Buffalo Sabres vs. Washington CapitalsMar 15, 2023

Final / SOWednesday, Mar 15, 2023· Capital One Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	3	0	1	0	0	4		BUF	6	9	9	3	27
WSH	1	0	3	0	1	5		WSH	8	10	19	2	39

: BUF 57WSH 70
: BUF 3.18WSH 3.25
PP goals: BUF 0WSH 1
Hits: BUF 10WSH 30
Blocks: BUF 20WSH 13
PIM: BUF 6WSH 4
: BUF 38%WSH 62%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Washington Capitals edge Buffalo Sabres 5–4 (SO)

Washington Capitals beat Buffalo Sabres 5–4 in a shootout at home. Alex Ovechkin (WSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) faced 39 shots and stopped 35 (.897), +7 against a season average of 31.9; the overtime loss.

Points
Alex Ovechkin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 19:32.Ovechkin
Points
T.J. Oshie had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 13:54.Oshie
Points
Dylan Strome had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:43.Strome
Points
Peyton Krebs had 2 assists (2 points) in 15:40.Krebs
Goalie
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) faced 39 shots and stopped 35 (.897), +7 against a season average of 31.9; the overtime loss.Luukkonen
Usage
Trevor van Riemsdyk (WSH) played 24:44, +5:45 up on his 18:59 season average over 74 games.van Riemsdyk
New line
New look for WSH: Oshie–Sheary–Strome skated 7:27 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Oshie Sheary Strome
Usage
Rasmus Sandin (WSH) played 26:31, +7:18 up on his 19:13 season average over 70 games.Sandin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)WSH attacks right (top on phones) →

WSH
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 127 of 127 attempts · WSH 70 · BUF 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WSH
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WSH pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 33% of the game, WSH 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WSH

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	WSH
	59	70
	3.08	2.34
	2.91	2.22
	12	17
	6	1
	26	14
	−0.136	+0.136
	33%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
15:1845% CF
L2Greenway – Jost – Mittelstadt
10:4736% CF
L3Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
9:3863% CF
L4Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
8:1753% CF
D1Jokiharju – Power
17:1460% CF
D2Bryson – Dahlin
14:1536% CF
D3Stillman – Lyubushkin
11:0841% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
2:07100% CF
PP2Mittelstadt – Krebs – Quinn – Peterka – Power
1:02100% CF
PK1FGirgensons – Greenway
0:17
PK1DLyubushkin – Power
0:17

Current BUF line combinations →

Washington Capitals

L1Dowd – Aube-Kubel – Protas
12:1868% CF
L2Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Wilson
9:2040% CF
L3Oshie – Sheary – Strome
7:2750% CF
L4Backstrom – Smith – Mantha
7:2064% CF
D1van Riemsdyk – Sandin
18:2452% CF
D2Jensen – Fehérváry
15:1447% CF
D3Irwin – Alexeyev
10:2357% CF

PP1Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom – Strome – Sandin
0:17100% CF
PK1FDowd – Wilson
0:51
PK2FKuznetsov – Sheary
0:24
PK1DIrwin – Alexeyev
1:34
PK2Dvan Riemsdyk – Fehérváry
1:19

Current WSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:43
BUFIlya Lyubushkin (Peyton Krebs, Riley Stillman)wrist0.02 xG
BUF: Okposo, Girgensons, Stillman, Lyubushkin, KrebsWSH: Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Sandin
BUF 1 – 0 WSH
8:50
BUFJJ Peterka (Jack Quinn)snap0.15 xG
BUF: Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, PowerWSH: Oshie, Sheary, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Sandin
BUF 2 – 0 WSH
10:03
WSHT.J. OshiePP (Dylan Strome, Alex Ovechkin)wrist0.48 xG
BUF: Girgensons, Greenway, Lyubushkin, PowerWSH: Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Strome, Sandin
BUF 2 – 1 WSH
18:06
BUFTyson Jostwrist0.12 xG
BUF: Greenway, Jost, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, PowerWSH: Oshie, Sheary, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Sandin
BUF 3 – 1 WSH

