Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo SabresApr 4, 2019

FinalThursday, Apr 4, 2019· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	2	0	0	2		OTT	12	5	6	23
BUF	1	2	2	5		BUF	12	12	16	40

: OTT 40BUF 74
: OTT 0.81BUF 2.70
PP goals: OTT 0BUF 2
Hits: OTT 6BUF 20
Blocks: OTT 16BUF 7
PIM: OTT 6BUF 8
: OTT 54%BUF 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 5–2

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 5–2 at home. Jack Eichel (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 2A. BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:00 together.

Points
Jack Eichel had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 20:05.Eichel
Points
Sam Reinhart had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 17:02.Reinhart
Points
Victor Olofsson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 17:28.Olofsson
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel and Dahlin) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:00 together.Skinner Reinhart Olofsson Eichel Dahlin
Goalie
Joey Daccord (OTT) faced 40 shots and stopped 35 (.875); the loss.Daccord
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Larsson–Girgensons skated 12:15 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (72% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Larsson Girgensons
Usage
Christian Jaros (OTT) played 6:06, −8:24 down on his 14:30 season average over 60 games.Jaros
Luck
BUF scored 5 goals on 2.70 expected goals (74 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 114 of 114 attempts · BUF 74 · OTT 40

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 10% of the game, BUF 57%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	BUF
	42	76
	0.79	2.58
	0.77	2.44
	4	11
	5	7
	12	22
	−0.015	+0.016
	10%	57%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Gibbons – White – Tkachuk
10:0524% CF
L2Smith – Paajarvi – Lindberg
9:0942% CF
L3Boedker – Pageau – Veronneau
7:4139% CF
L4Tierney – Duclair – Balcers
6:3355% CF
D1DeMelo – Chabot
16:1422% CF
D2Ceci – Wolanin
13:3440% CF
D3Englund – Jaros
3:5167% CF

PP1Boedker – Pageau – White – Chabot – Tkachuk
2:31100% CF
PP2DeMelo – Tierney – Duclair – Chabot – Balcers
1:30100% CF
PK1FSmith – Paajarvi
1:35
PK2FPageau – Tierney
0:26
PK1DCeci – Englund
0:57
PK2DChabot – Jaros
0:17

Current OTT line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
13:3074% CF
L2Pominville – Larsson – Girgensons
12:1572% CF
L3Okposo – Skinner – Rodrigues
10:1753% CF
L4Wilson – Sheary – Mittelstadt
8:4233% CF
D1McCabe – Montour
17:4360% CF
D2Ristolainen – Dahlin
15:1264% CF
D3Nelson – Pilut
10:3556% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
2:00100% CF
PP2Pominville – Okposo – Ristolainen – Sheary – Mittelstadt
0:18100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
2:48
PK2FEichel – Rodrigues
1:35
PK1DMcCabe – Ristolainen
3:42
PK2DMontour – Nelson
1:17

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	19:10	—	—	39	14
Colin White C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	18:23	—	—	25	7
Brian Gibbons C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	1	0	14:14	—	—	29	13
Zack Smith C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	2	0	0	15:05	—	—	32	44
Oscar Lindberg L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	1	0	14:27	—	—	40	45
Magnus Paajarvi L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	0	0	0	13:38	—	—	37	41
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.07	0	3	0	18:24	—	—	42	16
Mikkel Boedker L	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	0	0	0	12:56	—	—	33	15
Max Veronneau R	L3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.02	0	0	0	11:20	—	—	29	7
Chris Tierney C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	15:17	—	—	38	22
Anthony Duclair L	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.15	1	1	0	14:22	—	—	41	38
Rudolfs Balcers L	L4	0	1	1	-1	1	0.03	0	0	2	11:07	—	—	41	22
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	0	2	2	27:45	—	—	23	14
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	0	5	2	24:38	—	—	29	33
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	1	1	0	25:08	—	—	42	18
Christian Wolanin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	1	0	21:26	—	—	41	19
Andreas Englund D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	0	0	12:36	—	—	67	68
Christian Jaros D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	6:06	—	—	30	21

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joey Daccord(start)	L	40	35	5	.875	2.70	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	2	3	+2	3	0.43	0	0	2	20:05	—	—	78	95
Victor Olofsson L	L1	1	1	2	+2	5	0.38	0	0	0	17:28	—	—	77	95
Sam Reinhart C	L1	1	1	2	+2	4	0.67	0	0	2	17:02	—	—	76	95
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	2	1	0	17:54	—	—	73	85
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.14	3	0	0	16:45	—	—	72	85
Jason Pominville R	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.06	0	0	0	14:11	—	—	75	85
Jeff Skinner L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	0	2	14:54	—	—	60	52
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	13:56	—	—	53	40
Kyle Okposo R	L3	1	0	1	0	3	0.23	0	0	0	11:29	—	—	56	43
Conor Sheary L	L4	0	1	1	-2	2	0.20	0	0	0	10:48	—	—	37	54
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	0	10:45	—	—	37	54
Scott Wilson C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.09	1	0	0	9:18	—	—	33	47
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	3	0	22:41	—	—	60	66
Brandon Montour D	D1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.05	1	0	2	21:14	—	—	63	70
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	0	1	1	0	3	0.07	7	0	0	23:41	—	—	68	82
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	0	1	0	21:12	—	—	68	82
Casey Nelson D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	0	0	15:32	—	—	63	71
Lawrence Pilut D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	1	0	13:11	—	—	61	67

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	W	23	21	2	.913	0.81	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo SabresApr 4, 2019

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 5–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Buffalo Sabres