Ottawa Senators vs. Carolina HurricanesFeb 24, 2023

FinalFriday, Feb 24, 2023· PNC Arena

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	0	0	0	0		OTT	7	13	12	32
CAR	2	0	2	4		CAR	17	7	6	30

: OTT 63CAR 62
: OTT 3.41CAR 3.86
PP goals: OTT 0CAR 0
Hits: OTT 33CAR 16
Blocks: OTT 12CAR 11
PIM: OTT 4CAR 10
: OTT 41%CAR 59%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes rout Ottawa Senators 4–0

Carolina Hurricanes beat Ottawa Senators 4–0 at home. Sebastian Aho (CAR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. OTT scored 0 goals on 3.41 expected goals (63 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Andrei Svechnikov had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:09.Svechnikov
Points
Sebastian Aho had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:33.Aho
Luck
OTT scored 0 goals on 3.41 expected goals (63 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for OTT: Brassard–Watson–Greig skated 4:27 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (0% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Brassard Watson Greig
New line
New look for OTT: Joseph–Gauthier–Gambrell skated 5:38 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (30% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Joseph Gauthier Gambrell
Usage
Martin Necas (CAR) played 14:32, −3:56 down on his 18:28 season average over 81 games.Necas
Goalie
Antti Raanta (CAR) faced 32 shots and stopped 32 (.1000), +8 against a season average of 23.9; the win.Raanta
Usage
Jake Sanderson (OTT) played 17:17, −4:42 down on his 21:59 season average over 76 games.Sanderson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · CAR 62 · OTT 63

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 33% of the game, CAR 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	CAR
	48	67
	1.68	4.00
	1.66	3.73
	10	19
	8	0
	14	25
	−0.054	+0.055
	33%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Giroux – Tkachuk – Stützle
12:2755% CF
L2DeBrincat – Batherson – Pinto
10:2838% CF
L3Joseph – Gauthier – Gambrell
5:3830% CF
L4Brassard – Watson – Greig
4:270% CF
D1Brannstrom – Zub
13:2427% CF
D2Hamonic – Chabot
10:3763% CF
D3Holden – Sanderson
7:1125% CF

PP1Chabot – DeBrincat – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
5:51100% CF
PP2Giroux – Brassard – Pinto – Greig – Sanderson
2:24100% CF
PK1FJoseph – Gambrell
1:03
PK2FGiroux – Watson
0:43
PK1DHamonic – Sanderson
1:57
PK2DHolden – Brannstrom
1:15

Current OTT line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Staal – Fast – Martinook
10:5733% CF
L2Aho – Svechnikov – Jarvis
9:4276% CF
L3Teravainen – Necas – Kotkaniemi
8:3150% CF
L4Stastny – Stepan – Noesen
8:0077% CF
D1Skjei – Pesce
15:1154% CF
D2Burns – Slavin
14:0964% CF
D3de Haan – Chatfield
13:3967% CF

PP1Noesen – Skjei – Teravainen – Aho – Svechnikov
2:08100% CF
PP2Burns – Stastny – Necas – Kotkaniemi – Jarvis
1:080% CF
PK1FStaal – Martinook
4:17
PK2FTeravainen – Aho
1:28
PK1DSkjei – Pesce
4:01
PK2DBurns – Slavin
2:39

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:48
CARBrent Burnswrist0.09 xG
OTT: Hamonic, DeBrincat, Batherson, Pinto, SandersonCAR: Burns, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis
OTT 0 – 1 CAR
6:29
CARSeth Jarvis (Sebastian Aho, Andrei Svechnikov)wrist0.15 xG
OTT: Hamonic, DeBrincat, Batherson, Pinto, SandersonCAR: Burns, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis
OTT 0 – 2 CAR

3rd period

12:34
CARMartin Necas (Andrei Svechnikov)slap0.04 xG
OTT: Joseph, Gauthier, Gambrell, Brannstrom, ZubCAR: Stastny, de Haan, Chatfield, Necas, Svechnikov
OTT 0 – 3 CAR
16:30
CARBrady SkjeiEN (Sebastian Aho)wrist0.39 xG
OTT: Giroux, Chabot, DeBrincat, Batherson, Tkachuk, StützleCAR: Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho, Svechnikov
OTT 0 – 4 CAR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tim Stützle C	L1	-1	3	0.14	2	0	0	23:00	—	—	57	35
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	-1	3	1.18	3	0	0	20:43	—	—	58	44
Claude Giroux R	L1	-1	4	0.45	2	0	0	20:27	—	—	55	39
Drake Batherson R	L2	-3	4	0.35	1	0	0	18:28	—	—	41	21
Alex DeBrincat R	L2	-3	5	0.40	2	1	0	18:21	—	—	39	21
Shane Pinto C	L2	-2	1	0.07	0	0	0	16:32	—	—	38	18
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	-1	1	0.05	0	2	0	13:27	—	—	23	12
Dylan Gambrell C	L3	-1	1	0.08	1	2	0	11:53	—	—	25	32
Julien Gauthier R	L3	-1	1	0.09	2	0	0	10:59	—	—	41	50
Ridly Greig C	L4	0	0	0.00	5	0	0	12:15	—	—	38	37
Derick Brassard C	L4	0	1	0.23	3	0	0	11:30	—	—	38	34
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0.00	5	2	0	9:11	—	—	8	0
Erik Brannstrom D	D1	-1	0	0.02	1	0	0	19:44	—	—	21	16
Artem Zub D	D1	-1	0	0.02	2	3	2	19:11	—	—	33	38
Thomas Chabot D	D2	-1	5	0.28	0	1	2	25:31	—	—	60	54
Travis Hamonic D	D2	-2	2	0.03	1	0	0	14:59	—	—	53	28
Jake Sanderson D	D3	-2	0	0.04	1	1	0	17:17	—	—	39	21
Nick Holden D	D3	0	1	0.00	2	0	0	13:31	—	—	26	6

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Talbot(start)	L	29	26	3	.897	3.46	59:01

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jordan Martinook L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.35	0	2	0	18:25	—	—	33	54
Jordan Staal C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	2	17:49	—	—	31	53
Jesper Fast R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	1	0	13:51	—	—	37	47
Sebastian Aho C	L2	0	2	2	+3	3	0.53	0	0	0	16:33	—	—	71	75
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	2	2	+4	2	0.38	3	0	4	15:09	—	—	78	86
Seth Jarvis R	L2	1	0	1	+2	4	0.54	0	0	0	14:30	—	—	67	73
Teuvo Teravainen C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:07	—	—	39	34
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	2	0	0	14:39	—	—	61	70
Martin Necas C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.20	0	0	2	14:32	—	—	67	78
Stefan Noesen R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	11:40	—	—	75	75
Paul Stastny C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	0	0	0	11:32	—	—	79	77
Derek Stepan C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.54	0	0	0	9:41	—	—	73	94
Brady Skjei D	D1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.66	2	1	0	23:03	—	—	52	69
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	21:45	—	—	50	69
Brent Burns D	D2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.13	0	2	0	21:43	—	—	66	75
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	1	1	0	21:07	—	—	58	76
Calvin de Haan D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	2	14:56	—	—	68	68
Jalen Chatfield D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.14	1	0	0	13:58	—	—	68	63

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Antti Raanta(start)	W	32	32	0	.1000	3.41	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.