Buffalo Sabres vs. Calgary FlamesMar 18, 2022

Final / OTFriday, Mar 18, 2022· Scotiabank Saddledome

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	0	0	0	1	1		BUF	7	10	12	5	34
CGY	0	0	0	0	0		CGY	6	8	10	0	24

: BUF 50CGY 50
: BUF 2.38CGY 2.60
PP goals: BUF 0CGY 0
Hits: BUF 17CGY 23
Blocks: BUF 8CGY 9
PIM: BUF 4CGY 8
: BUF 49%CGY 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Calgary Flames 1–0 (OT)

Buffalo Sabres beat Calgary Flames 1–0 in overtime at CGY. Tage Thompson (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. CGY scored 0 goals on 2.60 expected goals (50 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
CGY scored 0 goals on 2.60 expected goals (50 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for CGY: Jarnkrok–Toffoli–Mangiapane skated 8:21 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (52.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jarnkrok Toffoli Mangiapane
Usage
Mark Pysyk (BUF) played 13:51, −4:02 down on his 17:53 season average over 67 games.Pysyk
Usage
Calle Jarnkrok (CGY) played 12:37, −3:28 down on his 16:05 season average over 65 games.Jarnkrok
Usage
Erik Gudbranson (CGY) played 14:32, −3:39 down on his 18:11 season average over 77 games.Gudbranson
Usage
Jacob Bryson (BUF) played 21:36, +3:19 up on his 18:17 season average over 72 games.Bryson
Usage
Rasmus Andersson (CGY) played 25:58, +3:20 up on his 22:38 season average over 81 games.Andersson
Usage
Casey Mittelstadt (BUF) played 19:03, +3:00 up on his 16:03 season average over 39 games.Mittelstadt

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)CGY attacks right (top on phones) →

CGY
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 100 of 100 attempts · CGY 50 · BUF 50

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CGY
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CGY pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 28% of the game, CGY 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CGY

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	CGY
	46	55
	2.33	2.74
	2.29	2.59
	12	8
	6	5
	23	19
	−0.033	+0.033
	28%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Olofsson – Asplund – Mittelstadt
11:3144% CF
L2Okposo – Eakin – Girgensons
11:1535% CF
L3Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
9:1645% CF
L4Hinostroza – Krebs – Cozens
8:1446% CF
D1Bryson – Samuelsson
17:5250% CF
D2Jokiharju – Dahlin
16:0747% CF
D3Pysyk – Hagg
11:2841% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Krebs
2:43
PP2Okposo – Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Jokiharju – Cozens
2:26
PK1FTuch – Thompson
0:28
PK2FEakin – Girgensons
0:25
PK1DJokiharju – Samuelsson
0:56
PK2DPysyk – Hagg
0:45

Current BUF line combinations →

Calgary Flames

L1Gaudreau – Lindholm – Tkachuk
14:5954% CF
L2Lewis – Backlund – Coleman
10:0846% CF
L3Lucic – Monahan – Dube
8:4060% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Toffoli – Mangiapane
8:2153% CF
D1Hanifin – Andersson
17:4442% CF
D2Tanev – Kylington
13:1869% CF
D3Gudbranson – Zadorov
11:2450% CF

PP1Toffoli – Gaudreau – Lindholm – Andersson – Tkachuk
0:480% CF
PP2Backlund – Monahan – Mangiapane – Hanifin – Dube
0:43100% CF
PK1FLewis – Coleman
2:28
PK2FBacklund – Lindholm
0:59
PK1DHanifin – Andersson
1:44
PK2DTanev – Gudbranson
1:10

Current CGY line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

OT period

3:07
BUFTage Thompsonwrist0.03 xG
BUF: Thompson, Jokiharju, CozensCGY: Gaudreau, Zadorov, Hanifin, Tkachuk
BUF 1 – 0 CGY

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	19:03	—	—	50	42
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	0	0	3	0.09	0	1	0	16:37	—	—	47	38
Rasmus Asplund C	L1	0	0	0	4	0.19	0	0	0	14:07	—	—	50	39
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	4	0.20	1	1	2	17:20	—	—	35	28
Cody Eakin C	L2	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:44	—	—	38	29
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	0	0	14:14	—	—	36	28
Tage Thompson C	L3	1	1	+1	5	0.41	0	1	0	18:15	—	—	50	56
Alex Tuch R	L3	0	0	0	5	0.13	0	0	0	16:40	—	—	48	55
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	0	0	4	0.42	1	0	0	16:33	—	—	48	49
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	14:37	—	—	50	55
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L4	0	0	0	1	0.48	1	0	0	13:57	—	—	53	60
Dylan Cozens C	L4	0	0	+1	2	0.12	1	0	2	13:38	—	—	40	49
Jacob Bryson D	D1	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	21:36	—	—	48	52
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	1	0.06	4	0	0	20:12	—	—	53	55
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	+1	1	0.05	1	1	0	24:33	—	—	47	42
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	0	0	23:44	—	—	43	40
Robert Hagg D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	2	0	13:54	—	—	36	38
Mark Pysyk D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:51	—	—	42	44

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dustin Tokarski(start)	W	24	24	0	.1000	2.60	62:53

Calgary Flames

CGY skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Elias Lindholm C	L1	0	2	0.23	0	0	0	20:09	—	—	55	82
Johnny Gaudreau L	L1	-1	1	0.33	0	0	0	19:03	—	—	54	82
Matthew Tkachuk L	L1	-1	0	0.27	0	0	0	18:21	—	—	55	82
Blake Coleman L	L2	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:03	—	—	46	22
Trevor Lewis C	L2	0	2	0.02	3	0	0	15:56	—	—	47	38
Mikael Backlund C	L2	0	0	0.05	1	0	2	15:13	—	—	47	30
Dillon Dube C	L3	0	2	0.23	1	0	0	12:30	—	—	58	34
Sean Monahan C	L3	0	0	0.14	0	0	0	12:06	—	—	61	52
Milan Lucic L	L3	0	2	0.13	2	0	0	11:28	—	—	67	64
Andrew Mangiapane L	L4	0	0	0.22	0	0	0	14:50	—	—	54	40
Tyler Toffoli C	L4	0	1	0.07	2	0	2	13:06	—	—	55	47
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	1	0.22	3	0	0	12:37	—	—	55	38
Rasmus Andersson D	D1	0	1	0.01	1	2	0	25:58	—	—	48	43
Noah Hanifin D	D1	-1	2	0.08	0	1	2	24:13	—	—	43	48
Chris Tanev D	D2	0	3	0.21	0	2	2	20:28	—	—	68	81
Oliver Kylington D	D2	0	4	0.25	0	1	0	18:17	—	—	70	76
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	3	0.14	2	1	0	18:31	—	—	48	29
Erik Gudbranson D	D3	0	0	0.02	6	2	0	14:32	—	—	48	32

CGY goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jacob Markstrom(start)	O	34	33	1	.971	2.38	63:07

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.