Buffalo Sabres vs. Nashville PredatorsJan 14, 2023

FinalSaturday, Jan 14, 2023· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	2	2	5		BUF	14	9	10	33
NSH	1	2	0	3		NSH	5	17	19	41

: BUF 60NSH 69
: BUF 5.29NSH 3.14
PP goals: BUF 1NSH 1
Hits: BUF 14NSH 36
Blocks: BUF 18NSH 10
PIM: BUF 6NSH 8
: BUF 46%NSH 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Nashville Predators 5–3

Buffalo Sabres beat Nashville Predators 5–3 at NSH. Ryan Johansen (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Johansen, Forsberg, Novak and Parssinen) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:13 together.

Points
Jack Quinn had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 12:22.Quinn
Points
Ryan Johansen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 15:55.Johansen
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, Johansen, Forsberg, Novak and Parssinen) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:13 together.Josi Johansen Forsberg Novak Parssinen
Goalie
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) faced 41 shots and stopped 38 (.927), +9 against a season average of 31.9; the win.Luukkonen
Usage
Ilya Lyubushkin (BUF) played 9:36, −5:29 down on his 15:05 season average over 67 games.Lyubushkin
Usage
Tyson Jost (BUF) played 21:00, +7:52 up on his 13:08 season average over 70 games.Jost
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Hinostroza–Asplund skated 4:47 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Hinostroza Asplund
New line
New look for NSH: Sissons–Glass–Smith skated 6:56 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sissons Glass Smith

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 129 of 129 attempts · NSH 69 · BUF 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 53% of the game, NSH 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	NSH
	55	59
	3.79	2.31
	3.49	2.22
	12	13
	7	4
	23	8
	−0.065	+0.065
	53%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
12:2547% CF
L2Olofsson – Jost – Mittelstadt
9:2647% CF
L3Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
6:5868% CF
L4Okposo – Hinostroza – Asplund
4:4743% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
16:4753% CF
D2Jokiharju – Power
15:5759% CF
D3Bryson – Lyubushkin
8:2740% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
3:50100% CF
PP2Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Quinn – Peterka – Power
2:23100% CF
PK1FOkposo – Jost
1:15
PK2FTuch – Thompson
0:48
PK1DJokiharju – Samuelsson
1:32
PK2DDahlin – Lyubushkin
0:41

Current BUF line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Forsberg – Parssinen
10:5447% CF
L2Johansen – Granlund – Niederreiter
10:3569% CF
L3Sissons – Glass – Smith
6:5625% CF
L4Novak – Trenin – Jeannot
6:2753% CF
D1McDonagh – Josi
16:4144% CF
D2Ekholm – Fabbro
12:1839% CF
D3McKeown – Lauzon
9:4350% CF

PP1Josi – Johansen – Forsberg – Novak – Parssinen
2:1383% CF
PP2Duchene – Ekholm – Granlund – Niederreiter – Glass
2:0580% CF
PK1FSissons – Jeannot
4:29
PK2FTrenin – Smith
0:57
PK1DMcDonagh – Lauzon
3:53
PK2DEkholm – Fabbro
2:19

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.19	2	0	0	20:31	—	—	42	61
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	1	1	+1	7	1.06	2	0	0	19:29	—	—	47	64
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.51	0	0	0	17:46	—	—	47	63
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.27	4	1	2	21:00	—	—	41	54
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.05	1	1	0	17:51	—	—	39	55
Victor Olofsson L	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.69	0	0	0	17:20	—	—	46	62
Dylan Cozens C	L3	1	0	1	+2	3	0.37	0	2	0	14:38	—	—	63	72
Jack Quinn R	L3	1	1	2	+1	2	0.44	1	0	0	12:22	—	—	63	70
JJ Peterka R	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.52	0	0	0	11:27	—	—	70	71
Kyle Okposo R	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.23	0	1	0	12:00	—	—	36	24
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	8:57	—	—	40	40
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	8:41	—	—	50	42
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	4	0	25:21	—	—	45	67
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.03	0	3	0	21:33	—	—	49	71
Owen Power D	D2	0	1	1	0	4	0.38	1	2	0	25:31	—	—	51	61
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.50	2	1	0	21:48	—	—	60	60
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.02	0	2	4	9:36	—	—	42	58
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:28	—	—	37	38

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	W	41	38	3	.927	3.14	60:00

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	2	0	0	19:16	—	—	50	31
Juuso Parssinen C	L1	0	1	1	-3	2	0.11	2	0	0	17:02	—	—	45	23
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.30	2	1	2	15:46	—	—	47	39
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.63	2	1	0	19:19	—	—	67	48
Mikael Granlund C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	0	0	17:37	—	—	63	46
Ryan Johansen C	L2	1	1	2	-1	5	0.63	2	0	0	15:55	—	—	66	62
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	5	1	0	14:54	—	—	35	25
Cody Glass C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	0	0	0	11:19	—	—	29	35
Cole Smith R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.09	4	0	2	9:51	—	—	25	30
Tanner Jeannot L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	0	1	0	15:57	—	—	55	37
Yakov Trenin C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	13:20	—	—	54	22
Tommy Novak C	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.18	0	1	0	11:26	—	—	56	37
Roman Josi D	D1	1	0	1	-3	8	0.54	4	0	2	26:31	—	—	57	39
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.08	1	1	0	22:31	—	—	44	24
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.12	1	1	0	22:05	—	—	44	41
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	1	2	0	16:28	—	—	41	36
Jeremy Lauzon D	D3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.04	9	1	0	16:20	—	—	70	66
Roland McKeown D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	0	2	10:12	—	—	53	37

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	L	33	28	5	.848	4.42	57:32

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Nashville PredatorsJan 14, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres beat Nashville Predators 5–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Nashville Predators

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Nashville Predators