Detroit Red Wings vs. Buffalo SabresOct 24, 2017

FinalTuesday, Oct 24, 2017· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
DET	0	0	0	0		DET	10	10	12	32
BUF	0	1	0	1		BUF	12	13	7	32

: DET 47BUF 46
: DET 2.16BUF 3.06
PP goals: DET 0BUF 0
Hits: DET 19BUF 28
Blocks: DET 6BUF 8
PIM: DET 10BUF 6
: DET 45%BUF 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Detroit Red Wings 1–0

Buffalo Sabres beat Detroit Red Wings 1–0 at home. Benoit Pouliot (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for BUF: Okposo–Kane–Eichel skated 13:11 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (55% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Kane–Eichel skated 13:11 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (55% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Kane Eichel
Luck
DET scored 0 goals on 2.16 expected goals (47 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 3.06 expected goals (46 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Moulson–Larsson–Griffith skated 5:39 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Moulson Larsson Griffith
New line
New look for BUF: Nolan–Bailey–Reinhart skated 9:10 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (44.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nolan Bailey Reinhart
Usage
Taylor Fedun (BUF) played 10:29, −4:54 down on his 15:23 season average over 6 games.Fedun
Usage
Scott Wilson (DET) played 5:52, −6:26 down on his 12:18 season average over 68 games.Wilson
Usage
Seth Griffith (BUF) played 6:22, −4:25 down on his 10:47 season average over 20 games.Griffith

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← DET attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
DET
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 93 of 93 attempts · BUF 46 · DET 47

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
DET
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
DET pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: DET 31% of the game, BUF 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

DET

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	DET	BUF
	42	38
	2.09	1.53
	2.02	1.49
	11	6
	1	6
	13	17
	−0.053	+0.053
	31%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Detroit Red Wings

L1Abdelkader – Tatar – Larkin
4:4750% CF
L2Zetterberg – Nyquist – Mantha
4:340% CF
L3Nielsen – Helm – Frk
3:3929% CF
D1Kronwall – Green
13:4055% CF
D2Daley – Ericsson
11:2448% CF
D3Jensen – Ouellet
7:0347% CF

PP1Nielsen – Green – Frk – Mantha – Larkin
0:59
PP2Kronwall – Daley – Tatar – Mantha – Larkin
0:36100% CF
PK1FNielsen – Helm
3:35
PK2FAbdelkader – Glendening
1:46
PK1DDaley – Ericsson
4:39
PK2DJensen – Ouellet
1:07

Current DET line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Kane – Eichel
13:1155% CF
L2Pominville – Pouliot – O'Reilly
12:0647% CF
L3Nolan – Bailey – Reinhart
9:1044% CF
L4Moulson – Larsson – Griffith
5:3950% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
19:2557% CF
D2Tennyson – McCabe
13:4726% CF
D3Fedun – Antipin
8:2656% CF

PP1O'Reilly – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Antipin
4:0488% CF
PP2Pominville – Okposo – Scandella – Kane – Tennyson
1:3233% CF
PK1FLarsson – Bailey
0:48
PK2FPouliot – O'Reilly
0:29
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
1:30
PK2DFedun – McCabe
0:23

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

9:45
BUFBenoit Pouliot (Victor Antipin, Taylor Fedun)wrap-around0.05 xG
DET: Zetterberg, Abdelkader, Jensen, Ouellet, GlendeningBUF: Pouliot, Nolan, Fedun, Reinhart, Antipin
DET 0 – 1 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	0	2	0.27	0	0	6	20:16	—	—	65	58
Tomas Tatar L	L1	0	1	0.03	1	3	0	18:29	—	—	57	43
Justin Abdelkader L	L1	-1	3	0.40	2	1	0	17:45	—	—	43	34
Henrik Zetterberg C	L2	-1	2	0.07	1	0	2	20:28	—	—	28	30
Gustav Nyquist R	L2	0	4	0.09	0	0	0	19:01	—	—	50	30
Anthony Mantha R	L2	0	2	0.10	3	0	2	17:35	—	—	56	49
Darren Helm C	L3	0	1	0.17	0	0	0	17:01	—	—	47	84
Frans Nielsen C	L3	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:51	—	—	50	68
Martin Frk R	L3	0	3	0.30	1	0	0	12:09	—	—	62	79
Mike Green D	D1	0	0	0.01	0	1	0	24:48	—	—	54	34
Niklas Kronwall D	D1	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	20:29	—	—	57	43
Trevor Daley D	D2	0	4	0.04	0	0	0	22:54	—	—	54	53
Jonathan Ericsson D	D2	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	22:20	—	—	50	53
Nick Jensen D	D3	-1	1	0.00	1	0	0	13:24	—	—	50	84
Xavier Ouellet D	D3	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:39	—	—	47	69
Luke Glendening C	—	-1	5	0.50	3	1	0	9:11	—	—	43	75
Scott Wilson C	—	0	3	0.14	0	0	0	5:52	—	—	67	84
Luke Witkowski D	—	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	2:54	—	—	67	51

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	L	32	31	1	.969	1.94	57:54

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	0	0	2	21:56	—	—	54	45
Evander Kane L	L1	0	0	0	0	7	0.30	2	0	0	18:03	—	—	57	45
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:28	—	—	52	45
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.80	1	0	2	22:17	—	—	39	53
Jason Pominville R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	17:08	—	—	45	53
Benoit Pouliot L	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.21	3	0	0	15:22	—	—	50	59
Sam Reinhart C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.22	5	2	0	16:49	—	—	39	49
Justin Bailey R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	2	1	0	11:54	—	—	33	46
Jordan Nolan C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	0	0	10:03	—	—	50	52
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.70	0	0	0	11:02	—	—	46	22
Matt Moulson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	6:25	—	—	50	23
Seth Griffith C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:22	—	—	50	23
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	29:25	—	—	59	69
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.41	2	1	0	27:30	—	—	57	68
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	0	0	20:31	—	—	35	30
Matt Tennyson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	0	18:24	—	—	26	26
Victor Antipin D	D3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.04	0	0	2	13:54	—	—	53	22
Taylor Fedun D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	1	1	0	10:29	—	—	65	25

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Robin Lehner(start)	W	32	32	0	.1000	2.16	59:58

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.