San Jose Sharks vs. Buffalo SabresNov 27, 2018

Final / OTTuesday, Nov 27, 2018· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
SJS	0	0	2	0	2		SJS	13	8	17	0	38
BUF	0	1	1	1	3		BUF	7	9	12	3	31

: SJS 62BUF 53
: SJS 2.93BUF 2.86
PP goals: SJS 1BUF 0
Hits: SJS 11BUF 19
Blocks: SJS 7BUF 5
PIM: SJS 4BUF 8
: SJS 55%BUF 45%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge San Jose Sharks 3–2 (OT)

Buffalo Sabres beat San Jose Sharks 3–2 in overtime at home. Joe Pavelski (SJS) led the scoring with 2G 0A. New look for BUF: Okposo–Thompson–Mittelstadt skated 10:54 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (35.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Joe Pavelski had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 19:18.Pavelski
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Thompson–Mittelstadt skated 10:54 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (35.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Thompson Mittelstadt
Goalie
Carter Hutton (BUF) faced 38 shots and stopped 36 (.947), +7 against a season average of 30.8; the win.Hutton
New line
New look for BUF: Larsson–Girgensons–Elie skated 8:57 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (36.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Larsson Girgensons Elie
New line
New look for BUF: Pominville–Sobotka–Rodrigues skated 9:27 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (46.2% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Pominville Sobotka Rodrigues
Usage
Rasmus Dahlin (BUF) played 24:12, +3:05 up on his 21:07 season average over 81 games.Dahlin
Usage
Brenden Dillon (SJS) played 12:36, −5:12 down on his 17:48 season average over 81 games.Dillon
Usage
Erik Karlsson (SJS) played 27:27, +3:01 up on his 24:26 season average over 52 games.Karlsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← SJS attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
SJS
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · BUF 53 · SJS 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
SJS
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
SJS pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: SJS 21% of the game, BUF 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

SJS

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	SJS	BUF
	60	48
	2.90	2.12
	2.78	2.07
	18	11
	6	7
	17	19
	+0.045	−0.045
	21%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

San Jose Sharks

L1Pavelski – Kane – Donskoi
9:4075% CF
L2Couture – Hertl – Meier
8:4944% CF
L3Thornton – Sorensen – Labanc
7:4850% CF
L4Goodrow – Karlsson – Radil
6:2855% CF
D1Vlasic – Braun
17:4644% CF
D2Karlsson – Dillon
11:0887% CF
D3Burns – Ryan
9:3837% CF

PP1Burns – Pavelski – Couture – Hertl – Labanc
2:3883% CF
PP2Thornton – Burns – Karlsson – Kane – Meier
2:000% CF
PK1FPavelski – Sorensen
1:00
PK2FCouture – Hertl
0:40
PK1DVlasic – Braun
1:00
PK2DBurns – Karlsson
0:55

Current SJS line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
15:4653% CF
L2Okposo – Thompson – Mittelstadt
10:5436% CF
L3Pominville – Sobotka – Rodrigues
9:2746% CF
L4Larsson – Girgensons – Elie
8:5737% CF
D1Bogosian – Dahlin
18:2853% CF
D2McCabe – Ristolainen
15:1736% CF
D3Beaulieu – Nelson
12:0848% CF

PP1Okposo – Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel
1:01100% CF
PP2Pominville – Rodrigues – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Dahlin
0:59
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
3:06
PK2FSobotka – Rodrigues
0:47
PK1DBogosian – McCabe
3:23
PK2DBeaulieu – Ristolainen
1:41

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

San Jose Sharks

SJS skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evander Kane L	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.37	1	1	0	19:18	—	—	65	72
Joe Pavelski C	L1	2	0	2	0	7	0.61	0	0	0	19:18	—	—	64	78
Joonas Donskoi R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	0	0	13:22	—	—	73	82
Tomas Hertl C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	0	1	0	20:58	—	—	52	35
Logan Couture C	L2	0	1	1	-1	5	0.13	0	1	0	20:27	—	—	57	38
Timo Meier R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.19	4	0	0	16:40	—	—	42	36
Joe Thornton C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.22	0	0	2	17:54	—	—	48	51
Kevin Labanc R	L3	0	1	1	-2	1	0.12	0	0	0	16:40	—	—	56	44
Marcus Sorensen L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	0	0	11:41	—	—	45	55
Melker Karlsson C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	10:18	—	—	53	53
Barclay Goodrow C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	2	0	0	8:51	—	—	50	54
Lukas Radil C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	7:57	—	—	62	65
Marc-Edouard Vlasic D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.14	0	2	0	23:13	—	—	43	50
Justin Braun D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	1	0	20:12	—	—	50	50
Erik Karlsson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	0	0	27:27	—	—	69	81
Brenden Dillon D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	1	0	2	12:36	—	—	84	89
Brent Burns D	D3	0	1	1	-1	4	0.07	0	1	0	23:34	—	—	53	40
Joakim Ryan D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	10:37	—	—	42	35

SJS goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Martin Jones(start)	O	31	28	3	.903	2.86	61:41

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.25	0	0	0	20:38	—	—	61	61
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.18	0	0	0	19:44	—	—	59	64
Jeff Skinner L	L1	1	0	1	+2	1	0.45	0	0	0	18:53	—	—	57	60
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.19	0	0	0	14:35	—	—	42	29
Casey Mittelstadt C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:11	—	—	37	24
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.33	1	0	0	12:41	—	—	40	40
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.24	1	0	4	13:55	—	—	39	42
Vladimir Sobotka C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	3	0	0	13:43	—	—	53	51
Jason Pominville R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	1	0	0	11:54	—	—	40	36
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.43	2	0	2	15:03	—	—	42	46
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:56	—	—	33	29
Remi Elie L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	9:47	—	—	37	35
Zach Bogosian D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	2	4	0	24:28	—	—	53	51
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.15	0	0	2	24:12	—	—	50	47
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D2	1	0	1	0	4	0.24	3	0	0	21:48	—	—	35	36
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	1	0	19:57	—	—	35	32
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.09	0	0	0	15:01	—	—	46	45
Casey Nelson D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:33	—	—	48	46

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Carter Hutton(start)	W	38	36	2	.947	2.93	61:41

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

San Jose Sharks vs. Buffalo SabresNov 27, 2018

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres edge San Jose Sharks 3–2 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

San Jose Sharks

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

San Jose Sharks

Buffalo Sabres