Buffalo Sabres vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsMar 24, 2021

FinalWednesday, Mar 24, 2021· PPG Paints Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	0	1	2		BUF	12	6	10	28
PIT	2	2	1	5		PIT	21	13	8	42

: BUF 39PIT 68
: BUF 2.05PIT 4.14
PP goals: BUF 0PIT 0
Hits: BUF 33PIT 17
Blocks: BUF 16PIT 4
PIM: BUF 10PIT 6
: BUF 47%PIT 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2 at home. Sidney Crosby (PIT) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Rasmus Asplund (BUF) played 2:00, −11:15 down on his 13:15 season average over 27 games.

Points
Sidney Crosby had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 7 shots in 20:02.Crosby
Points
Zachary Aston-Reese had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 16:20.Aston-Reese
Usage
Rasmus Asplund (BUF) played 2:00, −11:15 down on his 13:15 season average over 27 games.Asplund
Goalie
Dustin Tokarski (BUF) faced 42 shots and stopped 37 (.881), +8 against a season average of 34.4; the loss.Tokarski
New line
New look for BUF: Staal–Hall–Reinhart skated 5:04 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal Hall Reinhart
New line
New look for PIT: Jankowski–Lafferty–Rodrigues skated 8:42 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (61.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jankowski Lafferty Rodrigues
Usage
Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) played 15:29, −6:14 down on his 21:43 season average over 55 games.Dahlin
Usage
Mark Jankowski (PIT) played 15:49, +5:13 up on his 10:36 season average over 44 games.Jankowski

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · PIT 68 · BUF 39

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 12% of the game, PIT 44%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	PIT
	43	56
	1.65	2.83
	1.59	2.70
	6	12
	7	5
	11	6
	−0.056	+0.056
	12%	44%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Lazar – Mittelstadt
6:2444% CF
L2Staal – Hall – Reinhart
5:0455% CF
L3Sheahan – Olofsson – Cozens
2:3467% CF
D1Ristolainen – Bryson
7:2313% CF
D2Montour – Jokiharju
7:1640% CF
D3Miller – Dahlin
6:3243% CF

PP1Hall – Reinhart – Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
1:480% CF
PP2Staal – Skinner – Miller – Ristolainen – Cozens
1:2850% CF
PK1FSheahan – Lazar
3:48
PK2FEakin – Mittelstadt
2:02
PK1DIrwin – Montour
3:21
PK2DJokiharju – Bryson
0:31

Current BUF line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Rust – Guentzel
12:4458% CF
L2Jankowski – Lafferty – Rodrigues
8:4261% CF
L3Sceviour – Gaudreau – Angello
6:4263% CF
L4Kapanen – McCann – Aston-Reese
6:3740% CF
D1Pettersson – Marino
15:1758% CF
D2Letang – Dumoulin
15:1066% CF
D3Matheson – Ceci
11:2938% CF

PP1Crosby – Letang – Rust – Guentzel – Kapanen
5:16100% CF
PP2Letang – Gaudreau – McCann – Marino – Rodrigues
1:23100% CF
PK1FGaudreau – Aston-Reese
1:25
PK2FSceviour – Jankowski
1:04
PK1DDumoulin – Ceci
2:27
PK2DLetang – Marino
0:51

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	1	0	0	20:30	—	—	45	49
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	0	0	0	-3	2	0.17	0	0	0	16:24	—	—	38	15
Curtis Lazar C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	3	1	0	14:56	—	—	41	17
Eric Staal C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.39	1	1	2	18:33	—	—	41	40
Sam Reinhart C	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.52	0	0	0	18:23	—	—	50	61
Taylor Hall L	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.10	0	1	0	18:13	—	—	49	43
Dylan Cozens C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	17:19	—	—	42	51
Riley Sheahan C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:58	—	—	38	17
Victor Olofsson L	L3	1	0	1	-2	1	0.37	1	0	0	15:20	—	—	55	35
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	2	4	22:06	—	—	22	13
Jacob Bryson D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	3	2	15:24	—	—	44	73
Brandon Montour D	D2	0	1	1	0	5	0.08	2	0	0	18:20	—	—	52	30
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	2	0	0	13:47	—	—	48	34
Colin Miller D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	4	2	0	17:36	—	—	45	44
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	1	0	1	-2	2	0.09	5	1	2	15:29	—	—	48	51
Matt Irwin D	—	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	4	3	0	16:06	—	—	46	33
Cody Eakin C	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	12:52	—	—	35	16
Rasmus Asplund C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	2:00	—	—	0	0

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Dustin Tokarski(start)	L	42	37	5	.881	4.14	60:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.26	0	0	0	20:13	—	—	59	56
Sidney Crosby C	L1	1	1	2	+2	7	0.94	0	0	0	20:02	—	—	59	56
Bryan Rust R	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.41	1	0	0	18:57	—	—	59	59
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	1	0	1	0	8	0.82	1	0	0	16:00	—	—	62	66
Mark Jankowski L	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	3	0	2	15:49	—	—	56	60
Sam Lafferty C	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:36	—	—	55	60
Frederick Gaudreau C	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.06	0	1	0	12:35	—	—	58	87
Colton Sceviour C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:00	—	—	69	92
Anthony Angello C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	3	0	0	8:16	—	—	67	93
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	1	1	2	+2	4	0.28	2	0	0	16:20	—	—	48	60
Jared McCann L	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	0	0	0	14:36	—	—	47	63
Kasperi Kapanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.14	1	0	0	10:46	—	—	36	49
John Marino D	D1	1	0	1	+2	3	0.36	0	0	2	21:26	—	—	60	89
Marcus Pettersson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.06	1	1	0	18:40	—	—	58	87
Kris Letang D	D2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.25	0	0	2	24:10	—	—	64	60
Brian Dumoulin D	D2	0	0	0	+2	3	0.12	1	0	0	20:15	—	—	68	66
Cody Ceci D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:55	—	—	43	49
Mike Matheson D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	2	1	0	13:49	—	—	41	46

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tristan Jarry(start)	W	28	26	2	.929	2.05	59:35

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsMar 24, 2021

Fantasy takeaways

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Buffalo Sabres 5–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Pittsburgh Penguins

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Pittsburgh Penguins