Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 6, 2024

Final / OTWednesday, Mar 6, 2024· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	0	1	0	0	1		BUF	10	9	3	3	25
TOR	0	1	0	1	2		TOR	6	9	10	2	27

: BUF 58TOR 47
: BUF 2.24TOR 2.66
PP goals: BUF 0TOR 0
Hits: BUF 34TOR 38
Blocks: BUF 8TOR 17
PIM: BUF 2TOR 4
: BUF 39%TOR 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Buffalo Sabres 2–1 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 2–1 in overtime at home. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for BUF: Greenway–Cozens–Peterka skated 12:37 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for BUF: Greenway–Cozens–Peterka skated 12:37 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Greenway Cozens Peterka
New line
New look for BUF: Olofsson–Krebs–Benson skated 6:16 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (0% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Olofsson Krebs Benson
New line
New look for TOR: Reaves–Gregor–Kampf skated 5:13 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Reaves Gregor Kampf
Usage
Zemgus Girgensons (BUF) played 16:44, +4:58 up on his 11:46 season average over 62 games.Girgensons
Usage
Jacob Bryson (BUF) played 19:47, +5:15 up on his 14:32 season average over 35 games.Bryson
Usage
Zach Benson (BUF) played 9:09, −5:27 down on his 14:36 season average over 70 games.Benson
Usage
Eric Robinson (BUF) played 16:04, +4:50 up on his 11:14 season average over 46 games.Robinson
Usage
Owen Power (BUF) played 27:08, +4:16 up on his 22:52 season average over 75 games.Power

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 105 of 105 attempts · TOR 47 · BUF 58

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 25% of the game, TOR 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	TOR
	53	47
	1.58	2.48
	1.43	2.38
	10	11
	5	4
	25	29
	−0.095	+0.095
	25%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Greenway – Cozens – Peterka
12:3738% CF
L2Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
12:1958% CF
L3Okposo – Girgensons – Robinson
11:5676% CF
L4Olofsson – Krebs – Benson
6:160% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
18:4550% CF
D2Bryson – Power
15:4353% CF
D3Clifton – Johnson
6:3827% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
2:1975% CF
PP2Okposo – Greenway – Krebs – Peterka – Power
1:16100% CF
PK1FGreenway – Cozens
0:52
PK2FTuch – Benson
0:48
PK1DClifton – Power
0:52
PK2DJokiharju – Bryson
0:48

Current BUF line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marner – Matthews – Knies
13:3356% CF
L2Tavares – Jarnkrok – McMann
10:1360% CF
L3Bertuzzi – Domi – Nylander
9:3750% CF
L4Reaves – Gregor – Kampf
5:1338% CF
D1Rielly – Lyubushkin
14:0867% CF
D2Lagesson – Benoit
13:0735% CF
D3Brodie – Liljegren
12:3433% CF

PP1Rielly – Bertuzzi – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:0533% CF
PP2Tavares – Jarnkrok – Domi – Liljegren – McMann
0:45
PK1FJarnkrok – Nylander
1:13
PK2FMarner – Kampf
1:11
PK1DBrodie – Benoit
2:28
PK2DLagesson – Lyubushkin
1:29

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

2:29
TORWilliam Nylander (Tyler Bertuzzi, Max Domi)wrist0.16 xG
BUF: Clifton, Olofsson, Krebs, Johnson, BensonTOR: Rielly, Bertuzzi, Domi, Nylander, Lyubushkin
BUF 0 – 1 TOR
6:31
BUFVictor Olofsson (Zemgus Girgensons)snap0.02 xG
BUF: Girgensons, Olofsson, Jokiharju, Dahlin, BensonTOR: Reaves, Rielly, Gregor, Kampf, Benoit
BUF 1 – 1 TOR

OT period

4:20
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner, Morgan Rielly)snap0.23 xG
BUF: Skinner, Dahlin, CozensTOR: Rielly, Marner, Matthews
BUF 1 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Cozens C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	1	0	20:58	—	—	37	24
JJ Peterka R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.27	1	0	0	18:04	—	—	41	58
Jordan Greenway L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	6	1	0	17:35	—	—	41	58
Alex Tuch R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	1	1	0	19:12	—	—	57	38
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	0	0	18:36	—	—	52	34
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	0	0	17:49	—	—	55	34
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	4	0	0	16:44	—	—	74	38
Eric Robinson L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	3	0	0	16:04	—	—	72	35
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.77	2	0	0	15:12	—	—	79	60
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	10:49	—	—	25	21
Victor Olofsson L	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	10:20	—	—	30	4
Zach Benson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:09	—	—	25	4
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.17	3	1	2	27:43	—	—	43	18
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	23:10	—	—	53	44
Owen Power D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	1	0	27:08	—	—	67	57
Jacob Bryson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	1	0	19:47	—	—	69	46
Connor Clifton D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	2	1	0	13:47	—	—	35	13
Ryan Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	0	1	0	9:21	—	—	53	45

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	O	27	25	2	.926	2.66	63:52

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.53	0	0	0	23:45	—	—	57	58
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	2	0	0	23:35	—	—	60	92
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.51	1	0	0	15:48	—	—	47	75
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.32	2	0	0	16:49	—	—	52	72
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	3	0	0	16:39	—	—	50	72
Bobby McMann C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.32	3	1	0	14:50	—	—	50	47
William Nylander R	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.29	1	1	0	19:46	—	—	48	56
Max Domi C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	1	0	0	14:41	—	—	35	49
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	14:10	—	—	50	77
David Kampf C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	0	0	9:56	—	—	44	58
Noah Gregor L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	3	0	0	9:02	—	—	32	56
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	0	0	7:16	—	—	38	63
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.21	1	2	0	25:34	—	—	52	70
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	6	0	0	19:34	—	—	76	96
Simon Benoit D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	4	2	0	18:33	—	—	37	24
William Lagesson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:34	—	—	38	64
TJ Brodie D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	5	0	22:28	—	—	44	56
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	4	21:00	—	—	33	41

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	25	24	1	.960	2.24	64:20

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

William Nylander (TOR) 2nd 2:29 · assists Tyler Bertuzzi, Max Domi · Forecheck turnover · 68.8 mph shot.

William Nylander · 2nd 2:29 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 68.8 mph
Distance: 21 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Victor Olofsson · 2nd 6:31 · BUF

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 80.1 mph
Distance: 36 ft
Entry to goal: 1.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · OT 4:20 · TOR

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 42.2 mph
Distance: 17 ft
Type: one-timer, rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.