Buffalo Sabres vs. Los Angeles KingsOct 17, 2019

FinalThursday, Oct 17, 2019· STAPLES Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	2	1	0	3		BUF	7	10	7	24
LAK	0	0	0	0		LAK	11	17	19	47

: BUF 46LAK 92
: BUF 1.39LAK 2.45
PP goals: BUF 1LAK 0
Hits: BUF 14LAK 26
Blocks: BUF 24LAK 15
PIM: BUF 6LAK 6
: BUF 37%LAK 63%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Los Angeles Kings 3–0

Buffalo Sabres beat Los Angeles Kings 3–0 at LAK. Casey Mittelstadt (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Carter Hutton (BUF) faced 47 shots and stopped 47 (.1000), +17 against a season average of 29.6; the win.

Points
Casey Mittelstadt had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 12:19.Mittelstadt
Goalie
Carter Hutton (BUF) faced 47 shots and stopped 47 (.1000), +17 against a season average of 29.6; the win.Hutton
Luck
LAK scored 0 goals on 2.45 expected goals (92 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for LAK: Clifford–Amadio–Wagner skated 4:52 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (64.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Clifford Amadio Wagner
New line
New look for LAK: Kovalchuk–Lewis–Kempe skated 7:08 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (71.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kovalchuk Lewis Kempe
Luck
BUF scored 3 goals on 1.39 expected goals (46 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Austin Wagner (LAK) played 6:29, −5:21 down on his 11:50 season average over 64 games.Wagner
Usage
Jack Eichel (BUF) played 16:50, −5:20 down on his 22:10 season average over 67 games.Eichel

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)LAK attacks right (top on phones) →

LAK
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 138 of 138 attempts · LAK 92 · BUF 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

LAK
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

LAK pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 18% of the game, LAK 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

LAK

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	LAK
	43	96
	1.42	2.00
	1.36	1.88
	5	11
	6	16
	17	13
	−0.129	+0.129
	18%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
12:5343% CF
L2Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
12:3922% CF
L3Sobotka – Johansson – Skinner
12:0626% CF
L4Vesey – Sheary – Mittelstadt
8:4547% CF
D1McCabe – Ristolainen
16:2012% CF
D2Miller – Dahlin
14:0537% CF
D3Scandella – Jokiharju
13:5245% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
3:2180% CF
PP2Johansson – Skinner – Miller – Ristolainen – Mittelstadt
1:320% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:18
PK2FSobotka – Vesey
0:46
PK1DScandella – Jokiharju
1:32
PK2DMcCabe – Ristolainen
0:54

Current BUF line combinations →

Los Angeles Kings

L1Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo
13:2873% CF
L2Carter – Toffoli – Lizotte
10:4974% CF
L3Kovalchuk – Lewis – Kempe
7:0871% CF
L4Clifford – Amadio – Wagner
4:5265% CF
D1Doughty – Hutton
16:0766% CF
D2Martinez – Walker
16:0077% CF
D3Ryan – Roy
13:4457% CF

PP1Kovalchuk – Carter – Brown – Kopitar – Doughty
1:34100% CF
PP2Kovalchuk – Carter – Doughty – Toffoli – Amadio
1:1167% CF
PK1FBrown – Kopitar
2:01
PK2FCarter – Lizotte
1:13
PK1DDoughty – Hutton
2:41
PK2DRyan – Roy
2:11

Current LAK line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:36
BUFCasey Mittelstadt (Jimmy Vesey)wrist0.08 xG
BUF: Vesey, McCabe, Ristolainen, Sheary, MittelstadtLAK: Kovalchuk, Martinez, Amadio, Wagner, Walker
BUF 1 – 0 LAK
5:20
BUFConor Sheary (Casey Mittelstadt, Rasmus Dahlin)snap0.16 xG
BUF: Miller, Vesey, Sheary, Mittelstadt, DahlinLAK: Kovalchuk, Ryan, Amadio, Wagner, Roy
BUF 2 – 0 LAK

2nd period

2:32
BUFCasey MittelstadtPP (Rasmus Ristolainen, Colin Miller)tip-in0.03 xG
BUF: Johansson, Miller, Ristolainen, Sheary, MittelstadtLAK: Martinez, Kempe, Iafallo, Walker
BUF 3 – 0 LAK

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Johan Larsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	2	1	2	16:00	—	—	36	29
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	2	0	0	15:32	—	—	33	29
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0	0	0	13:26	—	—	46	44
Jack Eichel C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	4	0	16:50	—	—	22	39
Sam Reinhart C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	1	0	16:48	—	—	24	39
Victor Olofsson L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	1	0	16:21	—	—	24	39
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:05	—	—	28	26
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	2	1	0	15:42	—	—	26	26
Marcus Johansson L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	14:41	—	—	26	26
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	2	1	3	+2	3	0.29	0	0	0	12:19	—	—	47	64
Jimmy Vesey L	L4	0	1	1	+2	1	0.12	0	0	0	11:05	—	—	38	48
Conor Sheary L	L4	1	0	1	+2	2	0.21	0	0	0	10:33	—	—	47	64
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	1	1	0	22:55	—	—	17	48
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	4	4	2	18:18	—	—	10	12
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	4	0	19:32	—	—	34	39
Colin Miller D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.02	1	2	0	19:08	—	—	35	37
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	20:19	—	—	39	56
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	3	0	17:26	—	—	43	59

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	W	47	47	0	.1000	2.45	60:00

Los Angeles Kings

LAK skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dustin Brown R	L1	0	2	0.11	4	1	0	20:16	—	—	71	48
Anze Kopitar C	L1	0	1	0.14	1	1	0	20:15	—	—	69	48
Alex Iafallo L	L1	0	5	0.18	2	0	0	18:10	—	—	70	55
Jeff Carter C	L2	0	5	0.27	0	0	0	17:40	—	—	76	83
Tyler Toffoli C	L2	0	4	0.24	0	0	0	16:55	—	—	70	67
Blake Lizotte C	L2	0	3	0.15	2	1	0	14:19	—	—	76	84
Ilya Kovalchuk L	L3	-2	2	0.10	5	1	6	15:56	—	—	59	11
Adrian Kempe R	L3	0	2	0.13	1	0	0	15:12	—	—	71	69
Trevor Lewis C	L3	0	2	0.00	0	0	0	13:13	—	—	70	82
Michael Amadio R	L4	-2	3	0.10	1	2	0	11:10	—	—	60	49
Kyle Clifford L	L4	0	3	0.17	2	0	0	9:23	—	—	73	90
Austin Wagner L	L4	-2	1	0.03	1	0	0	6:29	—	—	58	20
Drew Doughty D	D1	0	4	0.13	3	3	0	24:30	—	—	65	65
Ben Hutton D	D1	0	3	0.02	0	2	0	19:42	—	—	68	66
Alec Martinez D	D2	-1	1	0.08	0	1	0	19:27	—	—	76	51
Sean Walker D	D2	-1	3	0.09	3	1	0	18:17	—	—	79	51
Joakim Ryan D	D3	-1	1	0.29	0	2	0	17:14	—	—	60	67
Matt Roy D	D3	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	16:05	—	—	57	65

LAK goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	L	24	21	3	.875	1.39	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.