Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa SenatorsFeb 15, 2018

Final / OTThursday, Feb 15, 2018· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	1	0	1	0	2		BUF	8	4	13	0	25
OTT	0	0	2	1	3		OTT	13	9	13	1	36

: BUF 44OTT 75
: BUF 1.38OTT 3.64
PP goals: BUF 0OTT 0
Hits: BUF 32OTT 26
Blocks: BUF 22OTT 10
PIM: BUF 10OTT 6
: BUF 45%OTT 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2 (OT)

Ottawa Senators beat Buffalo Sabres 3–2 in overtime at home. Matt Duchene (OTT) led the scoring with 0G 3A. New look for OTT: Gaborik–Hoffman–Duchene skated 10:58 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (71.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Matt Duchene had 3 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 21:02.Duchene
Points
Marian Gaborik had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:12.Gaborik
Points
Erik Karlsson had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 29:36.Karlsson
New line
New look for OTT: Gaborik–Hoffman–Duchene skated 10:58 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (71.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Gaborik Hoffman Duchene
Goalie
Robin Lehner (BUF) faced 36 shots and stopped 33 (.917), +7 against a season average of 29.4; the overtime loss.Lehner
New line
New look for OTT: Dzingel–Shore–White skated 7:08 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Dzingel Shore White
Usage
Marian Gaborik (OTT) played 18:12, +4:19 up on his 13:53 season average over 45 games.Gaborik
Usage
Kyle Okposo (BUF) played 13:22, −3:43 down on his 17:05 season average over 75 games.Okposo

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · OTT 75 · BUF 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 12% of the game, OTT 62%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	OTT
	41	64
	0.91	2.68
	0.91	2.58
	2	14
	4	6
	13	23
	−0.033	+0.033
	12%	62%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Pouliot – O'Reilly – Reinhart
12:2653% CF
L2Okposo – Kane – Rodrigues
9:2338% CF
L3Pominville – Larsson – Wilson
8:5532% CF
L4Josefson – Girgensons – Baptiste
6:5130% CF
D1Scandella – Nelson
15:0224% CF
D2Beaulieu – Ristolainen
13:2738% CF
D3Gorges – Antipin
11:0753% CF

PP1Okposo – O'Reilly – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Rodrigues
3:0189% CF
PP2Pominville – Scandella – Kane – Beaulieu – Baptiste
0:58
PK1FJosefson – Girgensons
1:10
PK2FPouliot – O'Reilly
1:04
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
4:29
PK2DGorges – Nelson
1:25

Current BUF line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Gaborik – Hoffman – Duchene
10:5871% CF
L2Brassard – Smith – Stone
10:1869% CF
L3Pyatt – Paajarvi – Pageau
8:3173% CF
L4Dzingel – Shore – White
7:0850% CF
D1Oduya – Karlsson
10:5576% CF
D2Ceci – Chabot
5:2571% CF
D3Borowiecki – Harpur
4:3650% CF

PP1Brassard – Karlsson – Hoffman – Duchene – Stone
3:31100% CF
PP2Gaborik – Smith – Dzingel – Ceci – Chabot
2:18100% CF
PK1FPyatt – Pageau
2:50
PK2FSmith – Paajarvi
1:06
PK1DOduya – Karlsson
1:55
PK2DBorowiecki – Harpur
0:27

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.27	0	1	0	22:07	—	—	59	49
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.16	2	0	4	18:34	—	—	55	38
Benoit Pouliot L	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	2	16:44	—	—	50	33
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.18	1	1	2	15:56	—	—	42	27
Evander Kane L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.11	2	1	0	14:58	—	—	38	19
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.18	0	0	0	13:22	—	—	46	34
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	3	2	0	17:12	—	—	29	18
Scott Wilson C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.09	2	3	0	13:42	—	—	29	17
Jason Pominville R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	1	0	11:13	—	—	32	20
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.17	3	1	2	13:53	—	—	39	38
Jacob Josefson C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:15	—	—	27	11
Nick Baptiste R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	0	0	0	8:53	—	—	25	14
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	3	2	0	26:01	—	—	28	17
Casey Nelson D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	1	1	0	19:02	—	—	26	14
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	4	5	0	28:18	—	—	42	24
Nathan Beaulieu D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	1	0	16:25	—	—	41	23
Josh Gorges D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	2	0	15:21	—	—	52	38
Victor Antipin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	0	0	0	11:43	—	—	57	51

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Robin Lehner(start)	O	36	33	3	.917	3.64	61:13

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	3	3	+2	4	0.74	1	1	0	21:02	—	—	59	80
Mike Hoffman C	L1	1	0	1	+2	3	0.32	1	0	0	20:44	—	—	71	83
Marian Gaborik R	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.26	1	0	0	18:12	—	—	64	71
Mark Stone R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	2	0	0	20:39	—	—	65	82
Derick Brassard C	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.78	0	0	0	18:58	—	—	65	81
Zack Smith C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	1	0	0	15:28	—	—	67	85
Tom Pyatt L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	2	0	13:33	—	—	53	92
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	12:47	—	—	62	71
Magnus Paajarvi L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.21	5	1	0	11:40	—	—	53	69
Ryan Dzingel C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	1	0	0	12:17	—	—	47	53
Colin White C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0	0	2	8:46	—	—	53	50
Nicholas Shore C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	8:45	—	—	57	50
Erik Karlsson D	D1	0	2	2	+2	6	0.34	1	2	0	29:36	—	—	64	72
Johnny Oduya D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	19:59	—	—	62	76
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	2	1	2	22:37	—	—	59	87
Thomas Chabot D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	0	0	0	16:27	—	—	67	55
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	1	0	0	13:46	—	—	56	77
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.40	5	2	2	13:40	—	—	60	70

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	25	23	2	.920	1.38	59:56

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa SenatorsFeb 15, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Ottawa Senators edge Buffalo Sabres 3–2 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Ottawa Senators

Scoring summary

1st period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Ottawa Senators