3rd period

1:32
WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov (Alexander Alexeyev, T.J. Oshie)wrist0.05 xG
BUF: Okposo, Girgensons, Bryson, Cozens, PowerWSH: Oshie, Kuznetsov, van Riemsdyk, Aube-Kubel, Alexeyev
BUF 3 – 2 WSH
5:22
BUFZemgus Girgensons (Peyton Krebs, Owen Power)snap0.24 xG
BUF: Okposo, Girgensons, Stillman, Lyubushkin, KrebsWSH: Backstrom, Smith, Mantha, van Riemsdyk, Sandin
BUF 4 – 2 WSH
10:30
WSHAlex Ovechkin (Trevor van Riemsdyk, Dylan Strome)tip-in0.05 xG
BUF: Bryson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, PeterkaWSH: Ovechkin, Sheary, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Sandin
BUF 4 – 3 WSH
18:52
WSHTom Wilson (Nicklas Backstrom)wrist0.11 xG
BUF: Greenway, Jost, Dahlin, LyubushkinWSH: Ovechkin, Backstrom, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Strome, Sandin
BUF 4 – 4 WSH

Decided in the shootout: BUF 4 – 5 WSH.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.69	3	0	0	23:29	—	—	43	46
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.46	0	1	2	22:32	—	—	46	49
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	19:17	—	—	47	52
Tyson Jost C	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.32	0	1	0	14:45	—	—	41	55
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.11	0	0	0	14:42	—	—	36	48
Jordan Greenway L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	0	2	0	14:23	—	—	34	39
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	2	2	+2	0	0.03	0	1	0	15:40	—	—	58	69
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.33	1	2	0	14:56	—	—	56	68
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	2	1	0	14:18	—	—	58	82
Dylan Cozens C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.35	0	0	2	12:54	—	—	48	71
Jack Quinn R	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	0	1	0	12:36	—	—	45	60
JJ Peterka R	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.34	0	0	0	11:00	—	—	50	74
Owen Power D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.10	0	0	0	27:34	—	—	51	63
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.02	0	1	0	24:11	—	—	58	62
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	3	0	26:22	—	—	34	30
Jacob Bryson D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	2	0	18:11	—	—	35	34
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	1	0	1	+2	1	0.02	0	4	0	14:47	—	—	43	84
Riley Stillman D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.03	2	1	2	11:50	—	—	50	90

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	O	39	35	4	.897	3.25	65:00

Washington Capitals

WSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nic Dowd C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:48	—	—	60	48
Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.20	2	0	0	15:12	—	—	72	70
Aliaksei Protas L	L1	0	0	0	0	7	0.53	1	0	0	14:04	—	—	64	52
Alex Ovechkin L	L2	1	1	2	0	5	0.38	1	0	2	19:32	—	—	42	23
Tom Wilson R	L2	1	0	1	-1	1	0.11	5	3	0	17:18	—	—	44	30
Evgeny Kuznetsov C	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.27	0	0	0	17:07	—	—	52	48
Dylan Strome C	L3	0	2	2	-1	2	0.46	0	0	0	16:43	—	—	67	48
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	2	0	16:17	—	—	58	42
T.J. Oshie R	L3	1	1	2	-1	2	0.66	3	1	0	13:54	—	—	54	56
Nicklas Backstrom C	L4	0	1	1	-1	0	0.06	1	0	0	16:30	—	—	35	26
Craig Smith C	L4	0	0	0	-1	4	0.09	3	1	0	13:18	—	—	48	29
Anthony Mantha R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:58	—	—	61	43
Rasmus Sandin D	D1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.03	1	1	0	26:31	—	—	51	27
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D1	0	1	1	-2	5	0.21	0	2	0	24:44	—	—	61	46
Martin Fehérváry D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	5	1	0	25:22	—	—	43	46
Nick Jensen D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	1	1	2	17:15	—	—	49	41
Alexander Alexeyev D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	2	0	0	18:40	—	—	65	63
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	13:12	—	—	60	51

WSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Charlie Lindgren(start)	W	27	23	4	.852	3.18	64:32

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.