Buffalo Sabres vs. Boston BruinsMar 2, 2023

FinalThursday, Mar 2, 2023· TD Garden

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	0	1	1		BUF	9	7	11	27
BOS	0	2	5	7		BOS	11	16	15	42

: BUF 52BOS 59
: BUF 2.29BOS 6.36
PP goals: BUF 0BOS 1
Hits: BUF 22BOS 27
Blocks: BUF 8BOS 13
PIM: BUF 8BOS 8
: BUF 58%BOS 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Boston Bruins rout Buffalo Sabres 7–1

Boston Bruins beat Buffalo Sabres 7–1 at home. David Pastrnak (BOS) led the scoring with 1G 2A. New look for BOS: Coyle–Greer–Frederic skated 8:47 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
David Pastrnak had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 17:54.Pastrnak
Points
Dmitry Orlov had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 21:02.Orlov
Points
Jakub Lauko had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 11:53.Lauko
Points
Pavel Zacha had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:54.Zacha
Points
Brandon Carlo had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:22.Carlo
Points
Charlie Coyle had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:13.Coyle
Points
David Krejci had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:18.Krejci
New line
New look for BOS: Coyle–Greer–Frederic skated 8:47 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Coyle Greer Frederic

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)BOS attacks right (top on phones) →

BOS
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · BOS 59 · BUF 52

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BOS
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BOS pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 16% of the game, BOS 46%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BOS

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	BOS
	55	48
	2.17	3.65
	2.08	3.34
	7	17
	7	6
	20	23
	+0.069	−0.069
	16%	46%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Girgensons – Jost
9:4074% CF
L2Skinner – Thompson – Quinn
9:3541% CF
L3Olofsson – Krebs – Peterka
9:1260% CF
L4Hinostroza – Mittelstadt – Cozens
7:5838% CF
D1Jokiharju – Power
15:2548% CF
D2Stillman – Samuelsson
12:1654% CF
D3Bryson – Lyubushkin
9:1250% CF

PP1Skinner – Olofsson – Thompson – Cozens – Power
2:5875% CF
PP2Mittelstadt – Jokiharju – Krebs – Quinn – Peterka
1:100% CF
PK1FGirgensons – Krebs
1:26
PK2FJost – Cozens
1:05
PK1DSamuelsson – Lyubushkin
2:19
PK2DStillman – Jokiharju
1:38

Current BUF line combinations →

Boston Bruins

L1Coyle – Greer – Frederic
8:4757% CF
L2Krejci – Pastrnak – Zacha
8:2250% CF
L3Hathaway – Nosek – Lauko
8:0533% CF
L4Bergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk
5:4071% CF
D1Grzelcyk – Clifton
12:5248% CF
D2Lindholm – McAvoy
12:4155% CF
D3Orlov – Carlo
12:0944% CF

PP1Bergeron – Krejci – Pastrnak – DeBrusk – McAvoy
2:11100% CF
PP2Krejci – Orlov – Coyle – Lindholm – Zacha
1:39100% CF
PK1FCoyle – Nosek
1:12
PK2FZacha – DeBrusk
0:54
PK1DOrlov – McAvoy
1:21
PK2DGrzelcyk – Clifton
1:09

Current BOS line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

12:01
BOSDmitry OrlovPP (Hampus Lindholm, David Pastrnak)slap0.08 xG
BUF: Stillman, Thompson, Jokiharju, KrebsBOS: Krejci, Marchand, Orlov, Lindholm, Pastrnak
BUF 0 – 1 BOS
13:27
BOSJakub Lauko (Brandon Carlo, Dmitry Orlov)wrist0.12 xG
BUF: Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, CozensBOS: Orlov, Nosek, Greer, Carlo, Lauko
BUF 0 – 2 BOS

