Buffalo Sabres vs. Winnipeg JetsJan 26, 2023

FinalThursday, Jan 26, 2023· Canada Life Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	2	1	3		BUF	14	14	8	36
WPG	0	0	2	2		WPG	6	5	10	21

: BUF 55WPG 53
: BUF 3.24WPG 2.33
PP goals: BUF 1WPG 0
Hits: BUF 10WPG 19
Blocks: BUF 15WPG 12
PIM: BUF 6WPG 4
: BUF 56%WPG 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Winnipeg Jets 3–2

Buffalo Sabres beat Winnipeg Jets 3–2 at WPG. Tage Thompson (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 36 shots and stopped 33 (.917), +5 against a season average of 30.7; the loss.

Points
Tage Thompson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:46.Thompson
Points
Blake Wheeler had 2 assists (2 points) in 19:27.Wheeler
Points
Jeff Skinner had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:44.Skinner
Points
Rasmus Dahlin had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 24:34.Dahlin
Goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (WPG) faced 36 shots and stopped 33 (.917), +5 against a season average of 30.7; the loss.Hellebuyck
Usage
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby (WPG) played 5:40, −4:53 down on his 10:33 season average over 49 games.Jonsson-Fjallby
Usage
Dylan Cozens (BUF) played 11:42, −4:51 down on his 16:33 season average over 80 games.Cozens
Usage
Henri Jokiharju (BUF) played 25:58, +5:02 up on his 20:56 season average over 59 games.Jokiharju

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 108 of 108 attempts · WPG 53 · BUF 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 42% of the game, WPG 36%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	WPG
	58	43
	3.01	1.22
	2.84	1.13
	13	4
	2	4
	22	16
	+0.039	−0.039
	42%	36%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
11:2546% CF
L2Olofsson – Jost – Mittelstadt
9:4269% CF
L3Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
9:1238% CF
L4Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
7:2055% CF
D1Jokiharju – Power
16:3177% CF
D2Clague – Dahlin
13:2553% CF
D3Bryson – Lyubushkin
9:4055% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
2:2550% CF
PP2Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Quinn – Peterka – Power
0:14100% CF
PK1FGirgensons – Tuch
1:13
PK2FJost – Cozens
1:09
PK1DJokiharju – Lyubushkin
3:13
PK2DBryson – Dahlin
1:28

Current BUF line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Connor – Dubois – Perfetti
6:1625% CF
L2Wheeler – Scheifele – Ehlers
5:5014% CF
L3Lowry – Barron – Kuhlman
5:4563% CF
L4Maenalanen – Stenlund – Jonsson-Fjallby
3:1678% CF
D1DeMelo – Morrissey
11:5852% CF
D2Schmidt – Stanley
10:5230% CF
D3Dillon – Pionk
9:4714% CF

PP1Scheifele – Morrissey – Ehlers – Connor – Dubois
2:49100% CF
PP2Wheeler – Lowry – Schmidt – Pionk – Perfetti
2:05
PK1FLowry – Barron
1:03
PK2FMaenalanen – Stenlund
0:21
PK1DDillon – DeMelo
2:09
PK2DStanley – Pionk
0:32

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

10:32
BUFOwen Power (Rasmus Dahlin, Tage Thompson)wrist0.06 xG
BUF: Skinner, Thompson, Dahlin, Quinn, PowerWPG: DeMelo, Morrissey, Dubois, Barron, Kuhlman
BUF 1 – 0 WPG
14:15
BUFTage Thompson (Alex Tuch, Jeff Skinner)snap0.16 xG
BUF: Skinner, Tuch, Clague, Thompson, DahlinWPG: Dillon, Stenlund, Pionk, Barron, Kuhlman
BUF 2 – 0 WPG

3rd period

10:30
BUFVictor OlofssonPP (Jeff Skinner, Rasmus Dahlin)wrist0.42 xG
BUF: Skinner, Tuch, Olofsson, Thompson, DahlinWPG: Dillon, DeMelo, Lowry, Stenlund
BUF 3 – 0 WPG
15:14
WPGNate Schmidt (Blake Wheeler, Adam Lowry)wrist0.12 xG
BUF: Tuch, Jost, Jokiharju, LyubushkinWPG: Wheeler, Lowry, Schmidt, Connor, Pionk, Perfetti
BUF 3 – 1 WPG
19:17
WPGPierre-Luc Dubois (Mark Scheifele, Blake Wheeler)snap0.12 xG
BUF: Okposo, Tuch, Jost, Dahlin, LyubushkinWPG: Wheeler, Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, Dubois
BUF 3 – 2 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.28	1	2	0	21:24	—	—	46	73
Tage Thompson C	L1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.62	0	2	0	17:46	—	—	45	69
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	2	2	+2	1	0.32	1	1	2	17:44	—	—	47	68
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	0	0	-1	6	0.36	0	0	0	15:59	—	—	74	75
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	14:58	—	—	63	64
Victor Olofsson L	L2	1	0	1	0	6	0.60	0	0	0	13:27	—	—	67	53
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:42	—	—	62	80
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	2	2	14:09	—	—	62	69
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:43	—	—	50	52
JJ Peterka R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	1	0	2	11:49	—	—	71	85
Dylan Cozens C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:42	—	—	53	74
Jack Quinn R	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.14	1	0	0	11:39	—	—	65	83
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	2	0	25:58	—	—	63	79
Owen Power D	D1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	22:08	—	—	74	89
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	2	2	+1	5	0.43	1	3	0	24:34	—	—	56	73
Kale Clague D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	0	2	0	15:15	—	—	51	67
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	3	0	0	16:27	—	—	41	21
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	12:50	—	—	46	29

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Eric Comrie(start)	W	21	19	2	.905	2.33	59:33

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Connor L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.16	2	0	0	23:58	—	—	35	16
Pierre-Luc Dubois C	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.20	1	0	2	20:49	—	—	40	35
Cole Perfetti C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	1	0	0	17:29	—	—	50	29
Mark Scheifele C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.43	0	0	0	23:12	—	—	27	6
Blake Wheeler R	L2	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	19:27	—	—	29	20
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.25	0	0	0	18:15	—	—	39	30
Morgan Barron C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.10	2	0	0	15:08	—	—	41	19
Adam Lowry C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.01	0	2	0	12:59	—	—	53	18
Karson Kuhlman C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.08	1	0	0	11:57	—	—	52	35
Kevin Stenlund C	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.31	0	0	0	11:21	—	—	58	45
Saku Maenalanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:16	—	—	47	68
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	0	0	5:40	—	—	50	75
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	3	2	0	26:15	—	—	54	36
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	0	5	0	17:17	—	—	58	36
Nate Schmidt D	D2	1	0	1	0	2	0.20	0	0	2	18:29	—	—	38	30
Logan Stanley D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	14:13	—	—	30	24
Neal Pionk D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	3	1	0	20:37	—	—	20	8
Brenden Dillon D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	2	1	0	17:02	—	—	41	36

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	L	36	33	3	.917	3.24	56:42

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.