Buffalo Sabres vs. Minnesota WildDec 16, 2021

Final / SOThursday, Dec 16, 2021· Xcel Energy Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
BUF	0	1	1	0	1	3		BUF	21	6	11	2	40
MIN	1	1	0	0	0	2		MIN	6	13	10	3	32

: BUF 62MIN 56
: BUF 3.56MIN 3.07
PP goals: BUF 0MIN 0
Hits: BUF 20MIN 23
Blocks: BUF 8MIN 11
PIM: BUF 4MIN 4
: BUF 49%MIN 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Minnesota Wild 3–2 (SO)

Buffalo Sabres beat Minnesota Wild 3–2 in a shootout at MIN. Dylan Cozens (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Cam Talbot (MIN) faced 40 shots and stopped 38 (.950), +10 against a season average of 30.4; the overtime loss.

Goalie
Cam Talbot (MIN) faced 40 shots and stopped 38 (.950), +10 against a season average of 30.4; the overtime loss.Talbot
Usage
Jared Spurgeon (MIN) played 14:36, −6:39 down on his 21:15 season average over 64 games.Spurgeon
New line
New look for BUF: Eakin–Hinostroza–Asplund skated 8:27 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (36.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Eakin Hinostroza Asplund
New line
New look for BUF: Jankowski–Girgensons–Hayden skated 9:02 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (71.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jankowski Girgensons Hayden
Luck
BUF scored 2 goals on 3.56 expected goals (62 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Mark Pysyk (BUF) played 20:58, +3:12 up on his 17:46 season average over 67 games.Pysyk
Usage
Kyle Okposo (BUF) played 21:39, +4:56 up on his 16:43 season average over 73 games.Okposo
Usage
Mathew Dumba (MIN) played 27:09, +4:07 up on his 23:02 season average over 56 games.Dumba

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← BUF attacks left (bottom on phones)MIN attacks right (top on phones) →

MIN
BUF
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · MIN 56 · BUF 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MIN
BUF
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MIN pressure
BUF pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: BUF 33% of the game, MIN 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MIN

BUF

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	BUF	MIN
	62	52
	3.18	2.62
	2.96	2.53
	11	8
	7	5
	22	13
	+0.005	−0.005
	33%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Murray – Cozens
12:3968% CF
L2Skinner – Olofsson – Thompson
12:2054% CF
L3Jankowski – Girgensons – Hayden
9:0271% CF
L4Eakin – Hinostroza – Asplund
8:2736% CF
D1Jokiharju – Dahlin
16:3348% CF
D2Miller – Bryson
14:1556% CF
D3Pysyk – Butcher
12:5367% CF

PP1Okposo – Butcher – Asplund – Murray – Bryson
1:5150% CF
PP2Skinner – Olofsson – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
1:2886% CF
PK1FOkposo – Jankowski
1:40
PK2FEakin – Girgensons
1:30
PK1DPysyk – Jokiharju
2:36
PK2DMiller – Bryson
1:16

Current BUF line combinations →

Minnesota Wild

L1Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov
12:4256% CF
L2Foligno – Greenway – Eriksson Ek
10:0065% CF
L3Bjugstad – Duhaime – Sturm
9:5640% CF
L4Rask – Gaudreau – Fiala
9:0813% CF
D1Brodin – Dumba
18:0735% CF
D2Kulikov – Merrill
13:2938% CF
D3Goligoski – Spurgeon
10:0261% CF

PP1Spurgeon – Zuccarello – Hartman – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov
2:56100% CF
PP2Foligno – Brodin – Dumba – Fiala – Greenway
1:04100% CF
PK1FDuhaime – Sturm
1:12
PK2FFoligno – Eriksson Ek
1:08
PK1DBrodin – Dumba
1:37
PK2DGoligoski – Spurgeon
1:14

Current MIN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Decided in the shootout: BUF 3 – 2 MIN.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Okposo R	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.55	1	0	0	21:39	—	—	59	66
Dylan Cozens C	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.61	1	0	0	17:54	—	—	67	75
Brett Murray L	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	16:30	—	—	67	75
Victor Olofsson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.23	0	0	0	18:08	—	—	53	44
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	0	0	-1	6	0.56	0	0	0	17:19	—	—	55	46
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	2	0	0	16:15	—	—	50	39
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.14	2	0	0	13:18	—	—	77	90
Mark Jankowski L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.34	0	0	0	11:40	—	—	75	89
John Hayden C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	2	0	0	10:55	—	—	73	88
Cody Eakin C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	3	1	0	15:32	—	—	35	29
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	0	0	0	14:27	—	—	37	34
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L4	0	1	1	0	4	0.23	0	0	0	13:46	—	—	43	41
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.09	2	1	4	25:45	—	—	49	48
Henri Jokiharju D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	2	0	21:54	—	—	47	52
Jacob Bryson D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.07	0	1	0	18:47	—	—	52	49
Colin Miller D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	3	0	18:38	—	—	55	59
Mark Pysyk D	D3	1	0	1	0	2	0.19	1	0	0	20:58	—	—	62	64
Will Butcher D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	0	0	0	18:11	—	—	64	58

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	W	32	30	2	.938	3.07	64:24

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Hartman R	L1	0	1	1	+2	5	0.59	1	0	0	20:11	—	—	52	74
Mats Zuccarello R	L1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.18	0	1	0	19:24	—	—	50	61
Kirill Kaprizov L	L1	1	0	1	+2	4	0.50	1	1	0	18:33	—	—	59	75
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.25	5	1	0	19:05	—	—	69	69
Marcus Foligno L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	5	0	0	15:58	—	—	64	66
Jordan Greenway L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.43	2	0	0	14:34	—	—	61	62
Brandon Duhaime L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	2	1	0	13:26	—	—	40	34
Nick Bjugstad C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	1	0	0	13:25	—	—	41	32
Nico Sturm C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:16	—	—	41	31
Kevin Fiala L	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.29	0	0	0	16:20	—	—	19	13
Frederick Gaudreau C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	13:18	—	—	19	12
Victor Rask C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:19	—	—	11	3
Mathew Dumba D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	1	0	0	27:09	—	—	39	46
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	2	0	24:41	—	—	45	55
Dmitry Kulikov D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.10	1	4	2	19:42	—	—	43	42
Jon Merrill D	D2	1	0	1	0	1	0.04	1	0	0	18:08	—	—	40	28
Alex Goligoski D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	0	0	17:55	—	—	53	51
Jared Spurgeon D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.10	0	0	0	14:36	—	—	61	52

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Talbot(start)	O	40	38	2	.950	3.56	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Buffalo Sabres vs. Minnesota WildDec 16, 2021

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres edge Minnesota Wild 3–2 (SO)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Buffalo Sabres

Minnesota Wild

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Minnesota Wild