Edgehalla

Buffalo Sabres vs. Tampa Bay LightningMar 6, 2025

Final· Amalie Arena
away
BUF
5
@
home
TBL
6
Goals123TShots123T
BUF3205BUF1281333
TBL2316TBL713626
BUF 57TBL 49
BUF 2.65TBL 2.72
PP goals
BUF 1TBL 1
Hits
BUF 23TBL 19
Blocks
BUF 10TBL 12
PIM
BUF 8TBL 10
BUF 45%TBL 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Buffalo Sabres 6–5

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Buffalo Sabres 6–5 at home. Jake Guentzel (TBL) led the scoring with 3G 0A.

  1. Points
    Jake Guentzel had a hat trick (3 points) on 3 shots in 18:27.Guentzel
  2. Points
    Darren Raddysh had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 24:47.Raddysh
  3. Points
    JJ Peterka had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:35.Peterka
  4. Points
    Nick Paul had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:42.Paul
  5. Points
    Rasmus Dahlin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 23:35.Dahlin
  6. Points
    Brandon Hagel had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 21:42.Hagel
  7. Points
    Nikita Kucherov had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:18.Kucherov
  8. Points
    Ryan McLeod had 2 assists (2 points) in 21:38.McLeod

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Shot map, BUF at TBL: 106 attempts, 59 on goal, 11 goals, 5.37 expected goals; best chance Oliver Bjorkstrand at 0.46 xG.

Strength
Period
Team
← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →
  • TBL
  • BUF
  • Goal
  • Shot on goal
  • Missed
  • Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · TBL 49 · BUF 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

Game flow, BUF at TBL: expected goals 2.72 to 2.65 (TBL led the chances), shot attempts 49 to 57, 11 goals.

0.01.02.03.01st2nd3rdTBLBUFPDRTKGTPGGBnet xGcumulative expected goals · 60:00
  • TBL
  • BUF
  • Goal
  • Power play (shaded)
Pressure Index
TBLBUFcontrol2nd3rdPaul · 1st 5:01Dahlin · 1st 5:17Raddysh · 1st 5:53Tuch · 1st 8:20Krebs · 1st 17:09Guentzel · 2nd 0:58Thompson · 2nd 9:35Peterka · 2nd 12:40Guentzel · 2nd 17:43Guentzel · 2nd 18:46Bjorkstrand · 3rd 1:40
  • TBL pressure
  • BUF pressure
  • Goal
  • Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 23% of the game, TBL 22%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

Shift chart, BUF at TBL: 38 players over 60:00; most ice Andrei Vasilevskiy (60:00) for TBL and Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (57:53) for BUF, 11 goals.

TBL
BUF
goals / penalties
  • Even strength
  • Power play
  • Penalty kill
  • Goal
  • Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
StatBUFTBL
5652
2.902.68
2.822.58
712
104
2217
−0.021+0.021
23%22%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

Current BUF line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

  1. 5:01
    TBLNick Paul (Ryan McDonagh, Brandon Hagel)backhand0.01 xG
    BUF: Clifton, Bryson, McLeod, Quinn, PeterkaTBL: McDonagh, Paul, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel
    BUF 0 – 1 TBL
  2. 5:17
    BUFRasmus Dahlin (Ryan McLeod, Zach Benson)wrist0.12 xG
    BUF: McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn, BensonTBL: McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Cernak
    BUF 1 – 1 TBL
  3. 5:53
    TBLDarren Raddysh (Zemgus Girgensons)wrist0.01 xG
    BUF: Lafferty, Malenstyn, Krebs, Byram, PowerTBL: Glendening, Girgensons, Raddysh, Chaffee, Lilleberg
    BUF 1 – 2 TBL
  4. 8:20
    BUFAlex Tuchsnap0.14 xG
    BUF: Tuch, Greenway, Byram, Cozens, PowerTBL: Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Goncalves, Moser, Lilleberg
    BUF 2 – 2 TBL
  5. 17:09
    BUFPeyton Krebs (Ryan McLeod, Zach Benson)wrist0.16 xG
    BUF: Clifton, Bryson, McLeod, Krebs, BensonTBL: McDonagh, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Goncalves, Moser
    BUF 3 – 2 TBL

2nd period

  1. 0:58
    TBLJake Guentzel (Erik Cernak, Nikita Kucherov)snap0.15 xG
    BUF: Thompson, Byram, Peterka, Power, KulichTBL: McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Cernak
    BUF 3 – 3 TBL
  2. 9:35
    BUFTage ThompsonPP (Rasmus Dahlin, JJ Peterka)wrist0.04 xG
    BUF: Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, KulichTBL: McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel
    BUF 4 – 3 TBL
  3. 12:40
    BUFJJ Peterkawrist0.07 xG
    BUF: Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Peterka, KulichTBL: McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Cernak
    BUF 5 – 3 TBL
  4. 17:43
    TBLJake Guentzel (Brayden Point, Nick Paul)backhand0.15 xG
    BUF: Malenstyn, Krebs, Byram, Power, KulichTBL: McDonagh, Guentzel, Paul, Point, Raddysh
    BUF 5 – 4 TBL
  5. 18:46
    TBLJake GuentzelPP (Brandon Hagel, Darren Raddysh)slap0.08 xG
    BUF: Clifton, Greenway, McLeod, SamuelssonTBL: Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh, Hagel
    BUF 5 – 5 TBL

