Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo SabresNov 16, 2019

FinalSaturday, Nov 16, 2019· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	0	1	1	2		OTT	5	9	9	23
BUF	0	2	2	4		BUF	13	6	13	32

: OTT 41BUF 58
: OTT 2.05BUF 3.78
PP goals: OTT 1BUF 0
Hits: OTT 13BUF 18
Blocks: OTT 12BUF 12
PIM: OTT 4BUF 6
: OTT 52%BUF 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 4–2

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 4–2 at home. Jack Eichel (BUF) led the scoring with 4G 0A. OTT's first power-play unit (Ryan, Duclair, Chabot, Brown and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:31 together.

Points
Jack Eichel had 4 goals (4 points) on 5 shots in 19:57.Eichel
Points
Sam Reinhart had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:44.Reinhart
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Ryan, Duclair, Chabot, Brown and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 5 attempts in 2:31 together.Ryan Duclair Chabot Brown Tkachuk
Usage
Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) played 11:56, −7:29 down on his 19:25 season average over 58 games.Dahlin
Usage
Kyle Okposo (BUF) played 4:09, −8:52 down on his 13:01 season average over 51 games.Okposo
Usage
Logan Brown (OTT) played 17:37, +6:08 up on his 11:29 season average over 22 games.Brown
Usage
Ron Hainsey (OTT) played 15:07, −5:39 down on his 20:46 season average over 63 games.Hainsey
Usage
Evan Rodrigues (BUF) played 18:37, +7:30 up on his 11:07 season average over 44 games.Rodrigues

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 99 of 99 attempts · BUF 58 · OTT 41

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 23% of the game, BUF 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	BUF
	40	54
	1.90	2.15
	1.85	2.14
	8	5
	2	4
	10	18
	+0.001	−0.001
	23%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Pageau – Brown – Paul
10:5353% CF
L2Duclair – Brown – Tkachuk
9:0238% CF
L3Ennis – Namestnikov – White
8:1642% CF
L4Ryan – Tierney – Chlapik
6:1844% CF
D1Chabot – Zaitsev
17:4344% CF
D2Borowiecki – DeMelo
14:5344% CF
D3Hainsey – Brannstrom
10:5050% CF

PP1Ryan – Duclair – Chabot – Brown – Tkachuk
2:3183% CF
PP2Ennis – DeMelo – Namestnikov – White – Brannstrom
1:21100% CF
PK1FTierney – Brown
1:54
PK2FPageau – Namestnikov
1:14
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
1:49
PK2DBorowiecki – DeMelo
1:19

Current OTT line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
11:4665% CF
L2Skinner – Sheary – Rodrigues
11:3067% CF
L3Vesey – Lazar – Mittelstadt
7:4830% CF
L4Okposo – Girgensons – Asplund
3:3367% CF
D1McCabe – Ristolainen
14:5775% CF
D2Scandella – Jokiharju
13:0850% CF
D3Montour – Dahlin
8:2036% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
2:23100% CF
PP2Ristolainen – Sheary – Montour – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
1:34100% CF
PK1FVesey – Rodrigues
1:06
PK2FGirgensons – Asplund
0:53
PK1DScandella – Montour
1:41
PK2DRistolainen – Jokiharju
0:52

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

1:28
BUFJack Eichel (Sam Reinhart, Rasmus Dahlin)wrist0.02 xG
OTT: Borowiecki, DeMelo, Pageau, Duclair, TkachukBUF: Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin
OTT 0 – 1 BUF
6:04
OTTAnthony DuclairPP (Logan Brown, Thomas Chabot)slap0.13 xG
OTT: Ryan, Duclair, Chabot, Brown, TkachukBUF: Scandella, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen
OTT 1 – 1 BUF
9:39
BUFJack Eichel (Victor Olofsson, Sam Reinhart)wrist0.10 xG
OTT: Pageau, Brown, Paul, Chabot, ZaitsevBUF: McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel
OTT 1 – 2 BUF

3rd period

2:01
OTTTyler Ennis (Ron Hainsey, Vladislav Namestnikov)tip-in0.06 xG
OTT: Hainsey, Ennis, Namestnikov, Tierney, BrannstromBUF: Vesey, McCabe, Lazar, Montour, Mittelstadt
OTT 2 – 2 BUF
12:13
BUFJack Eichel (Jeff Skinner)slap0.12 xG
OTT: Pageau, Brown, Paul, Chabot, ZaitsevBUF: Scandella, Skinner, Sheary, Eichel, Jokiharju
OTT 2 – 3 BUF
19:46
BUFJack EichelENwrist0.22 xG
OTT: Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Brown, Brannstrom, TkachukBUF: Girgensons, Vesey, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel
OTT 2 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Connor Brown R	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.10	0	2	0	17:21	—	—	50	53
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L1	0	0	0	-4	1	0.03	0	0	0	16:59	—	—	38	40
Nick Paul L	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.30	1	0	0	16:25	—	—	45	52
Brady Tkachuk L	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.51	2	1	0	19:32	—	—	43	55
Anthony Duclair L	L2	1	0	1	-2	2	0.36	0	0	0	18:29	—	—	37	53
Logan Brown C	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.05	3	1	0	17:37	—	—	32	57
Colin White C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:18	—	—	53	46
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:31	—	—	33	44
Tyler Ennis R	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.26	1	0	2	13:05	—	—	35	38
Bobby Ryan R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	1	0	12:10	—	—	54	26
Chris Tierney C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:27	—	—	50	39
Filip Chlapik C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:45	—	—	55	26
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	1	1	-3	1	0.07	0	0	0	25:01	—	—	42	27
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	0	21:03	—	—	41	27
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	0	2	2	20:29	—	—	45	66
Mark Borowiecki D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	3	0	0	19:24	—	—	40	54
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	1	2	0	16:44	—	—	35	50
Ron Hainsey D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:07	—	—	50	50

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	L	31	28	3	.903	2.82	58:33

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	4	0	4	+4	5	0.61	1	0	0	19:57	—	—	54	48
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.23	0	0	0	17:44	—	—	60	62
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.64	0	0	0	16:18	—	—	60	59
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	0	0	18:37	—	—	56	63
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.12	1	2	0	18:33	—	—	63	55
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.30	0	0	0	17:41	—	—	55	46
Jimmy Vesey L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	0	0	0	14:47	—	—	61	54
Curtis Lazar C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	2	0	11:09	—	—	39	16
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.14	0	0	0	10:18	—	—	42	36
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.83	2	1	0	15:48	—	—	69	76
Rasmus Asplund C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	2	0	0	12:13	—	—	71	73
Kyle Okposo R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	4:09	—	—	67	46
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	+2	3	0.09	2	1	2	24:06	—	—	72	57
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	1	0	2	22:16	—	—	73	53
Marco Scandella D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.07	1	2	0	20:45	—	—	50	60
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	0	2	18:01	—	—	47	56
Brandon Montour D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	2	2	0	20:47	—	—	52	46
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	2	0	11:56	—	—	33	32

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	23	21	2	.913	2.05	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.