Buffalo Sabres vs. Carolina HurricanesDec 23, 2017

FinalSaturday, Dec 23, 2017· PNC Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	2	0	2		BUF	8	6	8	22
CAR	1	3	0	4		CAR	6	18	14	38

: BUF 35CAR 71
: BUF 2.44CAR 4.35
PP goals: BUF 0CAR 1
Hits: BUF 24CAR 24
Blocks: BUF 13CAR 8
PIM: BUF 6CAR 4
: BUF 25%CAR 75%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes beat Buffalo Sabres 4–2

Carolina Hurricanes beat Buffalo Sabres 4–2 at home. Teuvo Teravainen (CAR) led the scoring with 0G 3A. New look for BUF: Okposo–Kane–Larsson skated 7:23 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (6.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Teuvo Teravainen had 3 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 16:42.Teravainen
Points
Justin Faulk had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 22:13.Faulk
Points
Sebastian Aho had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:57.Aho
Points
Jack Eichel had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:56.Eichel
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Kane–Larsson skated 7:23 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (6.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Kane Larsson
Goalie
Chad Johnson (BUF) faced 38 shots and stopped 34 (.895), +11 against a season average of 26.7; the loss.Johnson
New line
New look for BUF: Nolan–Wilson–Rodrigues skated 4:58 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (0% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nolan Wilson Rodrigues
Usage
Zemgus Girgensons (BUF) played 17:33, +3:54 up on his 13:39 season average over 70 games.Girgensons

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · CAR 71 · BUF 35

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 15% of the game, CAR 60%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	CAR
	34	66
	2.17	3.42
	2.11	3.32
	10	20
	2	7
	18	19
	−0.243	+0.243
	15%	60%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Girgensons – Reinhart – Eichel
12:4252% CF
L2Okposo – Kane – Larsson
7:236% CF
L3Pominville – Pouliot – Josefson
6:0318% CF
L4Nolan – Wilson – Rodrigues
4:580% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
17:1532% CF
D2Beaulieu – McCabe
9:1540% CF
D3Gorges – Bogosian
4:480% CF

PP1Pominville – Pouliot – Scandella – Beaulieu – Reinhart
1:56100% CF
PP2Okposo – Kane – Ristolainen – Eichel – Rodrigues
1:55100% CF
PK1FPouliot – Larsson
1:24
PK2FKane – Eichel
0:36
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
2:08
PK2DGorges – McCabe
1:44

Current BUF line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Teravainen – Aho
11:5678% CF
L2Williams – McGinn – Ryan
11:1185% CF
L3Skinner – Rask – Lindholm
9:4759% CF
L4Kruger – Nordstrom – Di Giuseppe
7:2754% CF
D1Slavin – Pesce
14:2461% CF
D2Faulk – Dahlbeck
12:2971% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Hanifin
11:3773% CF

PP1Williams – Skinner – Rask – Hanifin – Ryan
3:09100% CF
PP2Staal – Faulk – Teravainen – Lindholm – Aho
2:54100% CF
PK1FStaal – Nordstrom
1:54
PK2FKruger – Lindholm
0:23
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
2:37
PK2DDahlbeck – van Riemsdyk
1:00

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:33
CARSebastian Aho (Brett Pesce, Teuvo Teravainen)wrist0.28 xG
BUF: Okposo, Bogosian, Kane, Larsson, McCabeCAR: Staal, Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce, Aho
BUF 0 – 1 CAR

2nd period

1:53
CARJordan StaalPP (Elias Lindholm, Teuvo Teravainen)deflected0.18 xG
BUF: Wilson, Girgensons, RistolainenCAR: Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Lindholm, Aho
BUF 0 – 2 CAR
2:44
BUFNathan Beaulieu (Johan Larsson, Jack Eichel)wrist0.25 xG
BUF: Bogosian, Larsson, Beaulieu, Girgensons, EichelCAR: Williams, Skinner, Rask, Slavin, Pesce
BUF 1 – 2 CAR
4:35
CARJustin Faulk (Sebastian Aho, Teuvo Teravainen)wrist0.17 xG
BUF: Okposo, Scandella, Kane, Larsson, RistolainenCAR: Staal, Faulk, Dahlbeck, Teravainen, Aho
BUF 1 – 3 CAR
11:16
CARJustin Faulk (Jaccob Slavin, Jeff Skinner)snap0.05 xG
BUF: Gorges, Scandella, Girgensons, Reinhart, RodriguesCAR: Kruger, Faulk, Nordstrom, Slavin, Lindholm
BUF 1 – 4 CAR
13:41
BUFZemgus Girgensons (Jack Eichel)tip-in0.02 xG
BUF: Beaulieu, Girgensons, McCabe, Reinhart, EichelCAR: Faulk, Skinner, Dahlbeck, Rask, Lindholm
BUF 2 – 4 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.05	1	0	0	20:56	—	—	52	54
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.13	4	0	0	17:33	—	—	48	51
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.51	0	1	0	16:22	—	—	50	46
Evander Kane L	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.29	1	1	2	18:32	—	—	20	18
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.08	1	0	2	16:04	—	—	22	29
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.45	1	1	0	14:32	—	—	16	25
Jacob Josefson C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.42	0	0	0	14:22	—	—	35	58
Jason Pominville R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	13:41	—	—	26	36
Benoit Pouliot L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	12:28	—	—	27	21
Jordan Nolan C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:10	—	—	47	63
Scott Wilson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:32	—	—	44	29
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.12	1	1	0	10:18	—	—	20	0
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	1	0	25:48	—	—	34	45
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	4	0	22:29	—	—	31	44
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	20:42	—	—	31	33
Nathan Beaulieu D	D2	1	0	1	+2	1	0.25	1	0	0	19:08	—	—	50	65
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	2	2	17:13	—	—	27	26
Josh Gorges D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	0	0	11:45	—	—	29	18

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Chad Johnson(start)	L	38	34	4	.895	4.35	58:45

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Staal C	L1	1	0	1	+2	1	0.18	2	1	0	19:55	—	—	79	81
Sebastian Aho C	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.56	0	0	0	18:57	—	—	81	82
Teuvo Teravainen C	L1	0	3	3	+2	4	0.61	0	0	0	16:42	—	—	80	82
Justin Williams R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.35	0	0	0	17:17	—	—	61	52
Derek Ryan C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.38	2	0	0	16:42	—	—	80	66
Brock McGinn L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	3	0	0	14:01	—	—	73	66
Elias Lindholm C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.15	0	0	0	16:33	—	—	65	52
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	1	1	-2	2	0.48	1	0	0	15:56	—	—	54	36
Victor Rask C	L3	0	0	0	-2	3	0.17	1	0	0	15:48	—	—	54	39
Joakim Nordstrom C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.17	2	0	0	10:42	—	—	57	59
Marcus Kruger C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	2	9:53	—	—	56	59
Phillip Di Giuseppe L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.32	6	0	2	9:50	—	—	50	53
Jaccob Slavin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	1	1	0	22:36	—	—	67	55
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	1	3	0	19:27	—	—	64	54
Justin Faulk D	D2	2	0	2	+1	7	0.51	2	2	0	22:13	—	—	71	78
Klas Dahlbeck D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	15:47	—	—	66	64
Noah Hanifin D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	0	0	18:52	—	—	69	74
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	14:51	—	—	56	42

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Ward(start)	W	22	20	2	.909	2.44	59:58

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.