Buffalo Sabres vs. Tampa Bay LightningNov 9, 2019

FinalSaturday, Nov 9, 2019· Ericsson Globe

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	0	2	3		BUF	17	13	13	43
TBL	1	2	2	5		TBL	12	18	10	40

: BUF 74TBL 61
: BUF 2.79TBL 4.94
PP goals: BUF 0TBL 2
Hits: BUF 19TBL 12
Blocks: BUF 5TBL 18
PIM: BUF 8TBL 16
: BUF 49%TBL 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 5–3

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 5–3 at home. Patrick Maroon (TBL) led the scoring with 2G 0A. TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 2:32 together.

Points
Patrick Maroon had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 14:40.Maroon
Points
Jack Eichel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 22:27.Eichel
Points
Sam Reinhart had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:28.Reinhart
Points
Yanni Gourde had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 14:31.Gourde
Points
Cedric Paquette had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:11.Paquette
Points
Kevin Shattenkirk had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:14.Shattenkirk
PP1
TBL's first power-play unit (Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov and Point) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 2:32 together.Killorn Stamkos Hedman Kucherov Point
Goalie
Curtis McElhinney (TBL) faced 43 shots and stopped 40 (.930), +12 against a season average of 30.6; the win.McElhinney

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 135 of 135 attempts · TBL 61 · BUF 74

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 30% of the game, TBL 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	TBL
	71	49
	2.62	3.55
	2.58	3.43
	8	17
	5	5
	11	10
	−0.027	+0.027
	30%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
13:3152% CF
L2Johansson – Vesey – Mittelstadt
10:0962% CF
L3Skinner – Sheary – Rodrigues
8:0661% CF
L4Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
6:5950% CF
D1McCabe – Ristolainen
17:1761% CF
D2Montour – Dahlin
14:3261% CF
D3Miller – Jokiharju
14:1658% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
2:24100% CF
PP2Johansson – Miller – Ristolainen – Sheary – Mittelstadt
0:19
PK1FLarsson – Rodrigues
1:11
PK2FJohansson – Girgensons
1:03
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
1:39
PK2DMiller – Jokiharju
1:05

Current BUF line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Maroon – Gourde – Paquette
12:0443% CF
L2Johnson – Kucherov – Point
11:1835% CF
L3Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
10:0633% CF
L4Stamkos – Palat – Volkov
9:0153% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
17:4448% CF
D2Hedman – Rutta
10:4338% CF
D3Shattenkirk – Sergachev
7:5629% CF

PP1Killorn – Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Point
2:32100% CF
PP2Shattenkirk – Maroon – Johnson – Gourde – Sergachev
1:23100% CF
PK1FPalat – Cirelli
0:43
PK2FKillorn – Paquette
0:27
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
1:54
PK2DHedman – Rutta
0:43

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	1	2	0	3	0.46	1	0	0	22:27	—	—	53	44
Victor Olofsson L	L1	1	0	1	0	7	0.48	0	0	0	21:34	—	—	53	45
Sam Reinhart C	L1	1	1	2	-1	1	0.10	2	0	2	20:28	—	—	56	47
Marcus Johansson L	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.11	3	0	2	19:46	—	—	65	43
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:20	—	—	63	43
Jimmy Vesey L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.24	0	0	0	12:42	—	—	65	45
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.08	0	0	0	17:47	—	—	58	37
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	0	0	0	12:08	—	—	58	34
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	0	1	0	10:01	—	—	62	48
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:12	—	—	64	42
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	0	0	9:12	—	—	56	35
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	8:59	—	—	50	15
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	1	1	-1	5	0.15	3	1	2	23:59	—	—	61	48
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.06	0	2	0	21:16	—	—	59	48
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.05	2	0	0	21:30	—	—	63	44
Brandon Montour D	D2	0	1	1	0	4	0.32	1	1	2	17:34	—	—	56	33
Colin Miller D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.13	1	0	0	17:02	—	—	56	37
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.18	0	0	0	15:43	—	—	59	48

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	L	40	35	5	.875	4.31	56:18

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Patrick Maroon L	L1	2	0	2	+1	6	1.41	1	0	0	14:40	—	—	42	62
Yanni Gourde C	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.45	2	1	0	14:31	—	—	43	62
Cedric Paquette C	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.11	1	1	12	14:11	—	—	41	58
Nikita Kucherov R	L2	0	1	1	-2	0	0.14	2	0	2	15:48	—	—	36	43
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.35	0	1	0	15:11	—	—	36	43
Tyler Johnson C	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.43	0	0	0	14:51	—	—	35	39
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.12	1	1	0	18:26	—	—	35	56
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.08	0	0	0	17:49	—	—	30	49
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.44	0	0	0	13:50	—	—	35	62
Steven Stamkos C	L4	0	1	1	0	6	0.46	2	0	0	15:15	—	—	55	67
Ondrej Palat L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.18	1	2	0	13:37	—	—	55	74
Alexander Volkov R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	0	0	0	10:17	—	—	53	65
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	4	0	24:32	—	—	42	47
Erik Cernak D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.10	2	2	2	22:40	—	—	48	50
Victor Hedman D	D2	1	0	1	-1	4	0.35	0	3	0	21:52	—	—	41	68
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	18:52	—	—	37	57
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	0	1	0	15:24	—	—	41	59
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D3	0	2	2	+1	2	0.06	0	0	0	14:14	—	—	36	65

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	W	43	40	3	.930	2.79	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Tampa Bay LightningNov 9, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 5–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Tampa Bay Lightning

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Tampa Bay Lightning