Buffalo Sabres vs. Colorado AvalancheMar 9, 2019

FinalSaturday, Mar 9, 2019· Pepsi Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	0	0	0		BUF	4	3	11	18
COL	0	1	2	3		COL	12	14	17	43

: BUF 38COL 76
: BUF 1.47COL 3.81
PP goals: BUF 0COL 1
Hits: BUF 36COL 26
Blocks: BUF 22COL 11
PIM: BUF 10COL 6
: BUF 38%COL 62%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche beat Buffalo Sabres 3–0

Colorado Avalanche beat Buffalo Sabres 3–0 at home. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 1G 2A. New look for COL: Brassard–Compher–MacKinnon skated 12:16 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (57.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 22:23.MacKinnon
New line
New look for COL: Brassard–Compher–MacKinnon skated 12:16 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (57.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Brassard Compher MacKinnon
Goalie
Carter Hutton (BUF) faced 42 shots and stopped 40 (.952), +11 against a season average of 30.8; the loss.Hutton
New line
New look for COL: Soderberg–Wilson–Rantanen skated 11:37 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (68.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Soderberg Wilson Rantanen
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Larsson–Mittelstadt skated 6:45 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Larsson Mittelstadt
New line
New look for BUF: Sobotka–Wilson–Girgensons skated 7:30 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (58.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sobotka Wilson Girgensons
New line
New look for COL: Bourque–Agozzino–Andrighetto skated 5:03 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (55.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bourque Agozzino Andrighetto
New line
New look for COL: Calvert–Kerfoot–Jost skated 9:01 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (87.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Calvert Kerfoot Jost

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · COL 76 · BUF 38

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 13% of the game, COL 58%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	COL
	37	73
	1.21	2.53
	1.21	2.45
	7	11
	4	4
	12	18
	−0.123	+0.123
	13%	58%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
13:3941% CF
L2Okposo – Sheary – Rodrigues
12:0712% CF
L3Sobotka – Wilson – Girgensons
7:3058% CF
L4Pominville – Larsson – Mittelstadt
6:4550% CF
D1Bogosian – Montour
16:3131% CF
D2Ristolainen – Dahlin
15:2737% CF
D3Scandella – Nelson
9:4027% CF

PP1Ristolainen – Sheary – Reinhart – Eichel – Dahlin
1:14
PP2Pominville – Okposo – Montour – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
0:46100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
2:06
PK2FSobotka – Wilson
1:36
PK1DBogosian – Ristolainen
1:58

Current BUF line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Brassard – Compher – MacKinnon
12:1658% CF
L2Soderberg – Wilson – Rantanen
11:3768% CF
L3Calvert – Kerfoot – Jost
9:0188% CF
L4Bourque – Agozzino – Andrighetto
5:0356% CF
D1Johnson – Girard
13:2965% CF
D2Nemeth – Zadorov
12:2068% CF
D3Cole – Barrie
12:0765% CF

PP1Brassard – Barrie – Compher – MacKinnon – Rantanen
2:30100% CF
PP2Soderberg – Wilson – Kerfoot – Jost – Girard
0:47100% CF
PK1FSoderberg – Calvert
1:18
PK2FBourque – Compher
0:29
PK1DJohnson – Nemeth
0:46

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

3:14
COLNathan MacKinnonwrist0.13 xG
BUF: Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, DahlinCOL: Johnson, Bourque, Andrighetto, MacKinnon, Girard
BUF 0 – 1 COL

3rd period

10:13
COLMikko RantanenPP (Tyson Barrie, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.19 xG
BUF: Bogosian, Girgensons, RistolainenCOL: Brassard, Barrie, MacKinnon, Rantanen
BUF 0 – 2 COL
18:50
COLGabriel BourqueEN (Erik Johnson, Nathan MacKinnon)wrist0.36 xG
BUF: Sobotka, Skinner, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel, DahlinCOL: Johnson, Bourque, Nemeth, Compher, MacKinnon
BUF 0 – 3 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sam Reinhart C	L1	-2	2	0.36	1	0	2	21:15	—	—	40	39
Jack Eichel C	L1	-2	2	0.18	2	3	2	20:38	—	—	39	30
Jeff Skinner L	L1	-2	0	0.04	0	0	2	17:49	—	—	37	30
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	0	0.15	3	2	0	16:49	—	—	14	28
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:35	—	—	10	14
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	1	0.16	4	2	0	15:21	—	—	14	25
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	11:54	—	—	50	46
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	-1	1	0.01	3	0	0	10:56	—	—	47	40
Scott Wilson C	L3	0	2	0.18	1	0	0	10:16	—	—	54	37
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0.00	4	0	2	13:02	—	—	44	40
Jason Pominville R	L4	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	11:08	—	—	50	82
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	1	0.09	0	2	0	10:32	—	—	50	56
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0.00	4	4	0	24:15	—	—	33	38
Brandon Montour D	D1	-1	2	0.08	0	1	0	23:01	—	—	29	34
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	-1	3	0.05	4	2	0	23:10	—	—	40	43
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	-2	1	0.03	1	2	2	21:14	—	—	35	31
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0.14	1	1	0	14:17	—	—	31	27
Casey Nelson D	D3	0	2	0.01	3	1	0	13:21	—	—	33	12

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	42	40	2	.952	3.08	58:40

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	2	3	+2	3	0.27	2	0	0	22:23	—	—	59	66
Derick Brassard C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.40	3	0	0	19:25	—	—	55	59
J.T. Compher L	L1	0	0	0	+1	5	0.36	1	1	2	17:39	—	—	58	53
Mikko Rantanen R	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.22	0	1	2	20:01	—	—	70	65
Carl Soderberg C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	3	1	0	18:36	—	—	68	48
Colin Wilson C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	16:53	—	—	70	64
Matt Calvert L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:11	—	—	75	83
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	0	0	13:36	—	—	80	82
Tyson Jost C	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.54	1	0	0	13:26	—	—	76	81
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	1	0	1	+2	1	0.36	3	0	0	9:13	—	—	47	49
Sven Andrighetto R	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	1	0	0	8:17	—	—	69	72
Andrew Agozzino L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:52	—	—	56	41
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.07	1	1	0	19:16	—	—	64	70
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	1	1	+2	4	0.48	3	0	0	19:13	—	—	69	84
Nikita Zadorov D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.36	1	1	2	19:31	—	—	70	76
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	3	0	16:44	—	—	64	68
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	1	1	0	4	0.34	2	2	0	21:39	—	—	76	75
Ian Cole D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	0	1	0	18:30	—	—	52	39

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Philipp Grubauer(start)	W	18	18	0	.1000	1.47	59:35

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.