 3rd 2:46 · DET

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 1
Shot: 28.6 mph
Distance: 7 ft
Entry to goal: 2.4 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Andrew Copp · 3rd 18:20 · DET

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 54.2 mph
Distance: 25 ft
Entry to goal: 7.2 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Lucas Raymond · 3rd 19:41 · DET EN

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 60.2 mph
Distance: 59 ft
Entry to goal: 1.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.