Buffalo Sabres vs. Winnipeg JetsNov 17, 2023

FinalFriday, Nov 17, 2023· Canada Life Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	1	2		BUF	6	10	12	28
WPG	0	3	0	3		WPG	7	5	6	18

: BUF 61WPG 46
: BUF 4.03WPG 2.57
PP goals: BUF 0WPG 0
Hits: BUF 23WPG 26
Blocks: BUF 12WPG 17
PIM: BUF 8WPG 4
: BUF 48%WPG 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Winnipeg Jets edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2

Winnipeg Jets beat Buffalo Sabres 3–2 at home. Nino Niederreiter (WPG) led the scoring with 0G 2A. New look for BUF: Skinner–Tuch–Cozens skated 10:14 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Nino Niederreiter had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:50.Niederreiter
Points
Vladislav Namestnikov had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:48.Namestnikov
New line
New look for BUF: Skinner–Tuch–Cozens skated 10:14 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Skinner Tuch Cozens
New line
New look for BUF: Mittelstadt–Peterka–Benson skated 9:49 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (56.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Mittelstadt Peterka Benson
Luck
BUF scored 2 goals on 4.03 expected goals (61 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Olofsson–Greenway–Jost skated 4:38 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (83.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Olofsson Greenway Jost
New line
New look for WPG: Jonsson-Fjallby–Barron–Gustafsson skated 5:00 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (33.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jonsson-Fjallby Barron Gustafsson
Usage
Connor Clifton (BUF) played 13:18, −3:18 down on his 16:36 season average over 78 games.Clifton

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)WPG attacks right (top on phones) →

WPG
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · WPG 46 · BUF 61

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

WPG
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

WPG pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 43% of the game, WPG 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

WPG

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	WPG
	61	41
	3.91	1.74
	3.62	1.71
	22	5
	2	5
	11	7
	+0.001	−0.001
	43%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Cozens
10:1443% CF
L2Mittelstadt – Peterka – Benson
9:4956% CF
L3Okposo – Girgensons – Krebs
5:3446% CF
L4Olofsson – Greenway – Jost
4:3883% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
17:0658% CF
D2Johnson – Power
11:5460% CF
D3Johnson – Clifton
5:4470% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Mittelstadt – Dahlin – Peterka
2:2867% CF
PP2Okposo – Olofsson – Dahlin – Cozens – Benson
1:19100% CF
PK1FGirgensons – Greenway
2:06
PK2FTuch – Cozens
1:05
PK1DJohnson – Samuelsson
3:07
PK2DClifton – Dahlin
0:40

Current BUF line combinations →

Winnipeg Jets

L1Scheifele – Connor – Iafallo
12:3344% CF
L2Niederreiter – Lowry – Appleton
9:4956% CF
L3Namestnikov – Ehlers – Perfetti
8:1926% CF
L4Jonsson-Fjallby – Barron – Gustafsson
5:0033% CF
D1DeMelo – Morrissey
15:2742% CF
D2Dillon – Pionk
14:1747% CF
D3Stanley – Samberg
8:2718% CF

PP1Scheifele – Morrissey – Connor – Iafallo – Perfetti
4:12100% CF
PP2Dillon – Niederreiter – Namestnikov – Ehlers – Pionk
2:15100% CF
PK1FNamestnikov – Barron
1:41
PK2FLowry – Appleton
1:02
PK1DDillon – DeMelo
2:11
PK2DSamberg – Pionk
1:34

Current WPG line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

2:12
WPGCole Perfetti (Vladislav Namestnikov, Neal Pionk)snap0.04 xG
BUF: Johnson, Skinner, Olofsson, Jost, PowerWPG: Namestnikov, Ehlers, Stanley, Pionk, Perfetti
BUF 0 – 1 WPG
4:33
WPGMason Appleton (Nino Niederreiter, Adam Lowry)tip-in0.10 xG
BUF: Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Peterka, BensonWPG: Dillon, Niederreiter, Lowry, Appleton, Pionk
BUF 0 – 2 WPG
4:56
BUFAlex Tuchwrist0.26 xG
BUF: Skinner, Tuch, Cozens, Johnson, PowerWPG: Dillon, Niederreiter, Lowry, Appleton, Pionk
BUF 1 – 2 WPG
8:12
WPGNikolaj Ehlers (Nino Niederreiter, Vladislav Namestnikov)wrist0.01 xG
BUF: Clifton, Tuch, Jost, Peterka, PowerWPG: Dillon, Niederreiter, Namestnikov, Ehlers, Pionk
BUF 1 – 3 WPG

