Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo SabresJan 11, 2024

FinalThursday, Jan 11, 2024· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
OTT	1	0	2	3		OTT	9	8	11	28
BUF	3	1	1	5		BUF	10	8	14	32

: OTT 67BUF 51
: OTT 1.36BUF 3.09
PP goals: OTT 0BUF 1
Hits: OTT 27BUF 28
Blocks: OTT 14BUF 27
PIM: OTT 6BUF 8
: OTT 50%BUF 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 5–3

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 5–3 at home. Tage Thompson (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 0A. BUF's first power-play unit (Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin and Quinn) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:41 together.

Points
Claude Giroux had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 22:16.Giroux
Points
Tage Thompson had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 12:27.Thompson
Points
Dylan Cozens had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:02.Cozens
Points
Rasmus Dahlin had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 24:40.Dahlin
PP1
BUF's first power-play unit (Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin and Quinn) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 2:41 together.Tuch Thompson Mittelstadt Dahlin Quinn
New line
New look for OTT: Giroux–Tkachuk–Greig skated 10:11 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (69.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Giroux Tkachuk Greig
New line
New look for BUF: Tuch–Thompson–Mittelstadt skated 8:11 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Tuch Thompson Mittelstadt
New line
New look for OTT: Batherson–Kelly–Stützle skated 6:53 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (69.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Batherson Kelly Stützle

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← OTT attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
OTT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · BUF 51 · OTT 67

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
OTT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
OTT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: OTT 34% of the game, BUF 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

OTT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	OTT	BUF
	67	50
	1.16	2.16
	1.14	2.08
	2	10
	5	6
	10	7
	+0.010	−0.010
	34%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Ottawa Senators

L1Giroux – Tkachuk – Greig
10:1170% CF
L2Batherson – Kelly – Stützle
6:5369% CF
L3Tarasenko – Kubalik – Joseph
4:2667% CF
D1Chabot – Zub
13:2472% CF
D2Hamonic – Chychrun
10:1944% CF
D3Brannstrom – Sanderson
7:2142% CF

PP1Giroux – Chabot – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
3:43100% CF
PP2Tarasenko – Kubalik – Chychrun – Greig – Sanderson
3:1275% CF
PK1FGiroux – Kelly
1:56
PK2FJoseph – Greig
0:53
PK1DSanderson – Zub
2:39
PK2DHamonic – Brannstrom
1:27

Current OTT line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Cozens – Quinn – Peterka
9:4917% CF
L2Tuch – Thompson – Mittelstadt
8:1157% CF
L3Okposo – Greenway – Benson
7:3164% CF
L4Girgensons – Robinson – Krebs
7:1268% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
14:3943% CF
D2Clifton – Johnson
10:2724% CF
D3Johnson – Power
6:3056% CF

PP1Tuch – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin – Quinn
2:41100% CF
PP2Okposo – Cozens – Peterka – Power – Benson
1:3367% CF
PK1FGreenway – Cozens
3:08
PK2FTuch – Quinn
2:34
PK1DJohnson – Samuelsson
3:52
PK2DClifton – Power
2:40

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.16	3	0	0	22:18	—	—	63	44
Claude Giroux R	L1	2	0	2	-1	3	0.38	2	0	0	22:16	—	—	57	43
Ridly Greig C	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.26	4	0	0	18:05	—	—	75	57
Tim Stützle C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.09	3	0	0	25:03	—	—	53	42
Drake Batherson R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.16	1	1	0	21:01	—	—	59	36
Parker Kelly C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	6	1	0	16:29	—	—	61	23
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	2	15:13	—	—	45	11
Dominik Kubalik L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	14:22	—	—	43	8
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.04	0	0	0	14:15	—	—	50	11
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	1	0	23:35	—	—	69	64
Artem Zub D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	16:55	—	—	72	68
Jakob Chychrun D	D2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.15	1	7	0	19:59	—	—	49	35
Travis Hamonic D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:00	—	—	43	22
Jake Sanderson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	20:41	—	—	55	27
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	2	0	14:56	—	—	48	25
Jacob Bernard-Docker D	—	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	0	0	7:54	—	—	71	34
Zack MacEwen R	—	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	0	0	0	6:15	—	—	67	37
Mark Kastelic C	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	4	0	2	6:12	—	—	50	12