3rd period

8:35
BOSPavel Zacha (David Krejci, David Pastrnak)wrist0.15 xG
BUF: Skinner, Stillman, Thompson, Samuelsson, QuinnBOS: Krejci, Lindholm, Pastrnak, Zacha, Carlo
BUF 0 – 3 BOS
14:44
BOSDavid PastrnakEN (David Krejci, Pavel Zacha)wrist0.75 xG
BUF: Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Krebs, Cozens, PowerBOS: Krejci, Orlov, Pastrnak, Zacha, Carlo
BUF 0 – 4 BOS
15:40
BUFCasey Mittelstadt (JJ Peterka, Peyton Krebs)wrist0.14 xG
BUF: Stillman, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Krebs, PeterkaBOS: Coyle, Grzelcyk, Clifton, Frederic, Lauko
BUF 1 – 4 BOS
16:39
BOSPatrice BergeronEN (Dmitry Orlov, Brandon Carlo)wrist0.37 xG
BUF: Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Cozens, PowerBOS: Bergeron, Orlov, Carlo, DeBrusk
BUF 1 – 5 BOS
17:03
BOSConnor CliftonSH (Garnet Hathaway, Charlie Coyle)wrist0.06 xG
BUF: Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Krebs, Quinn, PeterkaBOS: Coyle, Grzelcyk, Clifton, Hathaway
BUF 1 – 6 BOS
19:08
BOSJakub Lauko (Charlie Coyle, Matt Grzelcyk)snap0.04 xG
BUF: Hinostroza, Stillman, Mittelstadt, Lyubushkin, KrebsBOS: Coyle, Grzelcyk, Clifton, Frederic, Lauko
BUF 1 – 7 BOS

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	0	0	2	14:55	—	—	78	65
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	2	1	2	14:16	—	—	73	55
Tyson Jost C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	1	0	0	14:12	—	—	69	47
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.08	0	0	0	15:31	—	—	45	27
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.25	0	0	0	15:09	—	—	41	24
Jack Quinn R	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.28	2	0	0	14:00	—	—	40	29
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	1	1	-2	1	0.01	0	0	2	18:55	—	—	50	42
JJ Peterka R	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.20	0	0	0	16:19	—	—	62	51
Victor Olofsson L	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.34	1	0	0	14:16	—	—	60	39
Dylan Cozens C	L4	0	0	0	-3	0	0.01	0	1	0	15:45	—	—	39	9
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	1	0	1	-3	2	0.39	1	0	0	14:29	—	—	44	34
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	1	0	11:12	—	—	36	7
Owen Power D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.05	2	0	0	24:18	—	—	57	35
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.09	3	1	0	21:18	—	—	46	33
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	1	0	0	20:40	—	—	58	37
Riley Stillman D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	6	2	0	18:24	—	—	53	35
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	1	0	15:12	—	—	50	38
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	14:45	—	—	52	47

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	40	35	5	.875	4.44	58:58

Boston Bruins

BOS skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Charlie Coyle C	L1	0	2	2	+1	3	0.43	2	0	0	18:13	—	—	60	76
Trent Frederic C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.30	2	0	0	15:06	—	—	48	67
A.J. Greer L	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.38	2	0	0	12:15	—	—	58	75
David Pastrnak R	L2	1	2	3	+2	4	2.12	3	0	0	17:54	—	—	43	61
David Krejci C	L2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.10	0	1	0	15:18	—	—	39	62
Pavel Zacha C	L2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.46	1	1	0	14:54	—	—	39	55
Tomas Nosek L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.10	3	0	2	14:26	—	—	32	34
Garnet Hathaway R	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	4	0	0	12:56	—	—	20	19
Jakub Lauko C	L3	2	0	2	+1	2	0.17	0	1	0	11:53	—	—	47	63
Jake DeBrusk L	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.25	1	0	0	16:20	—	—	65	79
Patrice Bergeron C	L4	1	0	1	+1	6	1.14	1	0	0	15:44	—	—	63	68
Brad Marchand L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.41	0	0	2	9:19	—	—	73	78
Connor Clifton D	D1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	3	3	2	19:19	—	—	40	63
Matt Grzelcyk D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	1	3	0	19:14	—	—	44	54
Charlie McAvoy D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	3	0	20:40	—	—	44	57
Hampus Lindholm D	D2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.13	0	0	0	18:05	—	—	57	75
Dmitry Orlov D	D3	1	2	3	+3	2	0.17	2	0	0	21:02	—	—	41	56
Brandon Carlo D	D3	0	2	2	+4	1	0.01	2	1	2	19:22	—	—	47	63

BOS goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jeremy Swayman(start)	W	27	26	1	.963	2.29	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.