Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 2, 2022

FinalWednesday, Mar 2, 2022· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	2	2	5		BUF	5	10	16	31
TOR	1	0	0	1		TOR	6	11	13	30

: BUF 46TOR 63
: BUF 2.46TOR 1.68
PP goals: BUF 1TOR 0
Hits: BUF 20TOR 17
Blocks: BUF 16TOR 9
PIM: BUF 2TOR 4
: BUF 45%TOR 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres rout Toronto Maple Leafs 5–1

Buffalo Sabres beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–1 at TOR. Jeff Skinner (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF scored 5 goals on 2.46 expected goals (46 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Jeff Skinner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 17:50.Skinner
Points
Dylan Cozens had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:56.Cozens
Luck
BUF scored 5 goals on 2.46 expected goals (46 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Mittelstadt–Cozens skated 12:01 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (30.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Mittelstadt Cozens
New line
New look for BUF: Olofsson–Asplund–Krebs skated 8:09 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (57.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Olofsson Asplund Krebs
Usage
Rasmus Asplund (BUF) played 10:24, −3:56 down on his 14:20 season average over 79 games.Asplund
Usage
John Hayden (BUF) played 14:13, +3:26 up on his 10:47 season average over 54 games.Hayden
Usage
Robert Hagg (BUF) played 19:23, +3:25 up on his 15:58 season average over 63 games.Hagg

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · TOR 63 · BUF 46

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 27% of the game, TOR 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	TOR
	52	64
	2.68	1.70
	2.47	1.63
	13	7
	8	1
	25	19
	−0.042	+0.042
	27%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
13:2962% CF
L2Eakin – Hayden – Bjork
12:3119% CF
L3Okposo – Mittelstadt – Cozens
12:0131% CF
L4Olofsson – Asplund – Krebs
8:0958% CF
D1Bryson – Dahlin
17:4661% CF
D2Fitzgerald – Samuelsson
17:0040% CF
D3Pysyk – Hagg
15:5237% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Krebs
1:320% CF
PP2Okposo – Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Bryson – Cozens
1:15100% CF
PK1FEakin – Asplund
1:22
PK2FTuch – Thompson
0:38
PK1DPysyk – Hagg
1:22
PK2DFitzgerald – Samuelsson
0:27

Current BUF line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
12:4260% CF
L2Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
10:3550% CF
L3Engvall – Kampf – Mikheyev
9:2071% CF
L4Spezza – Simmonds – Robertson
6:4255% CF
D1Brodie – Holl
17:0544% CF
D2Rielly – Sandin
11:3250% CF
D3Dermott – Lyubushkin
8:5673% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:22100% CF
PP2Spezza – Bunting – Engvall – Sandin – Mikheyev
0:38100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:09
PK2FKerfoot – Mikheyev
0:49
PK1DRielly – Lyubushkin
1:34
PK2DBrodie – Holl
1:09

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	1	2	+1	6	0.88	0	0	0	17:50	—	—	62	79
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.11	1	2	0	17:37	—	—	59	78
Tage Thompson C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.48	1	2	0	17:23	—	—	58	78
Cody Eakin C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:55	—	—	20	13
Anders Bjork L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	15:05	—	—	27	14
John Hayden C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	1	0	14:13	—	—	20	13
Kyle Okposo R	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.10	1	1	2	16:20	—	—	43	54
Dylan Cozens C	L3	0	2	2	+1	2	0.16	0	0	0	15:56	—	—	39	47
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.09	1	0	0	15:22	—	—	27	12
Victor Olofsson L	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.17	0	0	0	12:32	—	—	55	63
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:18	—	—	59	65
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.17	1	0	0	10:24	—	—	55	68
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	1	0	0	21:13	—	—	61	60
Jacob Bryson D	D1	1	0	1	+2	3	0.06	2	0	0	20:24	—	—	58	59
Casey Fitzgerald D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	4	0	0	18:59	—	—	38	71
Mattias Samuelsson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	2	0	18:45	—	—	40	70
Robert Hagg D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	5	2	0	19:23	—	—	36	47
Mark Pysyk D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.09	1	6	0	18:21	—	—	36	43

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	30	29	1	.967	1.68	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.08	2	0	0	18:55	—	—	50	39
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.18	0	0	0	17:34	—	—	55	42
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.12	0	0	0	16:34	—	—	42	23
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	1	0	0	18:14	—	—	53	28
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.15	1	1	2	17:02	—	—	56	41
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	0	1	0	15:27	—	—	53	26
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	0	0	0	13:37	—	—	73	74
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.15	1	0	0	13:04	—	—	73	73
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.32	0	0	0	12:52	—	—	54	58
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	12:13	—	—	52	20
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	3	0	0	12:08	—	—	48	22
Nick Robertson L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	11:29	—	—	53	31
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	2	2	0	23:03	—	—	54	14
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	2	1	0	21:38	—	—	44	15
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.07	0	2	0	20:56	—	—	51	41
Rasmus Sandin D	D2	1	0	1	-2	1	0.07	1	1	0	19:52	—	—	55	44
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	3	1	0	17:11	—	—	64	83
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	0	0	15:16	—	—	68	73

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	L	31	26	5	.839	2.46	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 2, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres rout Toronto Maple Leafs 5–1

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs