Minnesota Wild vs. Edmonton OilersMar 10, 2018

FinalSaturday, Mar 10, 2018· Rogers Place

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	0	0	1	1		MIN	12	9	12	33
EDM	0	2	2	4		EDM	5	12	11	28

: MIN 68EDM 51
: MIN 3.92EDM 3.27
PP goals: MIN 0EDM 2
Hits: MIN 21EDM 43
Blocks: MIN 15EDM 20
PIM: MIN 6EDM 8
: MIN 49%EDM 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Edmonton Oilers beat Minnesota Wild 4–1

Edmonton Oilers beat Minnesota Wild 4–1 at home. Connor McDavid (EDM) led the scoring with 2G 1A. EDM's first power-play unit (Lucic, Strome, Draisaitl, McDavid and Bear) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:32 together.

Points
Connor McDavid had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 19:47.McDavid
Points
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:50.Nugent-Hopkins
PP1
EDM's first power-play unit (Lucic, Strome, Draisaitl, McDavid and Bear) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:32 together.Lucic Strome Draisaitl McDavid Bear
New line
New look for EDM: Nugent-Hopkins–Aberg–McDavid skated 14:26 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (46.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nugent-Hopkins Aberg McDavid
Luck
MIN scored 1 goal on 3.92 expected goals (68 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for EDM: Cammalleri–Lucic–Draisaitl skated 11:35 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (42.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Cammalleri Lucic Draisaitl
New line
New look for EDM: Kassian–Khaira–Caggiula skated 8:13 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (36.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kassian Khaira Caggiula
Usage
Andrej Sekera (EDM) played 19:43, +3:29 up on his 16:14 season average over 35 games.Sekera

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)EDM attacks right (top on phones) →

EDM
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 119 of 119 attempts · EDM 51 · MIN 68

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

EDM
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

EDM pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 45% of the game, EDM 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

EDM

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	EDM
	67	52
	3.70	3.12
	3.43	3.00
	29	10
	4	7
	36	19
	−0.027	+0.028
	45%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Staal – Zucker – Granlund
12:1866% CF
L2Cullen – Ennis – Coyle
11:4745% CF
L3Koivu – Parise – Niederreiter
11:3775% CF
L4Winnik – Foligno – Eriksson Ek
7:5833% CF
D1Brodin – Dumba
18:5759% CF
D2Suter – Spurgeon
18:1552% CF
D3Prosser – Olofsson
9:5970% CF

PP1Staal – Suter – Spurgeon – Zucker – Granlund
2:07100% CF
PP2Koivu – Parise – Coyle – Niederreiter – Dumba
1:50100% CF
PK1FKoivu – Winnik
0:56
PK2FStaal – Zucker
0:52
PK1DSuter – Spurgeon
1:22
PK2DBrodin – Dumba
0:56

Current MIN line combinations →

Edmonton Oilers

L1Nugent-Hopkins – Aberg – McDavid
14:2647% CF
L2Cammalleri – Lucic – Draisaitl
11:3543% CF
L3Strome – Slepyshev – Puljujarvi
10:0548% CF
L4Kassian – Khaira – Caggiula
8:1336% CF
D1Larsson – Nurse
17:2831% CF
D2Russell – Bear
13:3545% CF
D3Sekera – Benning
11:4156% CF

PP1Lucic – Strome – Draisaitl – McDavid – Bear
1:32100% CF
PP2Sekera – Lucic – Aberg – Draisaitl – McDavid
0:46100% CF
PK1FStrome – Khaira
2:54
PK2FNugent-Hopkins – Draisaitl
1:30
PK1DSekera – Russell
2:18
PK2DLarsson – Benning
1:57

Current EDM line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

9:11
EDMConnor McDavid (Ryan Nugent-Hopkins)wrist0.03 xG
MIN: Cullen, Suter, Ennis, Spurgeon, CoyleEDM: Russell, Slepyshev, McDavid, Bear, Puljujarvi
MIN 0 – 1 EDM
12:00
EDMConnor McDavidPP (Andrej Sekera)snap0.08 xG
MIN: Staal, Zucker, Brodin, DumbaEDM: Sekera, Lucic, Aberg, McDavid, Puljujarvi
MIN 0 – 2 EDM

3rd period

9:44
MINCharlie Coyle (Tyler Ennis, Gustav Olofsson)snap0.18 xG
MIN: Cullen, Suter, Ennis, Coyle, OlofssonEDM: Russell, Kassian, Khaira, Bear, Caggiula
MIN 1 – 2 EDM
16:25
EDMLeon DraisaitlPP (Ethan Bear)wrist0.13 xG
MIN: Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, GranlundEDM: Lucic, Strome, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bear
MIN 1 – 3 EDM
17:27
EDMRyan Nugent-HopkinsEN (Connor McDavid, Adam Larsson)wrist0.24 xG
MIN: Staal, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Zucker, CoyleEDM: Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Aberg, Nurse, McDavid
MIN 1 – 4 EDM

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jason Zucker L	L1	0	0	0	-1	7	1.26	1	0	0	19:10	—	—	66	70
Eric Staal C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.77	0	1	0	18:41	—	—	67	72
Mikael Granlund C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	1	0	2	16:49	—	—	67	71
Charlie Coyle C	L2	1	0	1	-1	4	0.32	1	0	0	16:49	—	—	44	34
Tyler Ennis R	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.11	1	0	0	14:05	—	—	50	40
Matt Cullen C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	0	0	2	13:37	—	—	43	34
Mikko Koivu C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	1	1	0	17:36	—	—	71	57
Zach Parise L	L3	0	0	0	-1	5	0.55	1	0	0	16:23	—	—	78	81
Nino Niederreiter R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	0	1	0	15:16	—	—	75	77
Daniel Winnik L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	0	0	11:35	—	—	31	4
Marcus Foligno L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:29	—	—	29	11
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	3	0	0	10:06	—	—	39	23
Mathew Dumba D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	5	3	2	24:47	—	—	61	57
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	22:20	—	—	54	57
Ryan Suter D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	4	3	0	24:59	—	—	54	52
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.02	0	3	0	23:04	—	—	52	48
Gustav Olofsson D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	0	1	0	11:32	—	—	73	88
Nate Prosser D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	0	10:40	—	—	58	45

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Devan Dubnyk(start)	L	27	24	3	.889	3.03	59:44

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Connor McDavid C	L1	2	1	3	+2	3	0.13	2	0	0	19:47	—	—	45	32
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.48	1	1	0	18:50	—	—	41	29
Pontus Aberg L	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.33	0	1	0	16:43	—	—	49	39
Leon Draisaitl C	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.13	0	0	0	16:11	—	—	43	37
Milan Lucic L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.42	4	0	0	15:19	—	—	41	36
Michael Cammalleri L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:01	—	—	48	45
Ryan Strome C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	2	1	2	15:12	—	—	48	75
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.18	2	0	0	12:17	—	—	54	77
Anton Slepyshev L	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.66	0	0	0	12:02	—	—	44	64
Jujhar Khaira L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.08	5	2	0	13:06	—	—	31	38
Zack Kassian R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	12:35	—	—	31	38
Drake Caggiula L	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.34	3	0	0	11:47	—	—	33	41
Adam Larsson D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	8	6	0	22:53	—	—	34	36
Darnell Nurse D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	4	1	4	22:18	—	—	27	14
Ethan Bear D	D2	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	19:54	—	—	39	23
Kris Russell D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	2	3	0	17:17	—	—	50	30
Andrej Sekera D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	2	1	0	19:43	—	—	55	75
Matt Benning D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	2	3	2	16:08	—	—	52	67

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Talbot(start)	W	33	32	1	.970	3.92	59:57

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.