Ottawa Senators vs. Florida PanthersMar 3, 2022

FinalThursday, Mar 3, 2022· FLA Live Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	0	0	0	0		OTT	7	4	7	18
FLA	1	0	2	3		FLA	25	12	11	48

: OTT 38FLA 90
: OTT 2.30FLA 5.17
PP goals: OTT 0FLA 2
Hits: OTT 37FLA 19
Blocks: OTT 24FLA 10
PIM: OTT 53FLA 23
: OTT 47%FLA 53%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Florida Panthers beat Ottawa Senators 3–0

Florida Panthers beat Ottawa Senators 3–0 at home. Patric Hornqvist (FLA) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Anton Forsberg (OTT) faced 48 shots and stopped 45 (.938), +16 against a season average of 31.7; the loss.

Points
Mason Marchment had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 12:58.Marchment
Points
Patric Hornqvist had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 15:03.Hornqvist
Goalie
Anton Forsberg (OTT) faced 48 shots and stopped 45 (.938), +16 against a season average of 31.7; the loss.Forsberg
New line
New look for OTT: Sanford–Norris–Tkachuk skated 5:15 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (23.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Sanford Norris Tkachuk
New line
New look for OTT: Ennis–Paul–White skated 4:38 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (0% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Ennis Paul White
Luck
FLA scored 3 goals on 5.17 expected goals (90 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
OTT scored 0 goals on 2.30 expected goals (38 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for OTT: Brown–Formenton–Stützle skated 4:29 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (12.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Brown Formenton Stützle

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)FLA attacks right (top on phones) →

FLA
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 128 of 128 attempts · FLA 90 · OTT 38

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

FLA
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

FLA pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 16% of the game, FLA 56%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

FLA

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	FLA
	23	54
	1.09	3.27
	1.06	3.12
	4	12
	4	4
	16	8
	−0.037	+0.037
	16%	56%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Sanford – Norris – Tkachuk
5:1523% CF
L2Ennis – Paul – White
4:380% CF
L3Brown – Formenton – Stützle
4:2913% CF
L4Watson – Gambrell – Kelly
3:3720% CF
D1Holden – Zub
9:5827% CF
D2Chabot – Zaitsev
9:4314% CF
D3Brown – Brannstrom
7:040% CF

PP1White – Chabot – Norris – Tkachuk – Stützle
3:30100% CF
PP2Ennis – Brown – Sanford – Formenton – Brannstrom
2:13100% CF
PK1FBrown – Formenton
4:06
PK2FWatson – Paul
2:11
PK1DHolden – Zaitsev
7:52
PK2DBrown – Zub
2:24

Current OTT line combinations →

Florida Panthers

L1Huberdeau – Duclair – Bennett
6:5375% CF
L2Reinhart – Vatrano – Lundell
6:09100% CF
L3Verhaeghe – Barkov – Marchment
5:1978% CF
L4Hornqvist – Lomberg – Luostarinen
3:3883% CF
D1Montour – Carlsson
10:2991% CF
D2Gudas – Forsling
10:1774% CF
D3Weegar – Ekblad
8:1467% CF

PP1Huberdeau – Duclair – Barkov – Ekblad – Reinhart
9:4789% CF
PP2Hornqvist – Bennett – Montour – Marchment – Lundell
4:4187% CF
PK1FBarkov – Lundell
2:16
PK2FHuberdeau – Luostarinen
1:18
PK1DWeegar – Ekblad
2:59
PK2DGudas – Forsling
1:52

Current FLA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:04
FLAMason MarchmentPP (Patric Hornqvist, Sam Bennett)deflected0.04 xG
OTT: Holden, Sanford, Zaitsev, GambrellFLA: Hornqvist, Bennett, Montour, Marchment, Lundell
OTT 0 – 1 FLA

3rd period

3:09
FLAPatric HornqvistPP (Mason Marchment, Brandon Montour)tip-in0.08 xG
OTT: Holden, Paul, Sanford, BrannstromFLA: Hornqvist, Bennett, Montour, Marchment, Lundell
OTT 0 – 2 FLA
3:21
FLARyan Lomberg (Frank Vatrano, Eetu Luostarinen)backhand0.05 xG
OTT: Brown, White, Chabot, Norris, TkachukFLA: Gudas, Forsling, Vatrano, Lomberg, Luostarinen
OTT 0 – 3 FLA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Josh Norris C	L1	-1	2	0.17	1	1	0	15:46	—	—	21	17
Zachary Sanford L	L1	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	14:56	—	—	46	39
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	-1	1	0.06	4	0	14	14:09	—	—	17	13
Nick Paul L	L2	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	17:11	—	—	31	21
Colin White C	L2	-1	1	0.12	1	0	2	13:41	—	—	25	9
Tyler Ennis R	L2	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:58	—	—	30	38
Connor Brown R	L3	0	4	0.76	0	2	0	20:49	—	—	24	24
Alex Formenton L	L3	0	2	0.42	3	1	2	16:05	—	—	20	28
Tim Stützle C	L3	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	15:53	—	—	30	22
Dylan Gambrell C	L4	0	0	0.44	4	0	0	10:26	—	—	44	72
Austin Watson L	L4	0	1	0.04	2	2	10	9:10	—	—	44	49
Parker Kelly C	L4	0	1	0.04	8	0	10	7:21	—	—	55	70
Nick Holden D	D1	0	1	0.03	2	3	0	22:19	—	—	38	18
Artem Zub D	D1	0	0	0.02	3	3	2	18:25	—	—	29	13
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	1	0.00	0	2	0	21:52	—	—	20	27
Thomas Chabot D	D2	-1	3	0.20	1	1	2	20:46	—	—	35	28
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	0	0.00	0	0	4	18:33	—	—	36	37
Joshua Brown D	D3	-1	0	0.00	3	6	7	12:48	—	—	0	0

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	L	48	45	3	.938	5.17	60:00

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.22	1	0	0	22:30	—	—	82	73
Sam Bennett C	L1	0	1	1	0	6	0.65	0	0	0	19:30	—	—	76	69
Anthony Duclair L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.34	0	0	0	18:05	—	—	73	68
Sam Reinhart C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.47	1	0	0	18:27	—	—	92	97
Anton Lundell C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.24	0	0	0	16:41	—	—	85	49
Frank Vatrano R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	2	0	0	11:59	—	—	63	71
Aleksander Barkov C	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.98	0	0	0	19:32	—	—	83	100
Mason Marchment L	L3	1	1	2	0	2	0.27	1	0	0	12:58	—	—	75	94
Carter Verhaeghe C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	1	4	11:21	—	—	71	85
Patric Hornqvist R	L4	1	1	2	0	6	0.57	2	0	0	15:03	—	—	71	91
Eetu Luostarinen C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	0	1	0	11:35	—	—	48	63
Ryan Lomberg L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.05	2	1	7	8:31	—	—	57	54
Brandon Montour D	D1	0	1	1	0	5	0.35	3	0	2	19:43	—	—	85	62
Lucas Carlsson D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:58	—	—	91	97
Gustav Forsling D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	1	1	0	17:03	—	—	58	69
Radko Gudas D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	4	0	10	14:26	—	—	74	81
Aaron Ekblad D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.45	0	4	0	24:30	—	—	63	75
MacKenzie Weegar D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	1	2	0	19:17	—	—	62	65

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky(start)	W	18	18	0	.1000	2.30	59:51

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.