Minnesota Wild vs. Ottawa SenatorsOct 14, 2019

FinalMonday, Oct 14, 2019· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
MIN	0	0	2	2		MIN	11	12	12	35
OTT	0	0	0	0		OTT	7	12	7	26

: MIN 67OTT 50
: MIN 3.80OTT 1.76
PP goals: MIN 0OTT 0
Hits: MIN 24OTT 16
Blocks: MIN 12OTT 21
PIM: MIN 12OTT 14
: MIN 51%OTT 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Minnesota Wild beat Ottawa Senators 2–0

Minnesota Wild beat Ottawa Senators 2–0 at OTT. Zach Parise (MIN) led the scoring with 1G 0A. New look for MIN: Foligno–Eriksson Ek–Kunin skated 9:17 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

New line
New look for MIN: Foligno–Eriksson Ek–Kunin skated 9:17 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Foligno Eriksson Ek Kunin
New line
New look for MIN: Koivu–Parise–Zucker skated 8:00 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Koivu Parise Zucker
New line
New look for MIN: Rask–Donato–Greenway skated 5:20 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (75% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Rask Donato Greenway
New line
New look for MIN: Staal–Hartman–Fiala skated 6:32 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Staal Hartman Fiala
Luck
MIN scored 2 goals on 3.80 expected goals (67 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
OTT scored 0 goals on 1.76 expected goals (50 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Victor Rask (MIN) played 6:06, −4:29 down on his 10:35 season average over 42 games.Rask
Usage
Jordan Greenway (MIN) played 10:52, −3:21 down on his 14:13 season average over 66 games.Greenway

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← MIN attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
MIN
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 117 of 117 attempts · OTT 50 · MIN 67

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
MIN
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
MIN pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: MIN 43% of the game, OTT 17%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

MIN

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	MIN	OTT
	48	41
	2.18	1.35
	2.02	1.34
	14	5
	2	8
	20	11
	+0.009	−0.009
	43%	17%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Minnesota Wild

L1Foligno – Eriksson Ek – Kunin
9:1729% CF
L2Koivu – Parise – Zucker
8:0064% CF
L3Staal – Hartman – Fiala
6:3264% CF
L4Rask – Donato – Greenway
5:2075% CF
D1Brodin – Dumba
11:3263% CF
D2Suter – Spurgeon
11:0870% CF
D3Hunt – Soucy
8:3343% CF

PP1Staal – Suter – Parise – Dumba – Donato
5:0088% CF
PP2Koivu – Spurgeon – Zucker – Hunt – Fiala
4:2386% CF
PK1FKoivu – Hartman
1:21
PK2FGreenway – Eriksson Ek
0:57
PK1DSuter – Spurgeon
4:33
PK2DBrodin – Dumba
2:55

Current MIN line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Ennis – White – Tkachuk
8:2845% CF
L2Pageau – Namestnikov – Brown
7:0733% CF
L3Ryan – Tierney – Duclair
4:1940% CF
L4Boedker – Szwarz – Sabourin
3:1867% CF
D1Chabot – Zaitsev
15:0357% CF
D2Borowiecki – DeMelo
9:5836% CF
D3Hainsey – Brannstrom
9:3838% CF

PP1Ryan – Namestnikov – White – Chabot – Tkachuk
3:4850% CF
PP2Ryan – Tierney – Brown – Duclair – Brannstrom
2:42100% CF
PK1FTierney – Brown
3:50
PK2FPageau – Duclair
2:58
PK1DBorowiecki – DeMelo
4:53
PK2DHainsey – Zaitsev
4:43

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

3rd period

9:23
MINVictor Rask (Jordan Greenway)wrist0.11 xG
MIN: Rask, Hunt, Soucy, Donato, GreenwayOTT: Boedker, Pageau, Sabourin, Chabot, Zaitsev
MIN 1 – 0 OTT
17:41
MINZach PariseEN (Mikko Koivu)wrist0.93 xG
MIN: Koivu, Suter, Parise, Zucker, BrodinOTT: Ryan, Namestnikov, Duclair, White, Chabot, Tkachuk
MIN 2 – 0 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Marcus Foligno L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	4	1	2	15:05	—	—	28	48
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	1	2	14:29	—	—	30	42
Luke Kunin C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.81	2	3	6	14:06	—	—	35	72
Mikko Koivu C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.30	0	0	0	19:03	—	—	54	43
Zach Parise L	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	1.04	2	0	0	16:29	—	—	60	58
Jason Zucker L	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.15	0	0	0	15:57	—	—	57	43
Eric Staal C	L3	0	0	0	0	5	0.24	0	0	0	18:21	—	—	71	89
Kevin Fiala L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	1	0	2	14:48	—	—	53	29
Ryan Hartman R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	1	0	13:01	—	—	57	60
Ryan Donato C	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.18	0	0	0	11:36	—	—	78	71
Jordan Greenway L	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.07	3	0	0	10:52	—	—	85	90
Victor Rask C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.11	2	0	0	6:06	—	—	78	68
Mathew Dumba D	D1	0	0	0	0	5	0.33	2	1	0	22:53	—	—	63	58
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.14	0	1	0	20:19	—	—	56	69
Ryan Suter D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	1	0	25:32	—	—	64	64
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	23:26	—	—	64	38
Brad Hunt D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.17	0	0	0	14:11	—	—	38	42
Carson Soucy D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	13:39	—	—	39	75

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Stalock(start)	W	26	26	0	.1000	1.76	60:00

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	-1	1	0.26	0	0	0	19:24	—	—	44	46
Colin White C	L1	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	19:21	—	—	54	70
Tyler Ennis R	L1	0	1	0.18	0	2	2	17:45	—	—	49	42
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	-1	3	0.10	0	2	0	19:23	—	—	37	9
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L2	-1	2	0.08	1	0	2	18:52	—	—	50	80
Connor Brown R	L2	0	2	0.05	0	0	0	18:22	—	—	38	37
Chris Tierney C	L3	0	1	0.26	0	0	2	17:47	—	—	33	16
Anthony Duclair L	L3	-1	5	0.38	0	0	0	17:32	—	—	55	60
Bobby Ryan R	L3	-1	3	0.10	0	1	2	13:13	—	—	43	34
Mikkel Boedker L	L4	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:12	—	—	33	2
Scott Sabourin R	L4	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	5:37	—	—	43	9
Jordan Szwarz C	L4	0	1	0.02	2	0	0	3:42	—	—	67	100
Thomas Chabot D	D1	-2	0	0.01	2	1	2	25:44	—	—	59	61
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	-1	1	0.10	2	5	0	21:38	—	—	57	64
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	0	1	0.00	2	1	0	16:24	—	—	36	21
Mark Borowiecki D	D2	0	1	0.01	2	5	0	15:47	—	—	31	7
Ron Hainsey D	D3	0	1	0.07	0	3	0	18:17	—	—	40	24
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	3	0.15	0	0	4	15:09	—	—	39	41

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	L	34	33	1	.971	2.86	57:50

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.