3rd period

1:00
BUFJJ Peterka (Rasmus Dahlin, Zach Benson)tip-in0.13 xG
BUF: Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Peterka, BensonWPG: Dillon, Scheifele, Connor, Iafallo, Pionk
BUF 2 – 3 WPG

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.48	0	0	0	20:29	—	—	44	74
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	17:24	—	—	56	84
Dylan Cozens C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	1	0	0	16:18	—	—	53	75
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	1	0	0	18:58	—	—	67	68
JJ Peterka R	L2	1	0	1	-1	4	0.70	0	0	2	17:23	—	—	61	68
Zach Benson L	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	2	0	2	14:43	—	—	58	60
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	3	0	0	12:34	—	—	44	33
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:18	—	—	61	72
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	11:18	—	—	44	33
Jordan Greenway L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	2	0	0	14:31	—	—	81	86
Victor Olofsson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.21	1	1	0	11:50	—	—	76	82
Tyson Jost C	L4	0	0	0	-2	4	0.70	1	0	2	8:38	—	—	65	73
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.65	2	2	0	28:07	—	—	63	73
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	4	3	2	23:28	—	—	52	60
Owen Power D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.32	1	4	0	21:55	—	—	54	65
Ryan Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	0	0	0	16:54	—	—	67	85
Connor Clifton D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	0	0	13:18	—	—	65	66
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	2	0	12:34	—	—	62	60

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Eric Comrie(start)	L	18	15	3	.833	2.57	59:20

Winnipeg Jets

WPG skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Connor L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.29	0	0	0	20:07	—	—	52	47
Mark Scheifele C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.26	2	0	0	19:09	—	—	50	49
Alex Iafallo L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.29	0	0	0	18:18	—	—	42	33
Mason Appleton C	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.13	2	0	0	18:02	—	—	52	38
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.27	1	2	0	16:50	—	—	43	20
Adam Lowry C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.16	1	0	2	15:59	—	—	52	38
Nikolaj Ehlers L	L3	1	0	1	+2	2	0.14	0	1	2	15:12	—	—	26	15
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L3	0	2	2	+2	1	0.21	0	0	0	14:48	—	—	27	16
Cole Perfetti C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.22	0	0	0	13:30	—	—	26	20
Morgan Barron C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	3	0	0	10:12	—	—	33	44
David Gustafsson C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.27	0	1	0	9:36	—	—	33	33
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	3	0	0	8:32	—	—	39	39
Josh Morrissey D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	24:07	—	—	48	45
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	2	0	22:32	—	—	45	50
Neal Pionk D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	2	4	0	22:29	—	—	50	39
Brenden Dillon D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	5	3	0	20:50	—	—	50	41
Dylan Samberg D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	2	0	13:16	—	—	23	16
Logan Stanley D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	4	2	0	12:31	—	—	22	17

WPG goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Hellebuyck(start)	W	28	26	2	.929	4.03	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Mason Appleton (WPG) 2nd 4:33 · assists Nino Niederreiter, Adam Lowry · Deflection · passed in · 5-on-3 at the blue line · 16.4 mph shot · 3.2 s from entry to goal.

Mason Appleton · 2nd 4:33 · WPG

Play: deflection
Entry: pass
Odd man: 5-on-3
Passes: 1
Shot: 16.4 mph
Distance: 4 ft
Entry to goal: 3.2 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

JJ Peterka · 3rd 1:00 · BUF

Play: deflection
Entry: pass
Odd man: 1-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 13.6 mph
Distance: 4 ft
Entry to goal: 2.9 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Cole Perfetti · 2nd 2:12 · WPG

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 67.7 mph
Distance: 37 ft
Entry to goal: 2.6 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alex Tuch · 2nd 4:56 · BUF

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 38.7 mph
Distance: 15 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 8:12 · WPG

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 2
Shot: 55.6 mph
Distance: 48 ft
Entry to goal: 6.0 s
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.