Buffalo Sabres vs. Boston BruinsDec 31, 2022

Final / OTSaturday, Dec 31, 2022· TD Garden

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	1	1	1	1	4		BUF	10	6	8	1	25
BOS	1	0	2	0	3		BOS	9	11	19	1	40

: BUF 42BOS 67
: BUF 2.04BOS 4.67
PP goals: BUF 0BOS 1
Hits: BUF 27BOS 30
Blocks: BUF 17BOS 12
PIM: BUF 17BOS 11
: BUF 44%BOS 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Boston Bruins 4–3 (OT)

Buffalo Sabres beat Boston Bruins 4–3 in overtime at BOS. Alex Tuch (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 2A. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) faced 40 shots and stopped 37 (.925), +8 against a season average of 31.9; the win.

Points
Alex Tuch had two goals and 2 assists (4 points) on 2 shots in 21:30.Tuch
Points
Brad Marchand had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 22:49.Marchand
Points
David Pastrnak had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 20:30.Pastrnak
Points
Dylan Cozens had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:26.Cozens
Goalie
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) faced 40 shots and stopped 37 (.925), +8 against a season average of 31.9; the win.Luukkonen
Luck
BUF scored 4 goals on 2.04 expected goals (42 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Brad Marchand (BOS) played 22:49, +4:21 up on his 18:28 season average over 72 games.Marchand
Usage
Charlie McAvoy (BOS) played 26:48, +4:34 up on his 22:14 season average over 66 games.McAvoy

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)BOS attacks right (top on phones) →

BOS
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · BOS 67 · BUF 42

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BOS
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BOS pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 17% of the game, BOS 59%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BOS

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	BOS
	35	53
	1.69	3.23
	1.65	3.13
	7	18
	4	2
	13	19
	−0.129	+0.129
	17%	59%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
11:3038% CF
L2Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
9:0973% CF
L3Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
8:4139% CF
L4Olofsson – Jost – Mittelstadt
7:0367% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
12:2133% CF
D2Clague – Power
6:2655% CF
D3Bryson – Lyubushkin
2:1950% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
3:0675% CF
PP2Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Quinn – Peterka – Power
2:1733% CF
PK1FKrebs – Cozens
0:51
PK2FJost – Quinn
0:50
PK1DSamuelsson – Lyubushkin
1:22
PK2DDahlin – Power
0:49

Current BUF line combinations →

Boston Bruins

L1Bergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk
11:4167% CF
L2Krejci – Pastrnak – Zacha
8:1869% CF
L3Foligno – Greer – Frederic
4:3533% CF
L4Smith – Coyle – Hall
4:3250% CF
D1Lindholm – McAvoy
12:3257% CF
D2Grzelcyk – Carlo
7:4650% CF
D3Forbort – Clifton
7:0029% CF

PP1Krejci – Foligno – Hall – Zacha – McAvoy
2:07100% CF
PP2Bergeron – Marchand – Lindholm – Pastrnak – DeBrusk
1:5880% CF
PK1FCoyle – Zacha
2:41
PK2FBergeron – Marchand
1:43
PK1DForbort – Carlo
3:36
PK2DLindholm – McAvoy
1:25

Current BOS line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	1	0	1	+2	3	0.39	0	0	0	22:39	—	—	36	38
Alex Tuch R	L1	2	2	4	+3	2	0.30	1	0	0	21:30	—	—	39	43
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.03	0	0	0	19:03	—	—	39	45
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	5	1	2	14:32	—	—	44	28
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	3	0	5	14:22	—	—	50	21
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	1	1	0	12:40	—	—	53	39
Dylan Cozens C	L3	1	1	2	+1	3	0.31	1	0	0	17:26	—	—	38	48
JJ Peterka R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	4	13:28	—	—	33	35
Jack Quinn R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	1	0	0	13:10	—	—	37	40
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:54	—	—	36	2
Victor Olofsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	0	0	12:03	—	—	44	4
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	0	0	10:59	—	—	40	6
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	0	5	0.15	4	6	2	27:52	—	—	34	35
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	3	0	24:44	—	—	29	34
Owen Power D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.04	1	3	0	28:44	—	—	48	38
Kale Clague D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	0	2	9:41	—	—	57	26
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	15:24	—	—	38	35
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	11:37	—	—	39	33

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	W	40	37	3	.925	4.67	63:16

Boston Bruins

BOS skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brad Marchand L	L1	1	1	2	-1	6	0.54	2	1	0	22:49	—	—	70	70
Patrice Bergeron C	L1	1	0	1	-3	6	0.75	2	0	0	20:18	—	—	72	76
Jake DeBrusk L	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.30	3	0	0	18:20	—	—	65	72
David Pastrnak R	L2	1	1	2	+1	6	0.65	0	1	0	20:30	—	—	74	77
David Krejci C	L2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.42	3	0	0	20:25	—	—	68	74
Pavel Zacha C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.47	3	1	0	19:38	—	—	70	73
Nick Foligno L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.36	7	1	0	11:13	—	—	42	94
Trent Frederic C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	1	2	11:02	—	—	50	69
A.J. Greer L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.16	2	0	0	6:06	—	—	30	75
Taylor Hall L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	1	0	15:03	—	—	53	38
Charlie Coyle C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	1	0	0	14:55	—	—	44	21
Craig Smith C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	2	6:41	—	—	40	7
Charlie McAvoy D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	26:48	—	—	66	71
Hampus Lindholm D	D1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.21	1	2	2	23:44	—	—	65	68
Brandon Carlo D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	1	1	0	18:38	—	—	52	80
Matt Grzelcyk D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.25	0	1	0	16:03	—	—	68	75
Derek Forbort D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	19:12	—	—	45	54
Connor Clifton D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	5	14:16	—	—	57	37

BOS goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jeremy Swayman(start)	O	25	21	4	.840	2.04	63:51

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Boston BruinsDec 31, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres edge Boston Bruins 4–3 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Boston Bruins

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Boston Bruins