Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 19, 2022

FinalSaturday, Nov 19, 2022· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	1	2		BUF	8	12	14	34
TOR	3	1	1	5		TOR	12	6	6	24

: BUF 62TOR 43
: BUF 2.94TOR 3.00
PP goals: BUF 2TOR 2
Hits: BUF 28TOR 32
Blocks: BUF 11TOR 19
PIM: BUF 6TOR 12
: BUF 38%TOR 62%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2 at home. John Tavares (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 12 attempts in 7:38 together.

Points
John Tavares had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 14:05.Tavares
Points
William Nylander had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:57.Nylander
Points
Mitch Marner had 2 assists (2 points) in 17:58.Marner
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Cozens) scored 1 power-play goal on 12 attempts in 7:38 together.Skinner Tuch Thompson Dahlin Cozens
New line
New look for TOR: Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander skated 9:01 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tavares Kerfoot Nylander
Usage
Auston Matthews (TOR) played 14:06, −6:16 down on his 20:22 season average over 73 games.Matthews
New line
New look for BUF: Sheahan–Hinostroza–Asplund skated 6:06 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (44.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sheahan Hinostroza Asplund
Luck
TOR scored 5 goals on 2.99 expected goals (43 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 105 of 105 attempts · TOR 43 · BUF 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 28% of the game, TOR 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	TOR
	49	41
	1.77	2.58
	1.70	2.41
	6	11
	6	2
	22	26
	−0.083	+0.083
	28%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
10:3959% CF
L2Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
10:2553% CF
L3Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Krebs
6:1129% CF
L4Sheahan – Hinostroza – Asplund
6:0644% CF
D1Dahlin – Power
9:0959% CF
D2Jokiharju – Bryson
8:3743% CF
D3Fitzgerald – Lyubushkin
4:2738% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
7:3892% CF
PP2Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Cozens – Peterka – Power
2:48
PK1FHinostroza – Mittelstadt
0:37
PK2FAsplund – Peterka
0:32
PK1DFitzgerald – Jokiharju
0:32
PK2DDahlin – Lyubushkin
0:21

Current BUF line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
9:0138% CF
L2Bunting – Marner – Matthews
8:4246% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Engvall – Holmberg
7:2078% CF
L4Malgin – Aston-Reese – Kampf
6:4342% CF
D1Benn – Rielly
8:2221% CF
D2Liljegren – Sandin
7:5063% CF
D3Giordano – Holl
6:5450% CF

PP1Kerfoot – Nylander – Bunting – Engvall – Sandin
1:10100% CF
PP2Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
0:34100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
4:23
PK2FJarnkrok – Kerfoot
3:50
PK1DGiordano – Holl
3:47
PK2DBenn – Liljegren
2:23

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	-1	9	0.70	2	0	0	21:02	—	—	56	48
Alex Tuch R	L1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.61	1	1	0	20:31	—	—	54	44
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.20	1	0	0	19:47	—	—	57	53
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	1	1	0	5	0.60	2	1	0	21:00	—	—	61	41
JJ Peterka R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	17:03	—	—	50	30
Jack Quinn R	L2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.03	2	0	0	15:20	—	—	61	38
Victor Olofsson L	L3	0	1	1	0	4	0.20	1	0	0	15:52	—	—	60	42
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.10	1	0	0	15:17	—	—	54	13
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:58	—	—	39	14
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:02	—	—	57	40
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.18	2	2	0	10:02	—	—	50	41
Riley Sheahan C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	4	9:06	—	—	46	40
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.23	6	0	0	26:21	—	—	57	47
Owen Power D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	21:34	—	—	66	50
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	1	2	19:44	—	—	55	41
Jacob Bryson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	0	14:30	—	—	48	50
Casey Fitzgerald D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	2	0	0	14:50	—	—	56	26
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	12:17	—	—	45	12

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	23	19	5	.826	3.00	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.22	1	1	0	17:52	—	—	38	59
William Nylander R	L1	2	0	2	+1	2	0.14	0	0	4	16:57	—	—	33	34
John Tavares C	L1	1	2	3	+1	1	0.11	4	1	2	14:05	—	—	35	40
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	2	2	+1	0	0.12	1	0	0	17:58	—	—	47	61
Michael Bunting L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.40	2	0	0	14:26	—	—	40	51
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.42	3	1	2	14:06	—	—	40	51
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.47	1	0	0	13:38	—	—	64	84
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.20	1	0	0	12:37	—	—	63	83
Pontus Holmberg R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	10:09	—	—	62	85
David Kampf C	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.32	1	0	0	17:16	—	—	50	63
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	12:38	—	—	40	55
Denis Malgin C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	3	1	0	9:17	—	—	53	60
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	20:44	—	—	29	38
Jordie Benn D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	3	4	0	18:28	—	—	33	39
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	4	2	2	18:13	—	—	63	80
Rasmus Sandin D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	2	2	16:07	—	—	65	85
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.08	1	2	0	24:08	—	—	45	63
Mark Giordano D	D3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.28	0	3	0	20:36	—	—	58	68

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	W	34	32	2	.941	2.94	59:38

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsNov 19, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs