Buffalo Sabres vs. New York IslandersMar 7, 2023

FinalTuesday, Mar 7, 2023· UBS Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	1	2		BUF	8	7	9	24
NYI	0	1	2	3		NYI	8	17	14	39

: BUF 60NYI 59
: BUF 2.05NYI 2.85
PP goals: BUF 0NYI 0
Hits: BUF 9NYI 23
Blocks: BUF 8NYI 32
PIM: BUF 4NYI 4
: BUF 36%NYI 64%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

New York Islanders edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2

New York Islanders beat Buffalo Sabres 3–2 at home. Casey Cizikas (NYI) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) faced 39 shots and stopped 36 (.923), +7 against a season average of 31.9; the loss.

Points
Casey Cizikas had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:58.Cizikas
Points
Hudson Fasching had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 13:58.Fasching
Points
Josh Bailey had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 11:38.Bailey
Points
Alexander Romanov had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 18:59.Romanov
Goalie
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) faced 39 shots and stopped 36 (.923), +7 against a season average of 31.9; the loss.Luukkonen
New line
New look for BUF: Girgensons–Olofsson–Jost skated 7:10 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Girgensons Olofsson Jost
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Greenway–Krebs skated 8:28 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (52.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Greenway Krebs
Usage
Casey Cizikas (NYI) played 17:58, +3:28 up on his 14:30 season average over 80 games.Cizikas

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · NYI 59 · BUF 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 27% of the game, NYI 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	NYI
	59	60
	1.82	2.30
	1.79	2.25
	10	19
	2	1
	8	16
	−0.121	+0.121
	27%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Thompson – Quinn
10:5859% CF
L2Hinostroza – Mittelstadt – Cozens
10:3846% CF
L3Okposo – Greenway – Krebs
8:2852% CF
L4Girgensons – Olofsson – Jost
7:1050% CF
D1Jokiharju – Power
16:1744% CF
D2Bryson – Dahlin
14:2154% CF
D3Clague – Lyubushkin
10:1655% CF

PP1Skinner – Olofsson – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
1:11100% CF
PP2Okposo – Mittelstadt – Krebs – Quinn – Power
0:350% CF
PK1FOkposo – Krebs
1:15
PK2FGirgensons – Cozens
0:48
PK1DBryson – Lyubushkin
0:39
PK2DJokiharju – Power
0:34

Current BUF line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Parise – Palmieri – Nelson
10:0167% CF
L2Lee – Horvat – Engvall
6:4138% CF
L3Martin – Cizikas – Fasching
6:1346% CF
L4Bailey – Koivula – Holmstrom
1:530% CF
D1Pulock – Romanov
13:5657% CF
D2Mayfield – Pelech
12:3441% CF
D3Aho – Dobson
12:0041% CF

PP1Palmieri – Lee – Nelson – Horvat – Dobson
1:51100% CF
PP2Bailey – Cizikas – Lee – Pulock – Dobson
0:10
PK1FBailey – Cizikas
1:04
PK2FParise – Horvat
0:35
PK1DMayfield – Romanov
1:04
PK2DPulock – Aho
0:35

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

5:00
BUFDylan Cozenswrist0.20 xG
BUF: Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Cozens, PowerNYI: Lee, Mayfield, Pelech, Horvat, Engvall
BUF 1 – 0 NYI
12:38
NYICasey Cizikas (Hudson Fasching, Alexander Romanov)wrist0.13 xG
BUF: Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Cozens, PowerNYI: Bailey, Cizikas, Fasching, Pulock, Romanov
BUF 1 – 1 NYI

3rd period

1:51
NYIJosh Bailey (Casey Cizikas, Alexander Romanov)backhand0.01 xG
BUF: Okposo, Greenway, Clague, Lyubushkin, KrebsNYI: Bailey, Cizikas, Fasching, Pulock, Romanov
BUF 1 – 2 NYI
4:59
BUFKyle Okposo (Owen Power, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen)snap0.02 xG
BUF: Okposo, Greenway, Jokiharju, Krebs, PowerNYI: Lee, Horvat, Pulock, Engvall, Romanov
BUF 2 – 2 NYI
7:37
NYIHudson Fasching (Josh Bailey, Otto Koivula)deflected0.14 xG
BUF: Okposo, Greenway, Clague, Lyubushkin, CozensNYI: Bailey, Mayfield, Fasching, Koivula, Romanov
BUF 2 – 3 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	18:31	—	—	67	55
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	2	0	0	17:48	—	—	64	48
Jack Quinn R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	0	0	16:36	—	—	65	55
Dylan Cozens C	L2	1	0	1	-1	4	0.25	1	1	0	17:58	—	—	39	34
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.46	0	0	0	16:59	—	—	49	47
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	14:26	—	—	47	42
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	1	0	0	14:59	—	—	54	52
Kyle Okposo R	L3	1	0	1	-1	2	0.04	2	0	0	14:43	—	—	48	40
Jordan Greenway L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	0	0	0	14:13	—	—	41	35
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	12:14	—	—	47	54
Victor Olofsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	0	11:53	—	—	46	41
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	10:36	—	—	36	29
Owen Power D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.21	0	0	2	23:30	—	—	44	47
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	22:14	—	—	44	51
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	2	2	25:01	—	—	52	50
Jacob Bryson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	18:15	—	—	54	47
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	0	2	0	14:31	—	—	48	26
Kale Clague D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:05	—	—	58	14

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	39	36	3	.923	2.85	57:28

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brock Nelson C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	1	1	0	19:15	—	—	60	72
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.36	1	0	2	16:17	—	—	60	72
Zach Parise L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.26	1	2	0	15:46	—	—	66	73
Bo Horvat C	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.25	0	1	0	22:40	—	—	38	38
Anders Lee L	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.50	2	2	0	19:42	—	—	38	38
Pierre Engvall L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.12	0	0	0	12:24	—	—	35	25
Casey Cizikas C	L3	1	1	2	+2	3	0.28	2	0	0	17:58	—	—	62	94
Hudson Fasching R	L3	1	1	2	+3	3	0.21	0	2	0	13:58	—	—	57	84
Matt Martin L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	7	2	0	12:00	—	—	58	72
Josh Bailey R	L4	1	1	2	+3	1	0.01	0	0	0	11:38	—	—	55	79
Simon Holmstrom R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	1	0	11:35	—	—	25	41
Otto Koivula L	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	4:35	—	—	25	35
Ryan Pulock D	D1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.23	3	4	0	22:05	—	—	55	64
Alexander Romanov D	D1	0	2	2	+2	6	0.12	2	4	0	18:59	—	—	59	61
Scott Mayfield D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	3	0	22:03	—	—	46	49
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	1	2	2	21:05	—	—	44	44
Sebastian Aho D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	4	0	17:36	—	—	41	48
Noah Dobson D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.06	0	3	0	17:04	—	—	48	59

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Sorokin(start)	W	24	22	2	.917	2.05	59:20

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.