Buffalo Sabres vs. Minnesota WildNov 17, 2018

FinalSaturday, Nov 17, 2018· Xcel Energy Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
BUF	1	0	2	3		BUF	9	11	9	29
MIN	2	0	0	2		MIN	18	12	9	39

: BUF 57MIN 63
: BUF 2.92MIN 2.79
PP goals: BUF 0MIN 1
Hits: BUF 17MIN 20
Blocks: BUF 12MIN 12
PIM: BUF 6MIN 2
: BUF 40%MIN 60%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Minnesota Wild 3–2

Buffalo Sabres beat Minnesota Wild 3–2 at MIN. Jake McCabe (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 1A. MIN's first power-play unit (Koivu, Parise, Spurgeon, Niederreiter and Dumba) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:10 together.

Points
Jake McCabe had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 19:51.McCabe
Points
Jason Pominville had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 11:37.Pominville
Points
Rasmus Dahlin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:14.Dahlin
Points
Jack Eichel had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 19:14.Eichel
PP1
MIN's first power-play unit (Koivu, Parise, Spurgeon, Niederreiter and Dumba) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:10 together.Koivu Parise Spurgeon Niederreiter Dumba
Goalie
Linus Ullmark (BUF) faced 39 shots and stopped 37 (.949), +8 against a season average of 31.0; the win.Ullmark
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Sobotka–Thompson skated 5:32 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Sobotka Thompson
New line
New look for MIN: Foligno–Coyle–Greenway skated 11:10 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (56.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Foligno Coyle Greenway

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)MIN attacks right (top on phones) →

MIN
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · MIN 63 · BUF 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MIN
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MIN pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 21% of the game, MIN 44%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MIN

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	MIN
	65	67
	2.45	2.84
	2.34	2.60
	7	13
	12	5
	7	7
	−0.076	+0.076
	21%	44%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Sheary – Mittelstadt
11:0845% CF
L2Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
10:5440% CF
L3Berglund – Larsson – Girgensons
9:1870% CF
L4Pominville – Sobotka – Thompson
5:3243% CF
D1Bogosian – Dahlin
16:4058% CF
D2McCabe – Ristolainen
16:2759% CF
D3Scandella – Nelson
14:4139% CF

PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:32
PK2FSobotka – Berglund
1:28
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
1:26
PK2DScandella – Nelson
1:06

Current BUF line combinations →

Minnesota Wild

L1Staal – Zucker – Granlund
16:1846% CF
L2Koivu – Parise – Niederreiter
12:4655% CF
L3Foligno – Coyle – Greenway
11:1056% CF
L4Hendricks – Fehr – Brown
8:0671% CF
D1Suter – Dumba
20:3744% CF
D2Spurgeon – Brodin
17:0248% CF
D3Pateryn – Seeler
13:1354% CF

PP1Koivu – Parise – Spurgeon – Niederreiter – Dumba
2:10100% CF
PP2Staal – Suter – Zucker – Coyle – Granlund
0:54100% CF
PK1FParise – Coyle
0:15
PK1DPateryn – Seeler
0:15

Current MIN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:00
MINZach Parisesnap0.01 xG
BUF: Bogosian, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, EichelMIN: Koivu, Parise, Spurgeon, Niederreiter, Brodin
BUF 0 – 1 MIN
7:45
MINMathew DumbaPP (Nino Niederreiter, Mikko Koivu)slap0.03 xG
BUF: Sobotka, Berglund, McCabe, RistolainenMIN: Koivu, Parise, Spurgeon, Niederreiter, Dumba
BUF 0 – 2 MIN
14:52
BUFJake McCabe (Rasmus Dahlin, Kyle Okposo)wrist0.09 xG
BUF: Sobotka, Okposo, McCabe, Thompson, DahlinMIN: Hendricks, Koivu, Pateryn, Foligno, Seeler
BUF 1 – 2 MIN

3rd period

12:58
BUFRasmus Dahlin (Jack Eichel, Jason Pominville)wrist0.28 xG
BUF: Pominville, Bogosian, Skinner, Eichel, DahlinMIN: Koivu, Parise, Spurgeon, Brodin, Brown
BUF 2 – 2 MIN
18:30
BUFJason Pominville (Jack Eichel, Jake McCabe)backhand0.07 xG
BUF: Pominville, Skinner, McCabe, Ristolainen, EichelMIN: Koivu, Parise, Spurgeon, Niederreiter, Brodin
BUF 3 – 2 MIN

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:58	—	—	38	38
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	0	0	0	13:31	—	—	39	36
Conor Sheary L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	0	0	0	12:36	—	—	45	45
Jack Eichel C	L2	0	2	2	+1	5	1.13	1	1	2	19:14	—	—	51	46
Sam Reinhart C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	1	0	17:58	—	—	42	16
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:10	—	—	56	54
Johan Larsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.44	0	2	0	13:35	—	—	64	63
Patrik Berglund C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	3	0	0	13:02	—	—	59	52
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	1	1	0	12:59	—	—	70	71
Vladimir Sobotka C	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.14	0	1	2	15:29	—	—	33	33
Tage Thompson C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.07	0	0	0	12:42	—	—	38	35
Jason Pominville R	L4	1	1	2	+2	2	0.07	1	1	0	11:37	—	—	55	63
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	0	2	22:29	—	—	43	51
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	1	1	2	+2	3	0.31	0	0	0	19:14	—	—	57	65
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	2	0	21:30	—	—	54	54
Jake McCabe D	D2	1	1	2	+2	5	0.14	2	1	0	19:51	—	—	60	64
Casey Nelson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	2	0	18:55	—	—	33	13
Marco Scandella D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	18:24	—	—	40	16

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	39	37	2	.949	2.79	60:00

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Eric Staal C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	20:30	—	—	50	57
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.17	0	0	0	20:25	—	—	45	53
Jason Zucker L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	1	3	0	19:24	—	—	41	35
Zach Parise L	L2	1	0	1	-1	3	0.33	1	0	0	17:36	—	—	50	57
Nino Niederreiter R	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.53	0	0	0	16:05	—	—	52	76
Mikko Koivu C	L2	0	1	1	-2	0	0.09	0	1	2	15:53	—	—	46	57
Charlie Coyle C	L3	0	0	0	0	6	0.29	1	0	0	15:38	—	—	50	65
Marcus Foligno L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	5	0	0	12:40	—	—	57	70
Jordan Greenway L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	0	1	0	11:51	—	—	56	86
Eric Fehr C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	1	0	10:09	—	—	57	39
JT Brown R	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	2	0	0	10:02	—	—	54	30
Matt Hendricks C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	1	0	0	10:00	—	—	70	62
Ryan Suter D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	2	0	25:30	—	—	50	61
Mathew Dumba D	D1	1	0	1	0	4	0.22	1	1	0	25:10	—	—	48	58
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	1	0	0	20:29	—	—	50	41
Jonas Brodin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	1	1	0	19:37	—	—	54	49
Greg Pateryn D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	14:29	—	—	52	51
Nick Seeler D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	2	0	13:51	—	—	54	52

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devan Dubnyk(start)	L	29	26	3	.897	2.07	58:41

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.