Buffalo Sabres vs. Nashville PredatorsMar 7, 2024

FinalThursday, Mar 7, 2024· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	0	1	2		BUF	9	7	12	28
NSH	2	0	2	4		NSH	9	8	7	24

: BUF 45NSH 58
: BUF 2.09NSH 3.79
PP goals: BUF 0NSH 2
Hits: BUF 16NSH 17
Blocks: BUF 8NSH 15
PIM: BUF 6NSH 6
: BUF 46%NSH 54%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Buffalo Sabres 4–2

Nashville Predators beat Buffalo Sabres 4–2 at home. Filip Forsberg (NSH) led the scoring with 3G 0A. New look for BUF: Tuch–Greenway–Robinson skated 7:27 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (31.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Filip Forsberg had a hat trick (3 points) on 8 shots in 19:39.Forsberg
Points
Gustav Nyquist had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 19:01.Nyquist
Points
Bowen Byram had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 24:58.Byram
New line
New look for BUF: Tuch–Greenway–Robinson skated 7:27 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (31.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tuch Greenway Robinson
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Skinner–Girgensons skated 5:53 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Skinner Girgensons
New line
New look for BUF: Olofsson–Krebs–Rousek skated 5:17 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Olofsson Krebs Rousek
Usage
Bowen Byram (BUF) played 24:58, +4:41 up on his 20:17 season average over 72 games.Byram
Usage
Luke Evangelista (NSH) played 10:31, −3:29 down on his 14:00 season average over 79 games.Evangelista

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 103 of 103 attempts · NSH 58 · BUF 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 20% of the game, NSH 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	NSH
	43	62
	1.97	2.89
	1.94	2.73
	7	14
	10	5
	30	31
	−0.016	+0.016
	20%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Tuch – Greenway – Robinson
7:2732% CF
L2Cozens – Peterka – Benson
6:5667% CF
L3Okposo – Skinner – Girgensons
5:5350% CF
L4Olofsson – Krebs – Rousek
5:1764% CF
D1Dahlin – Byram
17:2544% CF
D2Jokiharju – Power
14:5235% CF
D3Clifton – Bryson
10:4629% CF

PP1Tuch – Greenway – Dahlin – Byram – Cozens
3:49100% CF
PP2Okposo – Skinner – Olofsson – Peterka – Power
0:57100% CF
PK1FGreenway – Cozens
1:27
PK2FTuch – Benson
0:49
PK1DClifton – Power
2:04
PK2DDahlin – Byram
0:26

Current BUF line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Nyquist – O'Reilly – Forsberg
11:4458% CF
L2McCarron – Sherwood – Smith
9:4471% CF
L3Jankowski – Novak – Evangelista
4:4850% CF
L4Sissons – Gurianov – Glass
3:420% CF
D1Lauzon – Carrier
14:4664% CF
D2Josi – Fabbro
14:1258% CF
D3McDonagh – Schenn
11:2861% CF

PP1Josi – Nyquist – O'Reilly – Forsberg – Glass
2:11100% CF
PP2McDonagh – Jankowski – Sissons – Novak – Evangelista
1:4050% CF
PK1FSissons – Smith
1:36
PK2FJankowski – Sherwood
1:11
PK1DMcDonagh – Schenn
1:19
PK2DLauzon – Fabbro
1:13

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:53
NSHFilip ForsbergPP (Roman Josi, Gustav Nyquist)snap0.15 xG
BUF: Tuch, Bryson, Dahlin, BensonNSH: Josi, Nyquist, Jankowski, Forsberg, Evangelista
BUF 0 – 1 NSH
4:23
BUFBowen Byram (Rasmus Dahlin, Peyton Krebs)snap0.09 xG
BUF: Olofsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Byram, RousekNSH: McDonagh, Schenn, McCarron, Sherwood, Smith
BUF 1 – 1 NSH
16:15
NSHLuke EvangelistaPP (Mark Jankowski, Tommy Novak)wrist0.19 xG
BUF: Clifton, Tuch, Power, BensonNSH: McDonagh, Jankowski, Sissons, Novak, Evangelista
BUF 1 – 2 NSH

3rd period

1:49
NSHFilip Forsberg (Gustav Nyquist, Ryan O'Reilly)backhand0.11 xG
BUF: Tuch, Greenway, Jokiharju, Robinson, PowerNSH: McDonagh, Schenn, Nyquist, Forsberg, Sissons
BUF 1 – 3 NSH
6:43
NSHFilip Forsberg (Jeremy Lauzon, Gustav Nyquist)wrap-around0.03 xG
BUF: Okposo, Girgensons, Byram, Power, BensonNSH: O'Reilly, Forsberg, Lauzon, Carrier, Evangelista
BUF 1 – 4 NSH
12:52
BUFOwen Power (Bowen Byram)wrist0.14 xG
BUF: Skinner, Olofsson, Byram, Peterka, PowerNSH: McDonagh, Schenn, McCarron, Glass, Evangelista
BUF 2 – 4 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Greenway L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	19:40	—	—	29	31
Alex Tuch R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	2	1	0	19:16	—	—	34	30
Eric Robinson L	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.34	1	1	0	13:54	—	—	32	38
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.27	1	0	2	22:23	—	—	52	59
JJ Peterka R	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.23	1	0	0	17:25	—	—	48	64
Zach Benson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	0	1	0	12:09	—	—	56	72
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	1	0	0	15:25	—	—	25	17
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	0	2	13:17	—	—	40	35
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:51	—	—	50	43
Victor Olofsson L	L4	0	0	0	+2	2	0.07	0	0	0	14:36	—	—	53	45
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	11:42	—	—	42	29
Lukas Rousek R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	8:33	—	—	58	41
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	0	1	2	26:05	—	—	49	52
Bowen Byram D	D1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.17	0	1	0	24:58	—	—	43	53
Owen Power D	D2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.21	0	0	0	21:57	—	—	41	40
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	18:22	—	—	37	43
Connor Clifton D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	3	0	0	14:00	—	—	33	23
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:13	—	—	36	31

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Eric Comrie(start)	L	24	20	4	.833	2.88	56:47

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.28	0	0	0	20:00	—	—	60	75
Filip Forsberg L	L1	3	0	3	+2	8	1.32	1	1	0	19:39	—	—	64	77
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	0	3	3	+1	1	0.49	0	0	0	19:01	—	—	59	77
Michael McCarron C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.24	4	0	2	17:12	—	—	65	34
Cole Smith R	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.13	4	0	0	15:33	—	—	61	33
Kiefer Sherwood L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	14:01	—	—	75	45
Mark Jankowski L	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.15	1	1	0	14:57	—	—	56	85
Tommy Novak C	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.02	0	2	0	12:35	—	—	60	57
Luke Evangelista R	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.30	0	0	0	10:31	—	—	50	59
Colton Sissons C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.45	0	0	0	15:32	—	—	62	95
Cody Glass C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:06	—	—	33	24
Denis Gurianov R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:49	—	—	29	0
Jeremy Lauzon D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	5	1	0	21:17	—	—	66	72
Alexandre Carrier D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	2	2	19:48	—	—	64	68
Roman Josi D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	0	4	2	22:35	—	—	53	70
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.09	0	3	0	17:46	—	—	60	92
Ryan McDonagh D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	0	0	0	20:05	—	—	50	31
Luke Schenn D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	1	1	0	14:33	—	—	63	39

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	28	26	2	.929	2.09	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Filip Forsberg (NSH PP) 1st 3:53 · assists Roman Josi, Gustav Nyquist · Cycle · 56.6 mph shot.

Filip Forsberg · 1st 3:53 · NSH PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 5 (royal road)
Shot: 56.6 mph
Distance: 22 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Filip Forsberg · 3rd 6:43 · NSH

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 1
Shot: 3.6 mph
Distance: 2 ft
Entry to goal: 5.7 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Bowen Byram · 1st 4:23 · BUF

Play: cycle
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 64.5 mph
Distance: 35 ft
Entry to goal: 7.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Luke Evangelista · 1st 16:15 · NSH PP

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-3
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 17.7 mph
Distance: 5 ft
Entry to goal: 2.5 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Filip Forsberg · 3rd 1:49 · NSH

Play: cycle
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 22.0 mph
Distance: 7 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Owen Power · 3rd 12:52 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 2
Shot: 31.9 mph
Distance: 12 ft
Entry to goal: 3.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.