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Goalies

Goalie Save % by Shot Class (Rebound, Rush, Cycle, Off the Draw)

2023-245-on-5Through 82 team games

Not every shot is equally hard. League-wide, goalies stop about .849 of rebound attempts, .896 of cycle shots, .931 of rush and transition shots and .950 of shots straight off an offensive-zone draw. A goalie who faces more rebounds is going to post a lower raw save percentage through no fault of his own.

This board sorts every unblocked shot against into those classes and ranks goalies by how far their save percentage beats the rate their own shot mix predicts. The class columns show where the gap comes from, with the ± column as a 95% interval.

Leader in 2023-24: Anthony Stolarz (FLA), +2.4 FSV% vs exp..

Save % by shot class leaderboard

Goalie Save % by Shot Class (Rebound, Rush, Cycle, Off the Draw), 2023-24, 5-on-5
#Goalie±95%Rebound SV%Rush SV%
1Anthony StolarzFLA+2.47731.392.4%93.0%
2Connor HellebuyckWPG+1.42,0330.991.3%94.5%
3Joey DaccordSEA+1.41,6481.087.4%94.8%
4Semyon VarlamovNYI+1.29651.490.2%94.1%
5Jeremy SwaymanBOS+1.21,4631.183.8%93.2%
6Linus UllmarkBOS+1.11,3871.181.7%91.3%
7Cayden PrimeauMTL+0.98081.592.9%96.8%
8Joel HoferSTL+0.89931.488.2%94.0%
9Ilya SorokinNYI+0.72,0761.089.5%93.6%
10Casey DeSmithVAN+0.78651.591.5%94.6%
11Sergei BobrovskyFLA+0.61,7201.183.3%92.9%
12Thatcher DemkoVAN+0.51,5771.190.8%92.9%
13Daniil TarasovCBJ+0.58691.590.9%92.0%
14Connor IngramARI+0.51,6491.189.8%88.3%
15Marc-Andre FleuryMIN+0.51,1851.390.8%92.9%
16Charlie LindgrenWSH+0.41,6681.191.9%92.3%
17Samuel MontembeaultMTL+0.41,4281.289.2%93.5%
18Ukko-Pekka LuukkonenBUF+0.41,7461.187.9%96.1%
19Igor ShesterkinNYR+0.31,8661.181.0%94.7%
20Logan ThompsonVGK+0.31,4901.285.0%92.0%
21Jordan BinningtonSTL+0.32,0671.089.0%94.0%
22Tristan JarryPIT+0.31,6481.182.6%91.2%
23Petr MrazekCHI+0.22,0231.085.3%92.6%
24Scott WedgewoodDAL+0.29801.581.8%99.0%
25Jacob MarkstromCGY+0.11,5411.286.8%92.1%
26Cam TalbotLAK+0.11,6571.186.7%91.2%
27Adin HillVGK+0.11,1731.386.4%90.5%
28Ilya SamsonovTOR+0.11,2641.388.8%88.4%
29Juuse SarosNSH+0.12,0181.090.1%92.3%
30Kaapo KahkonenNJD/SJS−0.01,3501.388.0%88.7%
31Stuart SkinnerEDM−0.01,7081.185.1%93.3%
32Alex LyonDET−0.21,5171.284.2%94.1%
33Jake AllenMTL/NJD−0.21,2231.487.5%94.5%
34Alex NedeljkovicPIT−0.21,2021.480.6%92.8%
35Lukas DostalANA−0.21,3221.383.5%92.3%
36Jonathan QuickNYR−0.39121.689.5%93.8%
37Pyotr KochetkovCAR−0.31,1291.485.4%94.1%
38Alexandar GeorgievCOL−0.41,9521.181.9%94.2%
39Philipp GrubauerSEA−0.41,0761.582.2%95.3%
40Jake OettingerDAL−0.41,6691.279.8%93.9%
41John GibsonANA−0.41,4681.383.2%89.2%
42Carter HartPHI−0.68201.784.2%92.7%
43Joonas KorpisaloOTT−0.61,7331.288.2%89.2%
44Joseph WollTOR−0.68391.779.5%90.8%
45Mackenzie BlackwoodSJS−0.61,5231.287.2%92.7%
46Darcy KuemperWSH−0.71,0781.583.5%90.4%
47Elvis MerzlikinsCBJ−0.71,4101.387.6%90.6%
48Samuel ErssonPHI−0.71,3761.387.6%92.9%
49Karel VejmelkaARI−0.71,1981.480.5%95.3%
50Andrei VasilevskiyTBL−0.71,6531.282.3%94.5%
51Filip GustavssonMIN−0.91,3531.383.3%93.3%
52James ReimerDET−0.98061.780.8%91.1%
53Vitek VanecekNJD−1.09581.672.0%96.5%
54Anton ForsbergOTT−1.48411.885.1%96.7%
55Jonas JohanssonTBL−1.58151.890.4%90.1%
56Arvid SoderblomCHI−1.81,1071.684.8%87.6%

Minimum sample: 738 shots (it scales with games played and sequence coverage). 42 below the minimum are hidden.

How to read it

Percentage points above expected. +1.0 means about one extra save per 100 unblocked shots compared with an average goalie facing the same mix.

How reliable is it?

Per-class splits are small samples; the overall adjustment is steadier. Use the ± interval: two goalies whose intervals overlap are not reliably different.

Shot classes and goalie splits →

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