Buffalo Sabres vs. Florida PanthersMar 2, 2018

FinalFriday, Mar 2, 2018· BB&T Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	0	0	1		BUF	9	11	5	25
FLA	2	2	0	4		FLA	11	9	10	30

: BUF 45FLA 41
: BUF 1.61FLA 2.41
PP goals: BUF 0FLA 0
Hits: BUF 14FLA 27
Blocks: BUF 4FLA 12
PIM: BUF 30FLA 40
: BUF 50%FLA 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Florida Panthers beat Buffalo Sabres 4–1

Florida Panthers beat Buffalo Sabres 4–1 at home. Nick Bjugstad (FLA) led the scoring with 0G 2A. Marco Scandella (BUF) played 5:08, −18:24 down on his 23:32 season average over 81 games.

Points
Evgenii Dadonov had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:12.Dadonov
Points
Nick Bjugstad had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 14:14.Bjugstad
Usage
Marco Scandella (BUF) played 5:08, −18:24 down on his 23:32 season average over 81 games.Scandella
New line
New look for FLA: Brickley–Trocheck–Huberdeau skated 10:32 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Brickley Trocheck Huberdeau
Usage
Victor Antipin (BUF) played 21:51, +6:43 up on his 15:08 season average over 46 games.Antipin
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Girgensons–Baptiste skated 8:25 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Girgensons Baptiste
Luck
FLA scored 4 goals on 2.41 expected goals (41 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Scott Wilson (BUF) played 18:15, +6:08 up on his 12:07 season average over 68 games.Wilson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)FLA attacks right (top on phones) →

FLA
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 86 of 86 attempts · FLA 41 · BUF 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

FLA
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

FLA pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 21% of the game, FLA 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

FLA

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	FLA
	44	36
	1.48	1.84
	1.42	1.80
	5	5
	8	2
	25	23
	−0.006	+0.006
	21%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pominville – Larsson – Wilson
12:5553% CF
L2Pouliot – O'Reilly – Reinhart
10:2156% CF
L3Okposo – Girgensons – Baptiste
8:2555% CF
L4Josefson – Nolan – Griffith
5:0350% CF
D1Nelson – Antipin
12:3952% CF
D2Falk – Beaulieu
8:4955% CF
D3Scandella – Ristolainen
5:0857% CF

PP1Pominville – Okposo – O'Reilly – Ristolainen – Reinhart
3:0980% CF
PP2Pouliot – Griffith – Baptiste – Nelson – Antipin
0:580% CF
PK1FJosefson – Girgensons
1:20
PK2FLarsson – Wilson
0:00
PK1DNelson – Antipin
0:48
PK2DFalk – Ristolainen
0:42

Current BUF line combinations →

Florida Panthers

L1Dadonov – Bjugstad – Barkov
12:2157% CF
L2Brickley – Trocheck – Huberdeau
10:3238% CF
L3McGinn – McCann – Mamin
8:2338% CF
L4MacKenzie – Sceviour – Haley
6:2644% CF
D1Petrovic – Weegar
16:4150% CF
D2Yandle – Ekblad
16:3759% CF
D3Pysyk – Matheson
12:4025% CF

PP1Yandle – Dadonov – Trocheck – Huberdeau – Barkov
2:04100% CF
PP2McGinn – Bjugstad – Matheson – Ekblad – McCann
0:27
PK1FMacKenzie – Sceviour
3:10
PK2FBarkov – McCann
1:31
PK1DYandle – Ekblad
2:45
PK2DPysyk – Matheson
2:45

Current FLA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:25
FLAMike Matheson (Jamie McGinn, Jared McCann)slap0.08 xG
BUF: Okposo, Girgensons, Baptiste, Nelson, AntipinFLA: McGinn, Pysyk, Matheson, McCann, Mamin
BUF 0 – 1 FLA
5:34
BUFSam Reinhart (Ryan O'Reilly, Victor Antipin)wrist0.10 xG
BUF: Pouliot, O'Reilly, Reinhart, Nelson, AntipinFLA: Dadonov, Bjugstad, Pysyk, Matheson, Barkov
BUF 1 – 1 FLA
16:41
FLAAaron Ekblad (Keith Yandle, Evgenii Dadonov)snap0.12 xG
BUF: Pouliot, O'Reilly, Reinhart, Nelson, AntipinFLA: Yandle, Dadonov, Bjugstad, Barkov, Ekblad
BUF 1 – 2 FLA

2nd period

6:49
FLAAleksander Barkov (Nick Bjugstad, Evgenii Dadonov)backhand0.02 xG
BUF: Okposo, Falk, Beaulieu, Girgensons, BaptisteFLA: Dadonov, Bjugstad, Pysyk, Matheson, Barkov
BUF 1 – 3 FLA
11:16
FLAColton Sceviour (Nick Bjugstad, Derek MacKenzie)wrist0.11 xG
BUF: Josefson, Nolan, Baptiste, Nelson, AntipinFLA: MacKenzie, Sceviour, Petrovic, Bjugstad, Weegar
BUF 1 – 4 FLA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Scott Wilson C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.19	2	1	0	18:15	—	—	58	36
Jason Pominville R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	18:02	—	—	50	35
Johan Larsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	15:17	—	—	53	38
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.32	0	1	0	19:27	—	—	52	48
Sam Reinhart C	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.24	0	0	0	16:49	—	—	54	48
Benoit Pouliot L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:03	—	—	56	62
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	2	15:02	—	—	53	38
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:56	—	—	53	40
Nick Baptiste R	L3	0	0	0	-3	5	0.24	0	1	0	11:45	—	—	47	36
Jacob Josefson C	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.13	0	0	0	13:01	—	—	69	55
Seth Griffith C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:50	—	—	50	38
Jordan Nolan C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	2	0	7	9:59	—	—	64	53
Casey Nelson D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	1	1	0	24:13	—	—	52	29
Victor Antipin D	D1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.05	0	0	0	21:51	—	—	57	31
Justin Falk D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	10	20:15	—	—	59	65
Nathan Beaulieu D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	7	19:55	—	—	55	65
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	3	0	2	23:55	—	—	54	44
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	5:08	—	—	57	50

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Robin Lehner(start)	L	30	26	4	.867	2.41	59:55

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.08	0	1	0	20:29	—	—	54	51
Evgenii Dadonov L	L1	0	2	2	+1	4	0.38	0	0	0	18:12	—	—	60	52
Nick Bjugstad C	L1	0	2	2	+2	5	0.14	2	1	2	14:14	—	—	53	53
Vincent Trocheck C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	18:29	—	—	31	68
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.19	2	0	0	15:45	—	—	39	79
Connor Brickley L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	6	1	0	14:37	—	—	38	74
Jared McCann L	L3	0	1	1	+1	5	0.37	0	1	0	15:18	—	—	50	53
Maxim Mamin C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:20	—	—	38	31
Jamie McGinn L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:36	—	—	40	52
Colton Sceviour C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.27	2	0	5	13:48	—	—	33	50
Derek MacKenzie C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:34	—	—	35	58
Micheal Haley L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	0	15	8:52	—	—	42	73
Alexander Petrovic D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	2	1	12	17:35	—	—	50	75
MacKenzie Weegar D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.11	3	1	4	17:17	—	—	50	75
Keith Yandle D	D2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.30	0	0	0	23:40	—	—	58	60
Aaron Ekblad D	D2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.12	0	2	0	22:38	—	—	57	61
Mike Matheson D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.10	0	2	0	18:53	—	—	26	30
Mark Pysyk D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	2	0	17:18	—	—	25	29

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
James Reimer(start)	W	25	24	1	.960	1.61	59:25

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.