Ottawa Senators vs. Colorado AvalancheJan 14, 2023

FinalSaturday, Jan 14, 2023· Ball Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	0	0	0	0		OTT	10	11	8	29
COL	2	2	3	7		COL	12	14	7	33

: OTT 57COL 59
: OTT 2.06COL 3.62
PP goals: OTT 0COL 1
Hits: OTT 16COL 20
Blocks: OTT 13COL 16
PIM: OTT 11COL 13
: OTT 58%COL 42%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche rout Ottawa Senators 7–0

Colorado Avalanche beat Ottawa Senators 7–0 at home. Artturi Lehkonen (COL) led the scoring with 2G 1A. COL's first power-play unit (Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:08 together.

Points
Alex Newhook had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 15:00.Newhook
Points
Artturi Lehkonen had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 5 shots in 22:09.Lehkonen
Points
Mikko Rantanen had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:19.Rantanen
Points
Logan O'Connor had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:03.O'Connor
Points
Nathan MacKinnon had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 19:09.MacKinnon
PP1
COL's first power-play unit (Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues and Makar) scored 1 power-play goal on 4 attempts in 2:08 together.Lehkonen MacKinnon Rantanen Rodrigues Makar
Luck
COL scored 7 goals on 3.62 expected goals (59 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Mikko Rantanen (COL) played 17:19, −4:58 down on his 22:17 season average over 81 games.Rantanen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · COL 59 · OTT 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 25% of the game, COL 43%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	COL
	61	64
	1.97	3.62
	1.92	3.43
	11	16
	4	7
	13	17
	+0.065	−0.065
	25%	43%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Giroux – Batherson – Pinto
14:5450% CF
L2DeBrincat – Tkachuk – Stützle
12:2253% CF
L3Gambrell – Kelly – Lucchini
7:2141% CF
L4Brassard – Watson – Kastelic
4:5767% CF
D1Hamonic – Sanderson
13:3256% CF
D2Chabot – Zub
11:5730% CF
D3Holden – Brannstrom
8:5176% CF

PP1Chabot – DeBrincat – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
3:1575% CF
PP2Giroux – Brassard – Lucchini – Pinto – Sanderson
2:17100% CF
PK1FKastelic – Kelly
0:44
PK2FWatson – Gambrell
0:28
PK1DHamonic – Sanderson
1:46
PK2DHolden – Brannstrom
0:29

Current OTT line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rodrigues
10:4581% CF
L2Compher – Rantanen – Newhook
7:2954% CF
L3Cogliano – O'Connor – Meyers
5:0660% CF
D1Toews – Makar
13:2354% CF
D2Johnson – Girard
7:3459% CF
D3Hunt – Englund
3:4567% CF

PP1Lehkonen – MacKinnon – Rantanen – Rodrigues – Makar
2:08100% CF
PP2Compher – Toews – Girard – Kaut – Newhook
0:37100% CF
PK1FCogliano – O'Connor
1:18
PK2FCompher – Lehkonen
1:16
PK1DToews – Makar
2:14
PK2DJohnson – Englund
1:12

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Drake Batherson R	L1	-1	2	0.08	2	2	0	20:39	—	—	53	36
Claude Giroux R	L1	-1	5	0.39	0	0	0	19:35	—	—	53	36
Shane Pinto C	L1	-1	1	0.13	1	1	2	19:03	—	—	51	32
Tim Stützle C	L2	-2	2	0.34	0	2	0	21:02	—	—	43	33
Alex DeBrincat R	L2	-1	1	0.16	2	0	0	18:17	—	—	50	34
Brady Tkachuk L	L2	-2	1	0.10	0	0	0	17:35	—	—	48	31
Jake Lucchini C	L3	-2	2	0.08	1	0	0	13:27	—	—	39	22
Parker Kelly C	L3	-1	2	0.11	2	0	0	12:36	—	—	50	34
Dylan Gambrell C	L3	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:00	—	—	42	26
Derick Brassard C	L4	-2	1	0.04	1	1	0	11:21	—	—	40	44
Mark Kastelic C	L4	-2	3	0.18	2	2	0	9:52	—	—	61	71
Austin Watson L	L4	-2	1	0.15	1	0	5	8:19	—	—	56	70
Jake Sanderson D	D1	-2	5	0.17	0	0	0	23:42	—	—	54	31
Travis Hamonic D	D1	-1	0	0.01	0	1	2	19:55	—	—	54	28
Thomas Chabot D	D2	-3	0	0.06	0	3	0	23:13	—	—	31	32
Artem Zub D	D2	-2	1	0.02	3	1	0	13:30	—	—	29	43
Nick Holden D	D3	-2	1	0.02	0	0	2	17:37	—	—	63	41
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	-2	1	0.01	1	0	0	16:06	—	—	72	62

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	L	33	26	7	.788	3.62	60:00

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Artturi Lehkonen L	L1	2	1	3	+2	5	1.21	3	1	0	22:09	—	—	74	79
Evan Rodrigues C	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.23	0	0	0	21:15	—	—	64	83
Nathan MacKinnon C	L1	0	2	2	+3	5	0.47	0	0	0	19:09	—	—	76	92
J.T. Compher L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	0	0	18:43	—	—	44	44
Mikko Rantanen R	L2	2	0	2	+2	2	0.13	1	0	2	17:19	—	—	57	69
Alex Newhook C	L2	2	1	3	+3	3	0.54	0	0	0	15:00	—	—	41	69
Logan O'Connor R	L3	0	2	2	+3	2	0.17	3	0	2	17:03	—	—	43	59
Andrew Cogliano C	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.00	3	2	0	14:18	—	—	46	54
Ben Meyers C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.45	0	2	0	12:50	—	—	31	45
Cale Makar D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.06	0	3	0	21:50	—	—	50	57
Devon Toews D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.15	0	3	0	21:47	—	—	53	61
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.02	0	1	0	17:34	—	—	59	76
Samuel Girard D	D2	0	1	1	+3	3	0.09	0	0	0	16:36	—	—	58	76
Brad Hunt D	D3	1	0	1	+3	1	0.03	0	0	0	14:03	—	—	47	67
Andreas Englund D	D3	0	1	1	+2	2	0.04	4	0	5	12:03	—	—	50	47
Kurtis MacDermid L	—	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	3	2	13:56	—	—	35	55
Martin Kaut R	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:09	—	—	11	32
Sampo Ranta L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	2	8:02	—	—	7	1

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pavel Francouz(start)	W	29	29	0	.1000	2.06	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Colorado AvalancheJan 14, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Colorado Avalanche rout Ottawa Senators 7–0

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Colorado Avalanche

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Colorado Avalanche