Ottawa Senators vs. Colorado AvalancheNov 10, 2017

Final / OTFriday, Nov 10, 2017· Ericsson Globe

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
OTT	2	1	0	1	4		OTT	9	12	10	1	32
COL	1	1	1	0	3		COL	11	3	5	0	19

: OTT 68COL 51
: OTT 2.99COL 2.59
PP goals: OTT 0COL 1
Hits: OTT 18COL 26
Blocks: OTT 13COL 17
PIM: OTT 4COL 4
: OTT 63%COL 37%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators edge Colorado Avalanche 4–3 (OT)

Ottawa Senators beat Colorado Avalanche 4–3 in overtime at COL. Mark Stone (OTT) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for COL: Comeau–Nieto–Compher skated 12:26 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (29.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Mark Stone had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 21:14.Stone
Points
Alexander Kerfoot had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:56.Kerfoot
Points
Erik Karlsson had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 22:30.Karlsson
New line
New look for COL: Comeau–Nieto–Compher skated 12:26 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (29.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Comeau Nieto Compher
New line
New look for COL: Wilson–Bourque–Grimaldi skated 6:39 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (53.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Wilson Bourque Grimaldi
New line
New look for OTT: Smith–Hoffman–Duchene skated 4:38 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (58.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Smith Hoffman Duchene
Usage
Erik Karlsson (OTT) played 22:30, −4:18 down on his 26:48 season average over 70 games.Karlsson
Usage
Samuel Girard (COL) played 21:55, +4:20 up on his 17:35 season average over 72 games.Girard

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · COL 51 · OTT 68

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 31% of the game, COL 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	COL
	72	50
	3.18	1.95
	3.00	1.88
	14	8
	6	5
	14	11
	+0.103	−0.103
	31%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Brassard – Stone – Dzingel
13:0067% CF
L2Burrows – Thompson – Pyatt
7:2340% CF
L3Smith – Hoffman – Duchene
4:3858% CF
D1Karlsson – Claesson
12:5371% CF
D2Ceci – Harpur
12:0338% CF
D3Oduya – Phaneuf
9:4448% CF

PP1DiDomenico – Smith – Karlsson – Hoffman – Duchene
1:3550% CF
PP2Burrows – Brassard – Karlsson – Stone – Dzingel
1:30100% CF
PK1FThompson – Pyatt
1:33
PK2FSmith – Pageau
0:51
PK1DOduya – Ceci
1:23
PK2DPhaneuf – Claesson
0:56

Current OTT line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
15:4643% CF
L2Comeau – Nieto – Compher
12:2630% CF
L3Yakupov – Kerfoot – Andrighetto
9:3438% CF
L4Wilson – Bourque – Grimaldi
6:3953% CF
D1Barrie – Girard
17:0948% CF
D2Johnson – Barberio
15:0141% CF
D3Bigras – Zadorov
5:4638% CF

PP1Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Girard
1:51100% CF
PP2Johnson – Wilson – Yakupov – Kerfoot – Andrighetto
1:32100% CF
PK1FComeau – Nieto
1:29
PK2FBourque – Landeskog
0:49
PK1DJohnson – Barberio
2:08
PK2DBigras – Zadorov
0:46

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mark Stone R	L1	2	0	2	+2	6	0.41	3	0	0	21:14	—	—	62	71
Derick Brassard C	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.11	2	2	0	18:33	—	—	63	71
Ryan Dzingel C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.33	0	0	0	17:29	—	—	67	71
Tom Pyatt L	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	2	0	0	17:59	—	—	56	51
Nate Thompson C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:51	—	—	45	53
Alexandre Burrows R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	1	0	2	15:19	—	—	39	49
Mike Hoffman C	L3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	1	2	17:21	—	—	59	59
Matt Duchene C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.57	0	1	0	16:44	—	—	55	54
Zack Smith C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	0	0	0	15:03	—	—	54	58
Erik Karlsson D	D1	0	2	2	+1	2	0.18	2	0	0	22:30	—	—	76	78
Fredrik Claesson D	D1	1	0	1	0	5	0.18	1	0	0	15:29	—	—	72	68
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.16	1	5	0	21:13	—	—	44	50
Ben Harpur D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	16:23	—	—	36	37
Johnny Oduya D	D3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.16	0	3	0	18:07	—	—	58	64
Dion Phaneuf D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	0	0	0	16:03	—	—	46	50
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	—	0	0	0	+1	2	0.31	1	0	0	14:25	—	—	62	74
Christopher DiDomenico L	—	1	0	1	+1	2	0.13	1	0	0	11:42	—	—	71	68
Chris Wideman D	—	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	0	0	0	8:27	—	—	88	86

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	19	16	3	.842	2.59	60:34

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Gabriel Landeskog L	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.32	4	0	0	21:28	—	—	41	39
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.21	1	1	0	21:14	—	—	46	36
Mikko Rantanen R	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.09	2	0	0	19:48	—	—	46	44
Blake Comeau L	L2	0	1	1	-2	1	0.03	3	2	0	16:24	—	—	36	24
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.01	1	1	2	15:16	—	—	26	6
Matt Nieto L	L2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.36	0	0	0	15:02	—	—	36	20
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	1	1	2	+1	3	0.33	1	1	0	14:56	—	—	44	44
Sven Andrighetto R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:16	—	—	38	33
Nail Yakupov R	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.42	1	0	0	12:29	—	—	38	34
Colin Wilson C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:59	—	—	48	61
Gabriel Bourque L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	5	2	2	10:13	—	—	57	55
Rocco Grimaldi R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	0	0	0	7:10	—	—	53	69
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	1	3	0	22:46	—	—	44	40
Samuel Girard D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	21:55	—	—	46	42
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	1	2	0	30:02	—	—	41	34
Mark Barberio D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	0	2	0	21:10	—	—	41	40
Nikita Zadorov D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	1	0	13:05	—	—	42	38
Chris Bigras D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	2	1	0	10:44	—	—	32	34

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	O	32	28	4	.875	2.99	60:59

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Colorado AvalancheNov 10, 2017

Fantasy takeaways

Ottawa Senators edge Colorado Avalanche 4–3 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Colorado Avalanche

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Colorado Avalanche