Minnesota Wild vs. Buffalo SabresMar 4, 2022

FinalFriday, Mar 4, 2022· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	1	0	3	4		MIN	15	8	10	33
BUF	1	1	3	5		BUF	11	14	13	38

: MIN 59BUF 57
: MIN 2.10BUF 3.86
PP goals: MIN 1BUF 2
Hits: MIN 14BUF 11
Blocks: MIN 9BUF 17
PIM: MIN 13BUF 21
: MIN 57%BUF 43%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Minnesota Wild 5–4

Buffalo Sabres beat Minnesota Wild 5–4 at home. Kirill Kaprizov (MIN) led the scoring with 2G 1A. MIN's first power-play unit (Spurgeon, Fiala, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov and Boldy) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:27 together.

Points
Kirill Kaprizov had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 19:50.Kaprizov
Points
Jeff Skinner had two goals (2 points) on 7 shots in 17:06.Skinner
Points
Casey Mittelstadt had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:26.Mittelstadt
Points
Kevin Fiala had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:28.Fiala
Points
Kyle Okposo had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:33.Okposo
Points
Jared Spurgeon had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 24:38.Spurgeon
Points
Rasmus Dahlin had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 24:58.Dahlin
PP1
MIN's first power-play unit (Spurgeon, Fiala, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov and Boldy) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 2:27 together.Spurgeon Fiala Eriksson Ek Kaprizov Boldy

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · BUF 57 · MIN 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 34% of the game, BUF 40%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	BUF
	62	47
	2.40	2.03
	2.16	1.97
	10	11
	2	0
	7	13
	+0.097	−0.097
	34%	40%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Foligno – Hartman – Kaprizov
13:0280% CF
L2Gaudreau – Fiala – Boldy
12:0522% CF
L3Eriksson Ek – Duhaime – Dewar
10:1472% CF
L4Bjugstad – Shaw – Sturm
6:3253% CF
D1Goligoski – Spurgeon
17:5870% CF
D2Kulikov – Brodin
16:1852% CF
D3Merrill – Addison
11:2848% CF

PP1Spurgeon – Fiala – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Boldy
2:2775% CF
PP2Foligno – Brodin – Hartman – Gaudreau – Addison
0:31
PK1FFoligno – Eriksson Ek
2:17
PK2FGaudreau – Fiala
1:18
PK1DKulikov – Merrill
2:45
PK2DSpurgeon – Brodin
1:38

Current MIN line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Okposo – Mittelstadt – Cozens
12:3738% CF
L2Skinner – Tuch – Thompson
10:4555% CF
L3Olofsson – Asplund – Krebs
9:4458% CF
L4Eakin – Hayden – Bjork
8:288% CF
D1Bryson – Dahlin
15:5256% CF
D2Pysyk – Hagg
15:1633% CF
D3Fitzgerald – Samuelsson
12:4045% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Krebs
3:4883% CF
PP2Okposo – Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Bryson – Cozens
0:41100% CF
PK1FTuch – Thompson
1:09
PK2FAsplund – Cozens
1:07
PK1DFitzgerald – Samuelsson
1:11
PK2DPysyk – Dahlin
0:45

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kirill Kaprizov L	L1	2	1	3	+1	3	0.17	2	0	0	19:50	—	—	75	75
Ryan Hartman R	L1	1	0	1	+2	4	0.35	0	0	0	18:32	—	—	75	75
Marcus Foligno L	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.53	4	0	2	17:37	—	—	77	75
Kevin Fiala L	L2	1	1	2	0	2	0.03	0	1	0	19:28	—	—	21	6
Matt Boldy L	L2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:58	—	—	25	8
Frederick Gaudreau C	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.00	0	0	0	15:47	—	—	17	5
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.30	1	0	0	20:29	—	—	75	85
Connor Dewar C	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.38	0	0	0	12:42	—	—	70	84
Brandon Duhaime L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	2	11:54	—	—	62	78
Mason Shaw C	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.09	4	0	5	9:10	—	—	62	55
Nick Bjugstad C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	0	0	8:24	—	—	58	44
Nico Sturm C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	8:07	—	—	56	36
Jared Spurgeon D	D1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.11	0	0	2	24:38	—	—	73	50
Alex Goligoski D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	2	0	20:07	—	—	66	46
Jonas Brodin D	D2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	1	2	22:31	—	—	56	34
Dmitry Kulikov D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	1	1	0	20:39	—	—	47	30
Jon Merrill D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	1	0	14:52	—	—	48	77
Calen Addison D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	14:35	—	—	52	76

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Kaapo Kahkonen(start)	L	37	33	4	.892	2.85	58:35

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Cozens C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.18	1	0	10	17:27	—	—	33	42
Kyle Okposo R	L1	1	1	2	0	1	0.34	1	0	0	16:33	—	—	30	37
Casey Mittelstadt C	L1	1	1	2	0	3	0.78	0	0	0	16:26	—	—	39	45
Tage Thompson C	L2	0	1	1	+1	7	0.28	0	1	0	19:21	—	—	46	81
Alex Tuch R	L2	0	0	0	+2	2	0.44	0	3	0	18:32	—	—	50	77
Jeff Skinner L	L2	2	0	2	+1	7	0.70	0	0	0	17:06	—	—	56	90
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.22	0	0	0	15:40	—	—	60	32
Victor Olofsson L	L3	1	0	1	0	4	0.63	0	0	0	13:14	—	—	57	32
Rasmus Asplund C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	2	0	0	12:16	—	—	58	30
John Hayden C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	0	0	0	12:07	—	—	24	16
Anders Bjork L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	11:59	—	—	10	8
Cody Eakin C	L4	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	2	10:49	—	—	20	9
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	2	2	+2	2	0.04	0	4	2	24:58	—	—	53	67
Jacob Bryson D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	3	0	18:25	—	—	51	64
Mark Pysyk D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	0	0	19:04	—	—	33	42
Robert Hagg D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	2	17:46	—	—	33	47
Mattias Samuelsson D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	1	0	18:11	—	—	46	17
Casey Fitzgerald D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	1	5	16:58	—	—	41	16

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	33	29	4	.879	2.10	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Minnesota Wild vs. Buffalo SabresMar 4, 2022

Fantasy takeaways

Buffalo Sabres edge Minnesota Wild 5–4

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Minnesota Wild

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Buffalo Sabres