Buffalo Sabres vs. New York IslandersMar 25, 2023

FinalSaturday, Mar 25, 2023· UBS Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	0	2	2		BUF	13	9	13	35
NYI	0	0	0	0		NYI	7	11	8	26

: BUF 62NYI 48
: BUF 3.64NYI 1.88
PP goals: BUF 0NYI 0
Hits: BUF 10NYI 26
Blocks: BUF 14NYI 17
PIM: BUF 4NYI 6
: BUF 29%NYI 71%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat New York Islanders 2–0

Buffalo Sabres beat New York Islanders 2–0 at NYI. Kyle Okposo (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Ilya Lyubushkin (BUF) played 19:24, +4:27 up on his 14:57 season average over 67 games.

Usage
Ilya Lyubushkin (BUF) played 19:24, +4:27 up on his 14:57 season average over 67 games.Lyubushkin
Luck
NYI scored 0 goals on 1.88 expected goals (48 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
BUF scored 2 goals on 3.64 expected goals (62 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Jacob Bryson (BUF) played 10:21, −4:19 down on his 14:40 season average over 58 games.Bryson
Usage
Riley Stillman (BUF) played 10:47, −3:56 down on his 14:43 season average over 49 games.Stillman
Usage
Josh Bailey (NYI) played 11:40, −3:32 down on his 15:12 season average over 63 games.Bailey
Usage
Kyle Palmieri (NYI) played 20:15, +3:13 up on his 17:02 season average over 54 games.Palmieri
Usage
Pierre Engvall (NYI) played 16:36, +3:00 up on his 13:36 season average over 75 games.Engvall

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)NYI attacks right (top on phones) →

NYI
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 110 of 110 attempts · NYI 48 · BUF 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NYI
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NYI pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 37% of the game, NYI 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NYI

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	NYI
	55	48
	1.82	1.78
	1.75	1.73
	10	11
	6	8
	25	16
	−0.119	+0.119
	37%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
9:3456% CF
L2Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
9:1459% CF
L3Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
8:3250% CF
L4Olofsson – Jost – Mittelstadt
8:2062% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
16:2548% CF
D2Lyubushkin – Power
16:1046% CF
D3Stillman – Bryson
8:0977% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Olofsson – Thompson – Dahlin
3:02100% CF
PP2Mittelstadt – Cozens – Quinn – Peterka – Power
2:3667% CF
PK1FTuch – Krebs
0:38
PK2FGirgensons – Cozens
0:23
PK1DLyubushkin – Power
2:06
PK2DJokiharju – Dahlin
0:49

Current BUF line combinations →

New York Islanders

L1Palmieri – Nelson – Engvall
11:0348% CF
L2Parise – Pageau – Fasching
8:4975% CF
L3Bailey – Lee – Horvat
6:4330% CF
L4Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
5:5050% CF
D1Pulock – Romanov
11:5340% CF
D2Mayfield – Pelech
11:4150% CF
D3Dobson – Bolduc
7:5753% CF

PP1Palmieri – Lee – Nelson – Horvat – Dobson
2:54100% CF
PP2Parise – Pageau – Pulock – Engvall – Bolduc
0:34100% CF
PK1FClutterbuck – Cizikas
2:13
PK2FParise – Pageau
2:12
PK1DMayfield – Romanov
1:40
PK2DPelech – Pulock
1:39

Current NYI line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

3rd period

13:31
BUFKyle Okposo (Ilya Lyubushkin)wrist0.11 xG
BUF: Okposo, Girgensons, Lyubushkin, Krebs, PowerNYI: Bailey, Lee, Mayfield, Horvat, Romanov
BUF 1 – 0 NYI
19:28
BUFJeff SkinnerEN (Dylan Cozens, Casey Mittelstadt)wrist0.82 xG
BUF: Skinner, Mittelstadt, Lyubushkin, Cozens, PowerNYI: Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Pulock, Dobson
BUF 2 – 0 NYI

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	0	1	0	18:43	—	—	55	29
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	0	0	0	17:03	—	—	50	26
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	1.42	0	0	0	15:46	—	—	60	43
Kyle Okposo R	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.34	1	0	0	15:00	—	—	62	67
Peyton Krebs C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	0	0	13:55	—	—	65	78
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:12	—	—	61	77
Dylan Cozens C	L3	0	1	1	+1	6	0.42	1	0	0	16:57	—	—	58	63
Jack Quinn R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	4	2	15:55	—	—	33	46
JJ Peterka R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	1	0	15:48	—	—	32	39
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.26	2	0	0	16:17	—	—	57	69
Victor Olofsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	12:14	—	—	63	77
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	11:35	—	—	47	55
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	3	2	2	27:03	—	—	50	42
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	1	0	20:54	—	—	48	42
Owen Power D	D2	0	0	0	+2	5	0.20	0	1	0	25:56	—	—	50	51
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	0	0	0	19:24	—	—	48	44
Riley Stillman D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	0	0	10:47	—	—	75	99
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	10:21	—	—	75	78

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Eric Comrie(start)	W	26	26	0	.1000	1.88	59:10

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	-1	4	0.27	1	1	0	20:15	—	—	42	56
Brock Nelson C	L1	-1	0	0.07	1	1	0	18:44	—	—	45	51
Pierre Engvall L	L1	0	3	0.24	0	0	2	16:36	—	—	36	43
Zach Parise L	L2	0	4	0.26	1	0	2	15:23	—	—	68	91
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	1	0.19	2	0	0	15:00	—	—	67	82
Hudson Fasching R	L2	0	1	0.30	0	0	0	11:14	—	—	75	95
Bo Horvat C	L3	-2	5	0.14	2	0	0	19:35	—	—	40	13
Anders Lee L	L3	-2	1	0.01	2	2	0	16:25	—	—	36	14
Josh Bailey R	L3	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:40	—	—	21	9
Casey Cizikas C	L4	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:18	—	—	38	42
Cal Clutterbuck R	L4	0	0	0.00	5	0	0	10:36	—	—	44	37
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0.11	1	0	0	8:56	—	—	52	48
Ryan Pulock D	D1	-1	3	0.06	3	3	0	21:06	—	—	40	42
Alexander Romanov D	D1	-1	0	0.00	2	2	0	17:37	—	—	40	37
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	1	0.02	2	4	0	22:19	—	—	53	61
Scott Mayfield D	D2	-1	0	0.12	2	2	0	22:12	—	—	43	60
Noah Dobson D	D3	-1	2	0.07	1	0	2	21:58	—	—	55	37
Samuel Bolduc D	D3	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	11:46	—	—	44	16

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	34	33	1	.971	2.28	58:20

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.