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joonas Korpisalo	L	24	21	3	.875	1.27	42:11
Anton Forsberg(start)	—	7	6	1	.857	0.65	15:56

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Quinn R	L1	0	1	1	-2	3	0.11	1	2	0	19:16	—	—	19	19
Dylan Cozens C	L1	1	1	2	0	2	0.83	0	1	0	18:02	—	—	18	29
JJ Peterka R	L1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.13	0	0	0	14:06	—	—	27	33
Alex Tuch R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	0	2	0	19:17	—	—	41	88
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	0	0	0	15:56	—	—	43	87
Tage Thompson C	L2	2	0	2	0	5	0.28	1	0	0	12:27	—	—	56	94
Jordan Greenway L	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.25	3	1	0	19:38	—	—	50	67
Zach Benson L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	0	0	0	13:40	—	—	52	94
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	1	0	11:37	—	—	50	96
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	3	2	2	11:19	—	—	57	63
Eric Robinson L	L4	0	1	1	+1	5	0.20	3	0	0	10:16	—	—	60	65
Peyton Krebs C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.29	1	0	0	10:02	—	—	58	80
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	+2	1	0.00	2	3	0	25:18	—	—	45	63
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	2	2	0	1	0.00	6	2	4	24:40	—	—	45	57
Connor Clifton D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	4	3	0	17:18	—	—	36	56
Ryan Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	6	2	15:10	—	—	30	60
Owen Power D	D3	0	1	1	-1	0	0.38	1	2	0	19:52	—	—	52	77
Erik Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	2	0	14:06	—	—	50	76

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	W	28	25	3	.893	1.36	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

JJ Peterka (BUF) 1st 9:14 · assists Dylan Cozens, Owen Power · Dump and chase · dumped in · 4-on-2 at the blue line · 45.3 mph shot · 2.9 s from entry to goal.

JJ Peterka · 1st 9:14 · BUF

Play: dump-and-chase
Entry: dump
Odd man: 4-on-2
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 45.3 mph
Distance: 11 ft
Entry to goal: 2.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 15:06 · OTT

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1
Shot: 69.2 mph
Distance: 58 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tage Thompson · 1st 17:28 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 70.8 mph
Distance: 41 ft
Entry to goal: 1.4 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Tage Thompson · 1st 19:32 · BUF PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 3
Shot: 65.1 mph
Distance: 26 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Peyton Krebs · 2nd 4:52 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 34.9 mph
Distance: 10 ft
Entry to goal: 3.1 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Claude Giroux · 3rd 0:43 · OTT

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 23.7 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Entry to goal: 5.4 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Claude Giroux · 3rd 11:15 · OTT

Play: turnover-forecheck
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 67.5 mph
Distance: 38 ft
Entry to goal: 7.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dylan Cozens · 3rd 19:57 · BUF EN

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-0
Passes: 0
Shot: 55.8 mph
Distance: 48 ft
Entry to goal: 1.3 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo SabresJan 11, 2024

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres beat Ottawa Senators 5–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Ottawa Senators

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Buffalo Sabres

Goal anatomy

JJ Peterka · 1st 9:14 · BUF

Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 15:06 · OTT

Tage Thompson · 1st 17:28 · BUF

Tage Thompson · 1st 19:32 · BUF PP

Peyton Krebs · 2nd 4:52 · BUF

Claude Giroux · 3rd 0:43 · OTT

Claude Giroux · 3rd 11:15 · OTT

Dylan Cozens · 3rd 19:57 · BUF EN