Buffalo Sabres vs. New York IslandersDec 30, 2021

FinalThursday, Dec 30, 2021· UBS Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	0	0	1		BUF	14	9	14	37
NYI	1	2	1	4		NYI	9	12	11	32

: BUF 53NYI 50
: BUF 3.17NYI 2.88
PP goals: BUF 1NYI 1
Hits: BUF 12NYI 24
Blocks: BUF 10NYI 11
PIM: BUF 2NYI 4
: BUF 34%NYI 66%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders beat Buffalo Sabres 4–1

New York Islanders beat Buffalo Sabres 4–1 at home. Mathew Barzal (NYI) led the scoring with 1G 2A. NYI's first power-play unit (Lee, Pageau, Barzal, Bellows and Dobson) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:56 together.

Points
Mathew Barzal had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 8 shots in 16:27.Barzal
Points
Kieffer Bellows had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:00.Bellows
Points
Noah Dobson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:42.Dobson
Points
Josh Bailey had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:27.Bailey
PP1
NYI's first power-play unit (Lee, Pageau, Barzal, Bellows and Dobson) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:56 together.Lee Pageau Barzal Bellows Dobson
New line
New look for NYI: Pageau–Dal Colle–Bellows skated 12:08 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pageau Dal Colle Bellows
Goalie
Semyon Varlamov (NYI) faced 37 shots and stopped 36 (.973), +5 against a season average of 31.5; the win.Varlamov
Luck
BUF scored 1 goal on 3.18 expected goals (53 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 103 of 103 attempts · NYI 50 · BUF 53

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 23% of the game, NYI 43%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	NYI
	50	54
	2.58	2.88
	2.51	2.80
	6	10
	7	6
	16	23
	−0.112	+0.112
	23%	43%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Tuch – Thompson – Peterka
13:0558% CF
L2Okposo – Olofsson – Krebs
12:4652% CF
L3Eakin – Asplund – Murray
6:1057% CF
L4Hayden – Bjork – Ruotsalainen
6:0743% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
20:3454% CF
D2Butcher – Fitzgerald
11:1556% CF
D3Pysyk – Prow
9:5348% CF

PP1Okposo – Butcher – Olofsson – Murray – Krebs
0:50100% CF
PK1FEakin – Hayden
0:50
PK2FTuch – Thompson
0:29
PK1DPysyk – Jokiharju
2:17
PK2DProw – Dahlin
0:29

Current BUF line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Pageau – Dal Colle – Bellows
12:0843% CF
L2Bailey – Lee – Barzal
11:5868% CF
L3Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
11:4941% CF
L4Parise – Johnston – Czarnik
9:2560% CF
D1Chara – Dobson
17:3442% CF
D2Mayfield – Pelech
15:1775% CF
D3Greene – Salo
12:2932% CF

PP1Lee – Pageau – Barzal – Bellows – Dobson
1:5675% CF
PP2Parise – Bailey – Dal Colle – Czarnik – Salo
0:50100% CF
PK1FParise – Pageau
0:50
PK1DChara – Greene
0:50

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.06	0	1	0	17:04	—	—	48	43
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.12	0	0	0	16:12	—	—	50	40
JJ Peterka R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.29	0	1	0	16:03	—	—	52	50
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	0	0	0	17:54	—	—	47	35
Kyle Okposo R	L2	1	0	1	-1	7	0.52	1	0	0	17:17	—	—	48	46
Victor Olofsson L	L2	0	1	1	-1	4	0.33	0	0	0	17:15	—	—	47	38
Cody Eakin C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.07	1	0	0	17:38	—	—	47	56
Rasmus Asplund C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:40	—	—	64	67
Brett Murray L	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.42	0	1	0	12:07	—	—	46	59
John Hayden C	L4	0	0	0	0	6	0.46	3	0	0	14:57	—	—	46	45
Anders Bjork L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	2	11:03	—	—	43	51
Arttu Ruotsalainen C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	9:42	—	—	47	67
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	1	0	27:04	—	—	50	34
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	1	0	0	24:40	—	—	53	36
Will Butcher D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	0	0	0	20:32	—	—	47	49
Casey Fitzgerald D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	1	1	0	12:26	—	—	50	69
Mark Pysyk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.31	3	2	0	19:26	—	—	43	46
Ethan Prow D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	1	0	13:10	—	—	48	56

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Malcolm Subban(start)	L	32	28	4	.875	2.88	58:04

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	1	2	0	17:59	—	—	48	41
Kieffer Bellows L	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.38	2	1	0	16:00	—	—	48	41
Michael Dal Colle L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.19	0	0	0	14:34	—	—	46	40
Mathew Barzal C	L2	1	2	3	+2	8	0.79	1	0	0	16:27	—	—	65	74
Josh Bailey R	L2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.10	0	0	0	16:27	—	—	61	66
Anders Lee L	L2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.25	0	0	0	16:02	—	—	65	72
Cal Clutterbuck R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	4	0	0	15:52	—	—	36	35
Casey Cizikas C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	4	0	2	14:44	—	—	29	30
Matt Martin L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	5	0	2	14:27	—	—	38	37
Zach Parise L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	0	0	0	14:45	—	—	57	60
Austin Czarnik C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	0	0	12:22	—	—	69	70
Ross Johnston L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	11:15	—	—	67	71
Zdeno Chara D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.10	1	3	0	22:11	—	—	39	47
Noah Dobson D	D1	1	1	2	+3	2	0.12	1	1	0	20:42	—	—	46	55
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	1	0	0	19:36	—	—	79	67
Scott Mayfield D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	0	2	0	19:11	—	—	77	65
Andy Greene D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	1	1	0	17:48	—	—	52	53
Robin Salo D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	17:34	—	—	30	37

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	W	37	36	1	.973	3.17	59:14

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. New York IslandersDec 30, 2021

Fantasy takeaways

New York Islanders beat Buffalo Sabres 4–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

New York Islanders

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

New York Islanders