3rd period

  1. 1:40
    TBLOliver Bjorkstrand (Yanni Gourde, Nikita Kucherov)wrist0.46 xG
    BUF: Clifton, Lafferty, Malenstyn, McLeod, PowerTBL: Kucherov, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Cernak, Lilleberg
    BUF 5 – 6 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
SkaterLineGAP+/-HitsBlkPIMPPSH
JJ Peterka RL1112-120.2300221:35——5254
Tage Thompson CL1101050.3622219:19——5450
Jiri Kulich CL1000-130.3510018:55——5040
Alex Tuch RL2101+140.3230021:00——5251
Dylan Cozens CL2000+110.0510016:54——5257
Jordan Greenway LL2000+110.0111012:16——4429
Ryan McLeod CL3022000.0400021:38——5059
Sam Lafferty CL3000-220.2941012:32——6255
Zach Benson LL3022+220.3610010:57——4679
Mattias Samuelsson DD1000+200.0033025:12——5561
Rasmus Dahlin DD1112+250.2911423:35——5961
Bowen Byram DD2000-210.0010020:18——4654
Owen Power DD2000-340.1000017:54——5539
Connor Clifton DD3000-110.0520015:36——5246
Jacob Bryson DD3000000.0002013:55——4652
Peyton Krebs C—101-120.2220013:47——6467
Beck Malenstyn L—000-300.001009:43——5638
Jack Quinn R—000000.000002:25——1746
BUF goalies
GoalieDecSASVGATOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)L26206.7692.5557:53

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
SkaterLineGAP+/-HitsBlkPIMPPSH
Jake Guentzel CL1303030.3800018:27——4841
Nikita Kucherov RL1022010.1500017:18——5054
Brayden Point CL1011010.1801016:45——4841
Brandon Hagel LL2022+110.2202221:42——4449
Anthony Cirelli CL2000+120.1311217:46——4537
Nick Paul LL2112+220.1400015:42——4642
Yanni Gourde CL3011-120.3640016:47——5761
Oliver Bjorkstrand RL3101-120.6630013:53——6264
Gage Goncalves CL3000-200.0420211:07——5726
Zemgus Girgensons CL4011+100.0420011:02——2726
Luke Glendening CL4000+110.0311010:49——2931
Mitchell Chaffee RL4000+110.071008:42——4446
Ryan McDonagh DD1011000.0000225:41——3840
Erik Cernak DD1011+120.2133222:10——4259
Darren Raddysh DD2112+230.0311024:47——4943
Emil Lilleberg DD2000+120.0302017:01——6160
J.J. Moser DD3000-230.0511022:53——5239
Victor Hedman DD3000000.000002:57——6767
TBL goalies
GoalieDecSASVGATOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)W33285.8482.6560:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Nick Paul (TBL) 1st 5:01 · assists Ryan McDonagh, Brandon Hagel · Rush · carried in · 25.4 mph shot · 2.7 s from entry to goal.

Nick Paul · 1st 5:01 · TBL

Play
rush
Entry
carry
Odd man
No
Passes
2
Shot
25.4 mph
Distance
19 ft
Entry to goal
2.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 5:17 · BUF

Play
odd-man-rush
Entry
carry
Odd man
2-on-1
Passes
0
Shot
69.2 mph
Distance
27 ft
Entry to goal
1.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Darren Raddysh · 1st 5:53 · TBL

Play
dump-and-chase
Entry
dump
Odd man
3-on-2
Passes
1
Shot
21.2 mph
Distance
64 ft
Entry to goal
9.8 s
Type
one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alex Tuch · 1st 8:20 · BUF

Play
odd-man-rush
Entry
carry
Odd man
2-on-1
Passes
0
Shot
58.2 mph
Distance
23 ft
Entry to goal
1.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Peyton Krebs · 1st 17:09 · BUF

Play
rush
Entry
carry
Odd man
No
Passes
3
Shot
51.4 mph
Distance
13 ft
Entry to goal
2.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jake Guentzel · 2nd 0:58 · TBL

Play
rush
Entry
carry
Odd man
No
Passes
0
Shot
13.6 mph
Distance
5 ft
Entry to goal
2.4 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jake Guentzel · 2nd 17:43 · TBL

Play
dump-and-chase
Entry
dump
Odd man
No
Passes
0
Shot
5.8 mph
Distance
5 ft
Entry to goal
9.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE