Buffalo Sabres vs. Detroit Red WingsOct 25, 2019

FinalFriday, Oct 25, 2019· Little Caesars Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	0	1	1	2		BUF	6	14	5	25
DET	0	0	0	0		DET	12	8	21	41

: BUF 38DET 58
: BUF 1.78DET 3.19
PP goals: BUF 1DET 0
Hits: BUF 31DET 23
Blocks: BUF 12DET 7
PIM: BUF 6DET 6
: BUF 38%DET 62%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Detroit Red Wings 2–0

Buffalo Sabres beat Detroit Red Wings 2–0 at DET. Sam Reinhart (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 1A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 4:37 together.

Points
Sam Reinhart had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:51.Reinhart
Points
Jack Eichel had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:16.Eichel
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 4:37 together.Skinner Reinhart Olofsson Eichel Dahlin
New line
New look for DET: Helm–Bertuzzi–Larkin skated 12:26 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (76% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Helm Bertuzzi Larkin
Luck
DET scored 0 goals on 3.19 expected goals (58 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Linus Ullmark (BUF) faced 41 shots and stopped 41 (.1000), +10 against a season average of 31.4; the win.Ullmark
New line
New look for DET: Filppula–Athanasiou–Mantha skated 11:47 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (61.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Filppula Athanasiou Mantha
New line
New look for BUF: Sheary–Rodrigues–Mittelstadt skated 8:06 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (72.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sheary Rodrigues Mittelstadt

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 96 of 96 attempts · DET 58 · BUF 38

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 19% of the game, DET 45%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	DET
	35	50
	1.26	2.22
	1.24	2.12
	8	8
	4	1
	17	8
	−0.088	+0.088
	19%	45%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
11:2838% CF
L2Sobotka – Johansson – Skinner
10:1038% CF
L3Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
9:2238% CF
L4Sheary – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
8:0673% CF
D1McCabe – Ristolainen
13:1032% CF
D2Miller – Gilmour
11:1854% CF
D3Jokiharju – Dahlin
9:3745% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
4:3780% CF
PP2Johansson – Miller – Ristolainen – Sheary – Mittelstadt
1:11100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
2:33
PK2FSobotka – Johansson
1:27
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
2:55
PK2DGilmour – Jokiharju
1:05

Current BUF line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Helm – Bertuzzi – Larkin
12:2676% CF
L2Filppula – Athanasiou – Mantha
11:4762% CF
L3de la Rose – Ehn – Smith
6:1830% CF
L4Nielsen – Svechnikov – Hirose
5:3043% CF
D1Green – Cholowski
15:1561% CF
D2Nemeth – Hronek
12:4172% CF
D3Daley – Bowey
12:0940% CF

PP1Filppula – Athanasiou – Mantha – Smith – Cholowski
2:38100% CF
PP2Green – Bertuzzi – Larkin – Hronek – Hirose
1:22100% CF
PK1Fde la Rose – Ehn
2:42
PK2FFilppula – Nielsen
1:21
PK1DNemeth – Hronek
3:39
PK2DDaley – Bowey
0:46

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

11:40
BUFJake McCabe (Sam Reinhart, Jack Eichel)snap0.00 xG
BUF: McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, EichelDET: Helm, Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek
BUF 1 – 0 DET

3rd period

1:15
BUFSam ReinhartPP (Victor Olofsson, Jack Eichel)tip-in0.09 xG
BUF: Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, DahlinDET: Filppula, Nielsen, Nemeth, Hronek
BUF 2 – 0 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Johan Larsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	3	0	0	16:57	—	—	43	51
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:04	—	—	39	50
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	4	0	2	12:35	—	—	47	52
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	16:59	—	—	33	13
Marcus Johansson L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	16:31	—	—	32	8
Vladimir Sobotka C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:47	—	—	33	12
Jack Eichel C	L3	0	2	2	+1	2	0.08	1	1	0	18:16	—	—	33	36
Sam Reinhart C	L3	1	1	2	+1	3	0.62	0	1	0	16:51	—	—	36	36
Victor Olofsson L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	0	2	15:27	—	—	33	34
Conor Sheary L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	12:17	—	—	50	32
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:25	—	—	56	37
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	0	0	0	0	5	0.13	1	1	0	10:29	—	—	71	65
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	5	3	0	26:01	—	—	29	15
Jake McCabe D	D1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.00	2	2	0	18:15	—	—	32	9
Colin Miller D	D2	0	0	0	0	5	0.21	3	2	2	20:09	—	—	46	38
John Gilmour D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	1	0	0	17:28	—	—	53	68
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	1	0	0	18:25	—	—	52	55
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	1	0	15:04	—	—	39	52

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	41	41	0	.1000	3.19	60:00

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	-1	8	0.59	1	0	0	21:59	—	—	70	63
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	-1	3	0.19	2	0	0	21:17	—	—	67	65
Darren Helm C	L1	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	14:09	—	—	72	67
Anthony Mantha R	L2	0	5	0.53	1	1	0	19:32	—	—	67	94
Valtteri Filppula C	L2	0	4	0.56	1	0	0	19:19	—	—	60	73
Andreas Athanasiou C	L2	0	3	0.23	0	0	2	18:29	—	—	67	94
Jacob de la Rose L	L3	0	0	0.09	2	0	0	11:38	—	—	43	55
Christoffer Ehn C	L3	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	11:18	—	—	30	48
Givani Smith R	L3	0	2	0.30	1	0	0	11:01	—	—	27	45
Frans Nielsen C	L4	0	1	0.01	2	0	0	11:57	—	—	53	57
Taro Hirose L	L4	0	1	0.06	1	0	2	11:42	—	—	40	27
Evgeny Svechnikov L	L4	0	0	0.03	2	0	0	7:17	—	—	60	72
Mike Green D	D1	0	2	0.03	0	0	0	22:15	—	—	57	59
Dennis Cholowski D	D1	0	3	0.09	1	1	0	20:43	—	—	65	67
Filip Hronek D	D2	-1	3	0.19	2	0	0	23:58	—	—	65	55
Patrik Nemeth D	D2	-1	3	0.10	2	0	0	19:44	—	—	75	66
Madison Bowey D	D3	0	2	0.20	1	0	0	16:19	—	—	52	75
Trevor Daley D	D3	0	1	0.00	0	3	2	14:31	—	—	43	69

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	L	25	23	2	.920	1.78	56:56

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.